Moriarty Moon has run over today's trip and going, carries a workable 135 lb from stall two, and his speed rating of 70 edges above his official mark — enough to make him a genuine threat; the concern is a winless recent spell across his last four starts.
Form last 66765
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR66RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mick's The Boy shaped with promise when second three starts back, and he arrives here with distance and going experience to call on, a 31-day break leaving him fresh off stall eight carrying 134 lb; the risk is that he has been winless in his last four starts.
Form last 68265
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, Aura Of Melania nonetheless brings solid recent placed efforts — second last time out and third two starts back — alongside experience of today's trip and going, though a mark of 63 and a mid-field ranking of fifth suggest she faces a stiff ask here.
Form last 6644532
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR65RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Spectacular Diver showed plenty when finishing third one start back, and he has experience over today's trip and going to call on from stall five carrying 133 lb; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts and must bounce back from a seventh last time out.
Form last 625637
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR67RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Cheeky Chesca arrives here in sharp order just nine days after her latest start, and back-to-back thirds in her two most recent outings show she is consistently finding the frame; winless in her last six, she remains the one to beat on our ratings.
Form last 6377933
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR71RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last three starts, with back-to-back sevenths before a fifth latest, Lady Titania is hard to fancy on these figures, though a sharp trainer strike-rate and experience over today's trip offer slim crumbs of comfort from stall one.
Form last 6775
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR45RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked sixth of eight on our ratings, Johns Power faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a return to this surface six days ago keeps him fit and fresh.
Form last 606470
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR51RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked towards the foot of our assessments, Steamy Wonder faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip before and a third one start back offers a slim crumb of encouragement.
Form last 6737
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR46RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Aura Of Melania owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/4Roger FellKevin Stott
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Cheeky Chesca
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Tim Easterby✓ Value Signal
Johns Power
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Roger Fell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Aura Of Melania (SR 70, 5/4) is the clear ability leader in this Class 6 nursery, carrying a manageable 9-7 and backed in 10% from opening price — meaningful market confidence in a field this modest. Roger Fell's stable has identified this as their #1 runner over stablemate Johns Power (SR 30, 40/1), booking Kevin Stott (13% career strike rate) versus the lesser Oisin McSweeney. The 644532 form string shows consistent engagement across multiple runs, and the class-level drop in quality among rivals means that SR 70 — a full 9 points clear of next-best Cheeky Chesca (SR 69) — translates to a genuine advantage. The course place (W0P1) confirms familiarity with Catterick's tight track, and while GoingFit is unproven, today's good ground is benign for a 2yo.
Each-way alternative: Cheeky Chesca.
Main danger: Cheeky Chesca — Cheeky Chesca (SR 69, 10/3) drops two class tiers, has course experience (W0P1), carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-4 giving her a 3lb pull on Aura Of Melania, and Tim Easterby's yard has clearly selected David Allan (11% strike rate, far superior to Kirrane on Spectacular Diver) as the stable's main hope — blinkers first-time adds an urgency factor that could see her land the class drop well.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 644532 shows a horse trending the wrong way — last three runs are 5, 3, 2 in finishing positions but the raw figures reveal no win in 6 starts, with the most recent effort only a second i…
GoingFit marked 't' (tried) not proven, while Cheeky Chesca has a 'b' (best) tag on today's good ground — giving the 10/3 rival a meaningful going advantage on this specific surface.
Cheeky Chesca (SR 69) is only 1 SR point behind, fresher on 9 days since last run versus 22, has the same Catterick course place (W0P1), and carries 3lb less at 9-4 — that weight differential is a re…
At 5/4 in a Class 6 nursery with a trainer strike rate of 11% and jockey at 13%, the price offers no margin for error — any minor traffic issue on Catterick's tight turns could eliminate the slender…
ShortlistAura Of Melania, Cheeky Chesca, Lady Titania