Thirsk 14:21 RESULTED
Class 6 14 Sep 2026

Monday 14 September Constant Security Services Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Constant Security Services Apprentice Handicap Stakes · 1m4f8y

Official Result

Constant Security Services Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Satyress (GB) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Harriet Bethell
    11/8F
  2. 6/1
  3. 9/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Windsor

13:42–17:12 · 8 races

Sedgefield

14:00–16:30 · 6 races

Thirsk

14:21–17:21 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

17:00–20:30 · 8 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Satyress silks
Satyress
Age 4 · 9-12
6-4111
54
67
57
4
9-12
6/4 31/19 3/2
Satyress arrives in red-hot form, winning three of her last five starts, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions — the chief concern is whether 138 lb will blunt that momentum.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Hickton silks
Hickton
Age 4 · 9-12
719653
54
49
54
4
9-12
8/1 11/2 7/1
Third last time out suggests Hickton retains some ability, though he has been largely out of the frame in recent starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 12 days between runs leaves him with no fitness concerns, but 138 lb is a stiff ask at a rating of 54.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Off Spin silks
Off Spin
Age 4 · 9-10
533263
52
58
60
4
9-10
6/1 7/2 5/1
Off Spin shaped well when third last time out and boasts a runner-up finish three starts back, giving him the strongest profile in this field; yet to land a race in recent starts, the chief risk is whether he can finally convert.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Dream Of Ithaca silks
Dream Of Ithaca
Age 3 · 9-5
455811
55
61
54
3
9-5
7/2 9/4 10/3
Back-to-back wins make Dream Of Ithaca the standout on recent form, and at 24 days between runs she arrives in good order; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 131 lb is the chief query.
AI verdict

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Pop The Question silks
Pop The Question
Age 8 · 9-5
460
47
21
48
8
9-5
18/1 22/1 12/1
Winless in her last three starts and absent for 149 days, Pop The Question faces a stiff ask from 131 lb, and her ranking of ninth of twelve on our figures makes her hard to fancy; going experience at least offers a small foothold.
AI verdict

SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
Storm On Jura silks
Storm On Jura
Age 4 · 9-4
964808
46
21
45
4
9-4
14/1 20/1 10/1
Winless in her last six starts, with two eighths among the recent efforts, Storm On Jura is hard to fancy on these figures, ranked near the foot of the field; she does at least return within five weeks and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Muhib silks
Muhib
Age 5 · 9-4
433238
46
43
52
5
9-4
11/1 9/1 8/1
Winless in his last six starts, Muhib does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 25 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; however, that eighth last time out is a concern, and carrying 130 lb with an official rating of 46 makes life hard.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

8
Caledonian Dream silks
Caledonian Dream
Age 4 · 9-3
672-00
44
21
49
4
9-3
33/1 40/1 22/1
Winless in his last five starts, Caledonian Dream does at least step back onto familiar going and returns on a reasonable 21-day break, though consecutive unplaced efforts and a modest official rating of 44 make it hard to fancy him strongly from eighth in a field of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

9
Time Twister silks
Time Twister
Age 3 · 9-2
664-58
52
28
55
3
9-2
28/1 22/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, Time Twister does have previous experience on today's going, and returns fit on a 14-day turnaround carrying 128 lb; the risk is that an eighth last time out leaves him with plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Clova Royale silks
Clova Royale
Age 3 · 8-9
087870
45
26
49
3
8-9
33/1 33/1 25/1
Winless in his last six starts, Clova Royale has at least run over today's going before and returns on a quick enough turnaround at 12 days, though a consistently modest recent profile — with figures no better than seventh — makes it hard to fancy him making a decisive move from his ranking of seventh in the field.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

11
Balance Of Trade silks
Balance Of Trade
Age 3 · 8-9
394589
45
23
48
3
8-9
80/1 40/1 50/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a ninth last time out and little improvement in form of late, Balance Of Trade is hard to fancy from a ranking of tenth of twelve; he has run over today's going before, and a return to fitness after just 14 days is at least a point in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

12
Alcanzor silks
Alcanzor
Age 3 · 8-9
-05555
44
30
41
3
8-9
12/1 20/1 17/2
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Alcanzor makes for a tough sell, though he has run over today's trip and going before and 18 days between runs leaves him reasonably fresh.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Satyress 6/4 open 3.00 13/8 7/4 7/4 7/4 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 Coral
2 Hickton 8/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 Bet365
3 Off Spin 6/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 4.50 7/1 Coral
4 Dream Of Ithaca 7/2 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 Betfred
5 Pop The Question 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 29.00 12/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 29.00 18/1 Bet365
6 Storm On Jura 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 Paddy Power
7 Muhib 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 10/1 12/1 William Hill
8 Caledonian Dream 33/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 51.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 51.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Time Twister 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 Bet365
10 Clova Royale 33/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365
11 Balance Of Trade 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 80/1 Bet365
12 Alcanzor 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 26.00 17/2 open 23.00 17/2 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Satyress

Speculative

Satyress owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Harriet Bethell Tom Kiely-Marshall
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dream Of Ithaca

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · John Gallagher
✓ Value Signal

Time Twister

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Michael & David Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Satyress
49.0 6/4
2 4. Dream Of Ithaca
47.0 7/2
3 3. Off Spin
44.7 6/1
4 2. Hickton
40.2 8/1
5 12. Alcanzor
38.1 12/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Satyress
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 9-12
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-12
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-4
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

12
Age 3 · 8-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 30 🐾

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

6
Age 4 · 9-4
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 21 🐾

SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

5
Age 8 · 9-5
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 21 🐾

SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Satyress
Confidence: Medium

Satyress (SR:67, 13/8) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this Class 6 field. Her SR of 67 is comfortably the highest in the race, and her form string 6-4111 — three consecutive wins building right-to-left — shows a horse in peak, progressive form at this exact class level. Crucially, she is proven at today's trip (DistFit:+) and on good ground (GoingFit:+), removing both trip and going uncertainty. Trainer Harriet Bethell runs at a solid 21% strike rate from 268 runners, and at 13/8 the market reflects genuine confidence without being prohibitively short. The +3 mark move is a modest penalty for her recent hat-trick and is offset by carrying 9-12 in a field where the nearest SR rival is 9lb lower on the scale. Each-way alternative: Dream Of Ithaca. Main danger: Dream Of Ithaca — Dream Of Ithaca (SR:61, 7/2) carries only 9-5 — a 7lb weight advantage over Satyress — and arrives on the back of back-to-back wins (form 11 most recently), though the 32% market drift is a significant concern that likely reflects the unknown GoingFit:? on today's good ground or a barrier draw issue rather than any form reversal.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall strikes at only 10% from 493 rides — a mediocre book — and is the weakest link on the most fancied horse; a more in-form pilot could have been secured for this hat-trick def…
  • Dream Of Ithaca (SR:61, 7/2) has also won twice recently (form 455811) off a lower weight of 9-5, giving her 7lb in hand over Satyress today — a meaningful pull on ratings that narrows the gap consid…
  • Off Spin (SR:58) is flagged as a Stable:1 runner for the powerful Tim Easterby yard, is drifting in the market (in10%), and carries 2lb less than Satyress — a yard hotpot with market support at 7/2 i…
  • Satyress carries a career-high 9-12 following three consecutive wins; handicappers often catch progressive mares at exactly this point, and the +3 mark move may understate her true rise in the weight…
Shortlist Satyress, Dream Of Ithaca, Off Spin
Each-way: Dream Of Ithaca Danger: Dream Of Ithaca

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m4f8y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade