Thirsk 15:51 RESULTED
Class 6 14 Sep 2026

Monday 14 September Sapphire Selling Handicap Stakes

Sapphire Selling Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Sapphire Selling Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lamlash Bay (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby
    5/1
  2. Second Fan Mail (GB)
    7/4F
  3. 22/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Wodao silks
Wodao
Age 6 · 9-13
45-969
64
39
73
6
9-13
18/1 12/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts, Wodao nevertheless holds the strongest rating in this field and has experience of both today's trip and going conditions; fit questions linger after 105 days off, but he maps well enough from stall five on 139 lb.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Record Day silks
Record Day
Age 3 · 9-12
893780
65
59
64
3
9-12
8/1 15/2 8/1
Record Day arrives quickly on just nine days' rest, has run over today's trip and going, and that third four starts back shows he can mix it at this level; yet to win in recent starts, though, and he must reverse some flat recent efforts from stall eight.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Paroda Diva silks
Paroda Diva
Age 3 · 9-11
461268
64
66
66
3
9-11
9/2 5/1 4/1
Paroda Diva showed her best when winning four starts back and ran a fine second three starts back, proof she retains ability when conditions click; she has experience over today's trip and going, and her last two outings have been below that level, which is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Lamlash Bay silks
Lamlash Bay
Age 3 · 9-11
-45159
64
59
64
3
9-11
9/2 FCST 4/1
Lamlash Bay landed the win three starts back and arrives here with experience over today's trip and going, carrying 137 lb from stall seven; the concern is that his last two outings have brought a fifth and a ninth, so he needs to rediscover that earlier form.
AI verdict

SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Why Because silks
Why Because
Age 4 · 9-7
-64755
58
48
60
4
9-7
12/1 17/2 12/1
Winless in her last five starts, Why Because has at least shown she handles today's distance and going, and 26 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh; however, a weight of 133 lb and a ranking of seventh of eleven make improvement a tall order.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

6
Fan Mail silks
Fan Mail
Age 4 · 9-6
534095
57
58
61
4
9-6
9/4
Fan Mail has distance and going experience to call on, but winless in his last six starts and beaten fifth just five days ago, he heads here on a quick turnaround with little in recent form to inspire confidence, even if carrying 132 lb from stall six leaves him a fair each-way player at best.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Macedonian silks
Macedonian
Age 4 · 9-5
089928
56
60
59
4
9-5
11/2 9/2 4/1
Winless in his last six starts, Macedonian showed a flash of form with a second two starts back but has otherwise struggled, and while he has run over today's trip and going before, 131 lb from stall 11 makes progress hard to foresee.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Mare Of London silks
Mare Of London
Age 3 · 9-2
56-674
55
40
62
3
9-2
16/1 10/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts and yet to show the consistency her rating of 62 suggests, Mare Of London does at least bring distance and going experience to the table; 38 days between runs is manageable, though her recent string of mid-field finishes makes improvement hard to bank on.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

9
Dabbling silks
Dabbling
Age 3 · 8-13
754360
52
46
54
3
8-13
18/1 9/1 18/1
Winless in her last six starts with an unplaced effort most recently, Dabbling is hard to fancy at a mark of 52, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns after a 33-day break with fitness not a concern.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Agric Ranger silks
Agric Ranger
Age 3 · 8-8
475707
47
24
45
3
8-8
50/1 FCST 40/1
Winless in his last six starts, with three sevenths among his recent finishes, Agric Ranger looks up against it ranked bottom of the field on our figures, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns after 26 days fresh enough.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

11
Ganthorpe silks
Ganthorpe
Age 3 · 8-7
717770
46
24
46
3
8-7
33/1 18/1 28/1
Ganthorpe has been a consistent back-marker in recent starts, finishing seventh on four of his last six outings and unplaced last time, making him hard to fancy at the bottom of our rankings; he has run over today's trip and going before, and stall one is worth noting.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Wodao 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 Paddy Power
2 Record Day 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 17/2 17/2 William Hill
3 Paroda Diva 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
4 Lamlash Bay 9/2 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 5/1 Betfred
5 Why Because 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Fan Mail 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 Coral
7 Macedonian 11/2 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
8 Mare Of London 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
9 Dabbling 18/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 Paddy Power
10 Agric Ranger 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 40/1 open 67.00 50/1 Bet365
11 Ganthorpe 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fan Mail

Speculative

Fan Mail owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Tim Easterby David Allan
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Macedonian

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Michael Dods
✓ Value Signal

Ganthorpe

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Michael & David Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Fan Mail
50.7 9/4
2 7. Macedonian
47.4 11/2
3 3. Paroda Diva
46.6 9/2
4 4. Lamlash Bay
45.5 9/2
5 2. Record Day
44.4 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Paroda Diva
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 9-6
9/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-11
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-11
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-5
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-12
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-7
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

8
Age 3 · 9-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

1
Age 6 · 9-13
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

9
Age 3 · 8-13
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Paroda Diva
Confidence: Speculative

Paroda Diva (SR 66, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in this weak Class 6 field and is dropping a class, which historically improves win probability. The market has steamed 24% — the sharpest inward move in the race — and Jason Hart (14% strike rate, 2630 career runners) is a high-calibre booking for this level. The GoingFit:~ indicates moderate comfort on good ground, which is acceptable, and the recent form of '461268' shows a solid latest run (8th last time, but placed twice in the sequence). At 9-11 she carries a manageable weight and the MarkMv:+4 is a modest rise that shouldn't be prohibitive at this class level. Each-way alternative: Macedonian. Main danger: Macedonian — Macedonian (SR 60, 9/2) has steamed 21% in the market, carries only 9-5 (6lb less than Paroda Diva), and a MarkMv:-14 means he's racing off a much-reduced mark — Connor Beasley's 14% strike rate adds further confidence that connections are genuinely sweet on this one.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads '461268' — the last run was an 8th-place finish and the sequence contains no win, suggesting she has yet to convert despite decent ratings in this grade.
  • GoingFit:~ (moderate comfort) with no HG flag is weaker than rivals like Macedonian (HG:v, proven on going) who also steam in 21% and carries 6lb less at the same price.
  • MarkMv:+4 means she is rising in handicap mark despite that recent 8th — the assessor has not dropped her, implying official assessment of her latest effort was not as poor as it looks, limiting clas…
  • Fan Mail (3/1 market leader, 5-day turnaround, Tim Easterby yard) despite drifting 22% still commands a shorter price, suggesting market belief in a rival over Paroda Diva from a higher-volume handle…
Shortlist Paroda Diva, Macedonian, Record Day, Lamlash Bay
Each-way: Macedonian Danger: Macedonian

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade