British Ebf "confined" Expotile Novice Stakes (For Horses Which Have Had No More Than Three Runs) (Div II) · 7f
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Cites | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Jinman | 5/2 open 10.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 6.50 | 2/1 open 6.50 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 6.50 | 11/4 William Hill |
| 3 Magic Harry | 15/8 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.20 | 2/1 open 2.20 | 2/1 open 2.20 | 2/1 open 2.10 | 2/1 Coral |
| 4 Muhandes | 9/1 open 3.75 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 4.50 | 17/2 open 4.50 | 17/2 open 4.50 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Oldbullyoungbull | 28/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Palace Legacy | 11/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Quai Louis | 25/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Solar Mission | 150/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Sterling Cooper | 14/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Magic Harry owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cites (SR:152, 6/1) has steamed in 37% since opening — the sharpest market move in the field by a considerable margin — suggesting strong stable and market confidence despite a single run showing a sixth-place finish that clearly left plenty in the tank. Ralph Beckett (17% strike rate, 990 runners) is a respected developer of young middle-distance types, and Rossa Ryan retains the ride. At 6/1, the price is generous for a horse whose SR of 152 matches Jinman and trails Magic Harry by only 2 points, while carrying the same weight as all rivals. The 37% market move is too emphatic to dismiss in a novice where the form book is thin and market intelligence is often the most reliable signal. Each-way alternative: Palace Legacy. Main danger: Magic Harry — Magic Harry (SR:154, 2/1, favourite) carries the joint-highest SR in the field and David Egan is a strong booking for Tom Clover, and although it has drifted 17% it remains the market leader — if the third-place finish on debut was on a faster surface and today's good-to-soft suits, it could readily reverse that market drift in the closing stages.