Lovely Jubly won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but 68 days off the track raises a fitness query and her 135 lb burden looks testing as she steps back into a competitive field.
Form last 60168-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR56RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Calaxy has run over today's trip and going, and her rating of 58 puts her ahead of her official mark — there's a case she's being underestimated here; the main risk is a winless recent run featuring a slipped-up last time out.
Form last 684-69S
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR59RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Ranked top of the field on ratings and carrying experience of today's trip and conditions, Ocean Force represents a live threat from stall 11, though a winless run of recent form and a trainer firing at just 4% make confidence hard to hold.
Form last 675566
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR63RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 15/8 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Knightmare ran second four of his last six starts and scored a winner three starts back, showing consistent competitiveness; he has experience of today's distance and going, carries 134 lb from stall 2, and the main risk is his fifth last time out suggesting he can disappoint.
Form last 6222125
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
61SR61RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mbappe landed a win in his last six starts and returns on a quick 12-day turnaround in conditions he has experience of, with our rating of 59 giving him a case ahead of his official mark, though he will need to find improvement on his most recent efforts.
Form last 6167657
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR59RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Wellwhatshappenin has placed as recently as a second and third in his last five starts but has been winless in recent outings, and an eighth last time out — just 20 days ago — does little to inspire confidence at 132 lb from stall nine, though he has run over today's trip before.
Form last 623-008
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR57RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Snooker McCrew has managed just the one win in his last five starts, finishing sixth on his most recent outing, and he ranks ninth of eleven on our figures, making him hard to fancy at this level despite the experience he brings over today's trip.
Form last 617/556
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR51RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Lady Margret faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip before and returns on a sharp 14-day turnaround, but those are thin positives given the overall profile.
Form last 6-80604
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR45RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Celtic John faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 21 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, but his recent string of mid-field finishes makes him very hard to fancy.
Form last 6744067
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR48RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last five starts and returning after a 98-day absence, Eulalia faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's distance and going before and her speed rating of 56 offers a shade of encouragement from stall three off 126 lb.
Form last 673-800
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR52RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, Ivat Ghia does offer some encouragement with two runner-up finishes in that sequence, though she has been well beaten on other occasions; she has run over today's distance and going before, and 17 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh enough to go again.
Form last 6866228
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR54RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ocean Force owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Gary & Josh MooreToby Moore
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Lovely Jubly
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Michael Attwater✓ Value Signal
Lady Margret
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Tony Carroll◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Lovely Jubly (SR 63, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this Class 6 apprentice handicap by a meaningful margin — 2 points clear of Knightmare (SR 61) and 3 ahead of Ocean Force (SR 60). The form string 0168-1 shows a last-time-out win, making this a horse in current form and capable of improving off a mark only 5lb higher than that success. Trainer Michael Attwater hits 9% overall and jockey Owen Lewis (11% strike rate from 126 rides) is solid for an apprentice. Critically, Lovely Jubly has a course record of W1P1 at Kempton — a genuine course specialist edge over most of this field — and carries 9-9, a manageable weight that does not penalise against rivals rated significantly lower.
Each-way alternative: Knightmare.
Main danger: Knightmare — Knightmare (SR 61, 15/2) has placed in five of its last six starts including two wins and three seconds — relentless consistency that rivals Lovely Jubly's SR, and though it has drifted 20% in the market, the record at this class level is hard to dismiss entirely.
⚖Case against3clamped▾
68-day absence since last-time-out win raises freshness doubts — Attwater's 9% strike rate suggests he is not a yard that regularly fires horses back to top form after a 2-month break.
Mark move of +5lb means Lovely Jubly runs off a 5lb higher mark than the win; in a tight Class 6 field where the SR margin over rivals is only 2-3 points, that penalty could be decisive.
Ocean Force (SR 60, 15/8 favourite) is 17 days fresher, carries 1lb less, and is trained by a yard with an 11% strike rate — the market has priced it well below Lovely Jubly at 7/2 vs 15/8, implying…
ShortlistLovely Jubly, Knightmare, Ivat Ghia, Ocean Force