Windsor 15:42 RESULTED
Class 5 14 Sep 2026

Monday 14 September Ivor Laws Memorial Race Handicap Stakes

Ivor Laws Memorial Race Handicap Stakes · 0m6f12y

Official Result

Ivor Laws Memorial Race Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Distant Rumble (GB) Marco Ghiani · Roger Teal
    5/1
  2. 6/1
  3. 16/1
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Windsor

13:42–17:12 · 8 races

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14:00–16:30 · 6 races

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17:00–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kiss And Run silks
Kiss And Run
Age 5 · 9-12
378531
66
69
71
5
9-12
11/2 7/2 11/2
Kiss And Run won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but six days between runs is a quick turnaround and she faces a stiff task from a field of fourteen, ranked ninth on our rating of 71.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Strike silks
Strike
Age 8 · 9-11
832416
70
71
74
8
9-11
11/1 7/1 10/1
Strike won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, arriving here fresh on 30 days off and carrying a workable 137 lb; the worry is that sixth last time out suggests he needs to bounce back to that winning level.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Thankuappreciate silks
Thankuappreciate
Age 6 · 9-10
-41345
69
70
73
6
9-10
14/1 FCST 12/1
Third three starts back and a winner four starts back, Thankuappreciate brings distance and going experience to the table, but his two latest efforts have been fifth and fourth, and 156 days off the track is a significant fitness query for this gelding carrying 136 lb.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Cypriot Diaspora silks
Cypriot Diaspora
Age 5 · 9-10
632413
69
70
71
5
9-10
10/1 8/1 9/1
Placed third last time out and a winner two starts back, Cypriot Diaspora has run over today's trip and going and returns on a sharp ten-day turnaround, though a trainer in a deep 0/26 spell and a ranking of tenth of fourteen temper enthusiasm.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Hierarchy silks
Hierarchy
Age 7 · 9-9
340650
68
68
80
7
9-9
12/1 16/1 11/1
Ranked top of the field on our rating, Hierarchy has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a sharp 14-day turnaround in fair condition, though he remains winless in his last six starts and that persistent failing is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Distant Rumble silks
Distant Rumble
Age 4 · 9-9
213779
68
71
76
4
9-9
15/2 9/1 7/1
Distant Rumble showed smart form when winning five starts back and placing third four starts back, and he has experience of today's distance and going plus a lively rating edge on his mark; the concern is that his last three runs have produced three finishes outside the places.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Liosa silks
Liosa
Age 6 · 9-8
-46135
67
60
72
6
9-8
12/1 10/1 11/1
Landed a win three starts back and was third two starts ago, so Liosa carries some recent encouragement, but a fifth last time out tempers enthusiasm; he has experience over today's trip and going, and 134 lb from stall five is the task here.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Correspondence silks
Correspondence
Age 4 · 9-8
631267
67
47
62
4
9-8
28/1 25/1 28/1
Ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Correspondence has finished seventh and sixth in his last two starts and, despite a second three starts back and a win four starts back, his recent form makes him hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and returns after 53 days off, but those are slim positives.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Silky Robin silks
Silky Robin
Age 5 · 9-8
655113
67
64
66
5
9-8
16/1 9/1 16/1
Silky Robin has winning form in recent starts, with successes two and three starts back, but he ranks 11th of 14 on our figures and that gap looks hard to bridge, though he has run over today's trip and going and a 44-day break leaves him fresh.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Tiger Tulip silks
Tiger Tulip
Age 5 · 9-7
2-9687
66
62
71
5
9-7
10/1 12/1 17/2
Tiger Tulip arrives here winless in her last five starts, though she posted a second five starts back to hint at ability; her experience over today's trip and going is a plus, but carrying 133 lb from stall four makes life tough at a rating of 66.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Noelies Dream silks
Noelies Dream
Age 3 · 9-7
5815-0
68
47
62
3
9-7
80/1 FCST 66/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and six pounds below his official mark on our assessment, Noelies Dream has been unplaced last time out and faces a stiff task, though he does hold a win in his last five starts and has run over today's trip, with a trainer desperately short of form adding little confidence.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Riley Rocks silks
Riley Rocks
Age 3 · 9-7
604046
68
56
73
3
9-7
18/1 12/1 18/1
Riley Rocks has experience over today's trip and conditions, and 9 days since his last run suggests he arrives fresh, but he has been winless in his last six starts and his trainer's recent record of one from 25 gives little cause for optimism.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

13
Cape Toronada silks
Cape Toronada
Age 3 · 9-5
421411
66
76
66
3
9-5
13/2 4/1 13/2
Cape Toronada ranks 12th of 14 on our figures and her speed rating of 55 gives little encouragement, yet she arrives in fair nick with back-to-back wins and races fresh enough at 21 days since her last outing, with experience of today's trip and going in her favour.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Rebel Path silks
Rebel Path
Age 7 · 9-4
380381
63
83
77
7
9-4
11/4 3/1 5/2
Rebel Path won last time out and returns just seven days later in peak fitness, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour; a mark of 63 looks workable off the back of that victory, and he is our pick to go in again.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kiss And Run 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 Betfred
2 Strike 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Thankuappreciate 14/1 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
4 Cypriot Diaspora 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 12.00 11/1 Coral
5 Hierarchy 12/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Distant Rumble 15/2 open 17.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 10.00 8/1 Paddy Power
7 Liosa 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
8 Correspondence 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 33/1 Paddy Power
9 Silky Robin 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
10 Tiger Tulip 10/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 15.00 10/1 Bet365
11 Noelies Dream 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 80/1 Bet365
12 Riley Rocks 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
13 Cape Toronada 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 15/2 Coral
14 Rebel Path 11/4 open 5.50 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rebel Path

Speculative

Rebel Path owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Stuart Williams Olivia Haines(7)
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kiss And Run

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Rachel Cook & John Bridger
✓ Value Signal

Noelies Dream

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Dylan Cunha
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 14. Rebel Path
53.5 11/4
2 1. Kiss And Run
49.9 11/2
3 13. Cape Toronada
49.3 13/2
4 6. Distant Rumble
49.2 15/2
5 3. Thankuappreciate
46.5 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Rebel Path
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

14
Age 7 · 9-4
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 3 · 9-5
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 9-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 8 · 9-11
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 9-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 9-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rebel Path
Confidence: Speculative

Rebel Path carries the highest SR in the field at 83 — a clear ability edge over the next-best Cape Toronada (SR:76) and the cluster of SR:70-71 horses — and does so off the lightest competitive weight at 9-4, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage. The market has firmed 23% to 11/4, signalling genuine confidence from connections and punters alike. Form of 380381 shows the last run was a win, the visor has been retained (suggesting it works), and at Windsor where it has won before (Course:W1P1), the track familiarity is an additional tick. GoingFit:~ on good ground is the one reservation — not a proven specialist on this going — but the SR lead and weight combination overrides that concern. Each-way alternative: Cape Toronada. Main danger: Cape Toronada — Cape Toronada (SR:76) carries only 9-5 — 5lb less than Kiss And Run and a real weight edge on most rivals — has a form line of 421411 showing progressive, consistent winning form, boasts a course win (W1P2 at Windsor), proven distance fit (DistFit:+), and has Tony Carroll's stable booking their strongest available jockey in Rossa Ryan (18% strike rate), all pointing to this being the yard's number one runner despite the 40% drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:~ confirms Rebel Path is unproven on today's good ground — a 7yo with established going preferences that don't include this surface is a tangible risk at a short price.
  • Jockey Olivia Haines is a 7lb claimer with only 72 rides recorded and a 17% strike rate built on a small sample — this is likely a significant step up in competitive pressure for her.
  • Form of 380381 contains a '0' (last-to-finish or unseated) and an '8' — the sequence is inconsistent, and the win two runs ago may flatter a horse that has struggled in between.
  • Cape Toronada (SR:76, odds 6/1) has won four of its last six including last time out, carries 5lbs less, and is drifting only moderately at 6/1 — it represents a live rival that nearly matches Rebel…
Shortlist Rebel Path, Cape Toronada, Distant Rumble, Strike
Each-way: Cape Toronada Danger: Cape Toronada

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f12y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Windsor Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade