Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 National Honour | 15/8 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 open 2.75 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 2 Farasan | 7/2 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Gut Reaction | 33/1 open 10.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Kingdom Of Heaven | 200/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mainshock | 66/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Rupert The Brave | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Solar Swing | 9/4 open 4.33 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 Paddy Power |
| 8 Stephen's Secret | 40/1 open 101.00 | 25/1 open 101.00 | 33/1 open 81.00 | 33/1 open 81.00 | 33/1 open 81.00 | 28/1 open 81.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Intangible Truth | 18/1 open 7.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Farasan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Farasan (SR 151, 7/2) is the second-highest-rated runner in the field and brings the clearest evidence of ability, trained by the John & Thady Gosden yard (24% strike rate from 1,423 runners) and ridden by Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate from 2,669 rides) — the strongest jockey-trainer combination on the card by a considerable margin. The form figure of 64 on a step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is not alarming in a 2yo novice context where early runs rarely show true ceiling, and the Gosden yard routinely improves horses sharply between runs. Solar Swing holds the top SR at 152 but was also stepping up in class last time and is ridden by Jack Callan (14%), a clear booking downgrade relative to Murphy on Farasan. The 7/2 price on the Gosden-Murphy combination in a Class 3 novice represents genuine value and is the pick. Each-way alternative: Solar Swing. Main danger: Solar Swing — Solar Swing carries the highest SR in the field at 152, is from the in-form George Boughey yard (18% strike rate) and at 9/4 the market clearly respects its chance despite the class rise — it is entirely capable of reversing the form case if Farasan has not fully come on from a run just 12 days ago.