Jagged Edge was third last time out and a winner three starts back, showing he retains the ability to hit the frame; he has run over today's trip and going, and at just five days since his last start, freshness could be a minor query, though a rating of 105 suggests he has the class to go well from stall 14.
Form last 610-103
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Vafortino heads this field on our ratings and has run over today's trip and going, bringing relevant experience to the table from stall three at 138 lb — though his recent string of finishes outside the places makes a first win a pressing concern.
Form last 6450789
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Dorset nonetheless rates 108 on our figures — second of 17 — and has experience of today's trip and conditions; the risk is that an unplaced effort just four days ago raises freshness concerns.
Form last 6-78940
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dunum has experience over today's distance and going, and his win four starts back shows he can find the winning thread — a rating of 106 underlines he has the class to threaten. The worry is consecutive unplaced efforts in his last two runs.
Form last 60130-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Gleneagle Bay won two starts back but has been sixth last time out, and five days between runs is a quick turnaround; he has run over today's distance and going before, though carrying 134 lb from stall 17 adds to the task.
Form last 6-04516
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Orandi won last time out but that victory came just five days ago, and he carries 134 lb from stall 18 having looked inconsistent in his two runs prior; has run over today's trip and going, though his patchy recent record gives pause.
Form last 6-00781
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Boasts back-to-back wins in recent starts, though he's been unplaced last time out and hasn't run in 71 days; has experience of today's trip and going, but that return from absence is the key question from stall 11 off 134 lb.
Form last 611-240
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Lord Massusus does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and our rating of 102 suggests he retains ability — but a latest unplaced effort and third five starts back represent the key extremes of a frustratingly inconsistent profile.
Form last 6636780
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last six starts, City House nonetheless brings distance and going experience to the table, and 15 days since his last run suggests he arrives fresh; the 130 lb burden and a draw of 15 are the notable counterweights at a mark of 92.
Form last 6054840
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
An unplaced latest run after a pair of thirds makes Dark Ace hard to fancy ranked 13 of 17 on our figures, and 130 lb is a stiff burden from stall 16; he has run over today's trip and going before, and two wins in his last five starts show he retains ability.
Form last 6-11330
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Far From Dandy does offer two seconds in recent form, though back-to-back unplaced efforts are a concern; has run over today's trip and going, and 130 lb from stall five makes life no easier.
Form last 6642200
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
70SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Three consecutive unplaced efforts make Dos Mukasan hard to fancy, and he arrives 91 days fresh; a win four starts back offers slim encouragement, and he has run over today's trip, but our figures rank him last of the field.
Form last 6310-00
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR—RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pierre Royal won two starts back and was second last time out, so he arrives in form, but five days is a quick turnaround and 129 lb is a stiff burden; he has run over today's trip and going before, though ranked tenth of seventeen on our ratings.
Form last 616-612
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR—RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and returning on a quick five-day turnaround, Genuine Article faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a rating of 96 gives him some theoretical upside from stall 10 off 125 lb.
Form last 657-050
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR—RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 15th of 17 on our figures, Lir Speciale faces a stiff task, with his trainer yet to strike in 29 attempts over the past fortnight; he has run over today's trip and going before, and stall one is his lot off 87.
Form last 6302457
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR—RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 14th of 17 on our figures, Greydreambeliever arrives just three days after her latest fourth, making the quick turnaround a concern; a second three starts back offers mild encouragement, but the overall profile is hard to fancy.
Form last 6226294
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR—RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten out of the sights last time after back-to-back placed efforts, Glory To Be heads into this rated below her official mark and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures — hard to fancy despite having experience of today's trip and conditions.
Form last 6795210
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jagged Edge owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Stephen ThorneJack Kearney(3)
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Pierre Royal
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Adrian McGuinness✓ Value Signal
Lord Massusus
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Joseph G Murphy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Pierre Royal (SR:96, 4/1) shares the joint-highest SR in the field with Jagged Edge but carries a significantly lighter weight of 9-3 versus Jagged Edge's 10-0 — a 11lb advantage that is decisive on good ground over 7f. His form reads 16-612, meaning he ran second last time out and has been consistently competitive at this level, while the MarkMv:+9 indicates he is running off a higher mark than when he last won, but the weight relief from rivals more than compensates. Within the Adrian McGuinness yard of three runners, Pierre Royal draws the strongest jockey booking in Adam Caffrey and critically has NOT drifted — unlike stablemates City House (out 67%) and Dark Ace (out 41%) — suggesting connections are confident in this runner as the yard's #1. At 4/1 he represents fair market value for the most SR-competitive horse in the race carrying one of the lightest weights.
Each-way alternative: Lir Speciale.
Main danger: Jagged Edge — Jagged Edge shares the joint-top SR of 96 and is the Stephen Thorne yard's clear #1 pick (better jockey booking, highest SR of the three Thorne runners) at 9/2, though the 10-0 top weight is a significant concern in this competitive 17-runner handicap on good ground.