Sir Allen arrives here in good heart after consecutive fourth-place finishes, with his third four starts back keeping him in the mix at this level — he handles today's going and, rated 124, shapes as a leading rival. The risk is he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6730/44
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
100SR—RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Landed a win three starts back and was second two starts back, but fifth last time out and returning just a day later is a concern; has run over today's trip and going, though the 164 lb burden makes life harder.
Form last 626-125
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
98SR—RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hasn't threatened in his last three starts following a win four starts back, and that form dip is the obvious concern; has experience of today's going, though, and a 35-day break could freshen him.
Form last 6217-65
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
106SR—RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mr Master Mac won two starts back and has going experience to call on, but seventh last time out is a concern after a 49-day absence, and 163 lb is a stiff burden for a horse ranked eighth of 22.
Form last 6313-17
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
95SR—RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed second last time out and third three starts back, Pinot Rouge shaped with plenty of promise in recent outings, and our rating of 126 — highest of the 22 runners — marks her as a serious contender; the main concern is 50 days off the track.
Form last 65F3-72
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
90SR—RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Rocky's Howya has won three of his last five starts, including a victory last time out, but a pulled-up run four starts back raises a fitness question; he has experience of today's distance and going, though 162 lb is a stern test.
Form last 61P-101
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
106SR—RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 16 of 22 on our figures, Fou De Toi faces a stiff task carrying 161 lb; the pulled-up run two starts back is a concern, though he has shown placing ability and has run over today's going before.
Form last 6/43P-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
105SR—RPR115OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts — including two unseats — and with his trainer yet to land a winner in 30 attempts over the past fortnight, Reiki Revolution faces plenty to prove at 161 lb, despite having run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6P4-UU4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
83SR—RPR115OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Pulled up last time is the obvious concern, but Stormbreaker showed clear ability with a second five starts back and has going experience to call on; winless in his last five, he returns after 21 days carrying 161 lb with a rating of 124 giving him plenty to find.
Form last 62000/P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
77SR—RPR115OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Warriors Wood shaped with real promise when third three starts back and winning four starts back, and he handles today's going — but that eighth last time out, on just two days' rest, is the one concern.
Form last 6-21348
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
104SR—RPR115OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Elusive Ogie at least has experience of today's going and returns on a reasonable freshness of 16 days; the 159 lb burden, however, looks a stiff ask for a gelding ranked ninth of 22.
Form last 659-F05
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
91SR—RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts, with a best recent effort of third four starts back, Forceonmyown faces a stiff ask off 153 lb after a 110-day absence — though our rating of 111 suggests she retains more ability than her recent form implies.
Form last 663458-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR—RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tullyveery Lad has placed twice in his last five starts — second last time out and third five starts back — but has three unplaced efforts in between and remains winless in recent starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, though his ranking of 12th of 22 suggests he faces a stiff task.
Form last 638-502
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR—RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner two starts back gives Mento some recent form to cling to, but sixth last time out and ranked 17th of 22 on our figures makes him hard to fancy here; he has going experience to call on, but the 149 lb burden adds another hurdle.
Form last 670-16
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Beggars Rock does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a third two starts back offers a crumb of encouragement — but 78 days off the track and a 148 lb burden make this a tough ask from 11th in the rankings.
Form last 63P63-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up two runs back, Caher Roes Den at least returned with a fourth last time out and has run over today's trip and going before; 148 lb is no gimme, though a rating of 108 suggests he retains ability.
Form last 6339P/4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Adaliz arrives on the back of two unplaced efforts and ranks 19th of 22 on our figures, making her hard to fancy at the weights with 146 lb to carry. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a win four starts back shows she can find the line.
Form last 6310-90
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Sallap is hard to fancy despite a lively recent record that includes back-to-back wins, and she has experience of today's going.
Form last 61F-011
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 20th of 22 on our figures, Justatan is hard to fancy at the weights with 145 lb to carry; he does have going experience and ran third last time out, but that represents the ceiling of his recent efforts.
Form last 65309-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR—RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Wild Mandate won last time out and returns on a quick-ish 21-day turnaround, with going experience in her favour, but ranked 21 of 22 on our figures, she faces a stiff task against this field despite that recent victory.
Form last 6920-51
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked 18th of 22 on our figures, Fair Damsel faces a stiff task here; a disqualification heads her recent form, yet she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a workable 27-day break.
Form last 6/60-5D
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up on the oldest of them, Pat Coyne has at least shown a shade of consistency with a third two starts back; he has run over today's trip and going, but 70 days off the track and a stiff 141 lb ask make progress hard to foresee.
Form last 6P563-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fou De Toi owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3W P MullinsPaul Townend
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Justatan
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Emmet Mullins✓ Value Signal
Forceonmyown
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Gordon Elliott◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Rocky's Howya (SR:106, 10/1) shares the field's joint-highest SR alongside High Court Cave but carries just 11-8, a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Sir Allen (11-12) and Burning Ability (11-10). The critical differentiator is the market: a 15% contraction since opening signals informed money arriving, while most of the field is drifting. His form string 1P-101 shows two wins in recent starts, and critically the DistFit:~ confirms moderate competence at today's 3m trip with genuine upside. Trainer Declan Queally's 16% strike rate is solid, and the stable jockey Mr D L Queally — booking family connections at 42% from 33 rides — is a standout statistic suggesting the yard is live and confident. The tv headgear is unchanged from recent runs, removing any first-time headgear volatility risk.
Each-way alternative: Warriors Wood.
Main danger: Fou De Toi — Fou De Toi carries the Mullins/Townend combination — the strongest trainer-jockey partnership in Irish jump racing by strike rate — and at 10/3 is clearly the market's idea of the standout, though the 23% drift and a recent 'P' in the form string are genuine concerns the market may be correctly pricing in.
ShortlistRocky's Howya, High Court Cave, Warriors Wood, Fou De Toi, Justatan