Thirsk 16:51 RESULTED
Class 5 14 Sep 2026

Monday 14 September Join Racing TV Today Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Join Racing TV Today Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 0m7f218y

Official Result

Join Racing TV Today Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fractional (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas
    4/1
  2. 4/1
  3. 3/1F
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Catton Lady silks
Catton Lady
Age 5 · 9-12
2-5214
69
67
73
5
9-12
15/2 15/2 7/1
Catton Lady won two starts back and was second three starts back, so there is plenty to like, but a fourth last time out suggests she heads here needing to bounce back; she has run over today's trip and going, and 138 lb from stall four is the weight to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Alessia Fernanda silks
Alessia Fernanda
Age 6 · 9-12
867267
69
58
74
6
9-12
16/1 14/1 16/1
Alessia Fernanda arrives here fresh enough on 11 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going, and her rating of 74 edges above her official mark — a second three starts back the highlight of recent form, though a winless run in her last six starts is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Donna Nook silks
Donna Nook
Age 4 · 9-12
144439
69
80
81
4
9-12
3/1 5/1 11/4
Donna Nook landed a win in her last six starts and was third two starts back, bringing genuine recent consistency into this contest; rated 81 and the top-ranked runner in the field, she has distance and going experience behind her and looks the one to beat from stall 5 off 138 lb.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Kiss Me My Love silks
Kiss Me My Love
Age 4 · 9-9
930135
66
70
72
4
9-9
9/1 FCST 8/1
Won three starts back and was third two starts back, but fifth last time out suggests she may be coming off the boil; has run over today's trip and going, carries 135 lb from stall 1, and our rating of 72 gives her a slim edge over her official mark.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Fractional silks
Fractional
Age 3 · 9-8
3-5233
70
80
77
3
9-8
10/3 2/1 10/3
Fractional has been a model of consistency, finishing third last time out and placing in four of her last five starts, and she has run over today's trip and going before — a trainer firing at 28% in the last 14 days adds strong support. The risk is she remains yet to win.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Reader silks
Reader
Age 3 · 9-7
28-334
69
60
61
3
9-7
14/1 6/1 14/1
Winless in her last five starts, Reader has struggled to convert her placed efforts into anything more, and a rating of 61 ranked bottom of the field makes her hard to fancy here, though she has run over today's distance and going before and faces a short turnaround of just 13 days.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Always Blue silks
Always Blue
Age 3 · 9-7
25434
69
71
74
3
9-7
6/1 11/2 5/1
Consistent without a win in recent starts, Always Blue brings solid place form to the table — third two starts back and a runner-up five starts back — and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with our rating of 74 suggesting she holds each-way claims; the concern is she has yet to convert.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Ravishing Beauty silks
Ravishing Beauty
Age 5 · 9-5
713348
62
57
65
5
9-5
12/1 10/1 11/1
Ranked seventh of nine on our figures, Ravishing Beauty faces a stiff ask, having finished eighth last time out and winning only once in her last six starts, though she has experience of today's distance and going and an eighth-place effort 26 days ago keeps her fresh enough.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Vega's Virtue silks
Vega's Virtue
Age 3 · 9-4
138131
66
74
64
3
9-4
15/2 11/2 15/2
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures and her speed rating of 57 does little to inspire confidence, but Vega's Virtue does bring a lively recent profile — three wins in her last six starts, including a winner last time out — and has experience of today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Catton Lady 15/2 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 15/2 15/2 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
2 Alessia Fernanda 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
3 Donna Nook 3/1 open 8.50 3/1 open 6.00 11/4 open 7.00 11/4 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.00 11/4 open 6.00 3/1 Bet365
4 Kiss Me My Love 9/1 open 9.50 8/1 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 8/1 9/1 Bet365
5 Fractional 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.50 7/2 Paddy Power
6 Reader 14/1 open 7.00 20/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 7.50 20/1 Paddy Power
7 Always Blue 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 13/2 Coral
8 Ravishing Beauty 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Vega's Virtue 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Donna Nook

Speculative

Donna Nook owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 David O'Meara Daniel Tudhope
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Fractional

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Alessia Fernanda

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Declan Carroll
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Donna Nook
52.9 3/1
2 5. Fractional
51.7 10/3
3 7. Always Blue
48.2 6/1
4 9. Vega's Virtue
46.7 15/2
5 4. Kiss Me My Love
46.5 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Donna Nook
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-12
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-12
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Donna Nook
Confidence: Speculative

Donna Nook (SR:80, 7/2) shares the field's joint-highest SR with Fractional but carries only 3lb more than the favourite while boasting a 35% market move inward — the most aggressive steam in the race and a clear signal that money is on her. Daniel Tudhope (18% strike rate, 1867 career rides) is an elite northern pilot landing a big-yard booking from David O'Meara (13%, 2825 runners), and the visor+tongue-tie headgear combination on a mare who returned a '9' last time can be forgiven as a likely equipment trial. Her DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ on today's good ground at 7f218y are workmanlike rather than damaging, and the -1 mark move gives her a sliver of handicap relief. The combination of top SR, the strongest market move in the field, and a high-calibre jockey booking makes her the standout pick. Each-way alternative: Vega's Virtue. Main danger: Fractional — Fractional (SR:80, 5/2) matches Donna Nook on ability, carries 4lb less, and William Haggas (23% strike rate) dropping this 3yo filly a class is a powerful form signal — the DistFit:+ at this trip is the key corroborating evidence that she handles the distance well.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form figure of '9' last time is a red flag regardless of headgear excuse — a finishing position that poor in a field she was expected to compete in undermines the SR:80 rating's reliability.
  • Course record is W0P1 at Thirsk — she has placed once but never won here, and the 7f218y trip is an unusual distance that may not suit her profile.
  • Fractional carries 4lb less on the same SR:80 mark, is trained by the superior 23%-strike-rate Haggas yard, and is shorter in the market at 5/2 — the weight-for-quality argument clearly favours the r…
  • The visor+tongue-tie headgear combination is untested on this mare; if last time was the equipment trial as suggested, today is still only the second test and the response is unproven.
Shortlist Donna Nook, Fractional, Vega's Virtue, Catton Lady
Each-way: Vega's Virtue Danger: Fractional

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m7f218y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade