Ascot 15:40 RESULTED
Class 2 4 Sep 2026

Friday 4 September Juddmonte Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qual) (GBB Race)

Juddmonte Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qual) (GBB Race) · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Juddmonte Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qual) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nobelos (IRE) Rob Hornby · Charles Hills
    33/1
  2. 11/1
  3. 66/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Pure Mint silks
Pure Mint
Age 2 · 9-10
1
154
2
9-10
8/13 4/5 1/2
SR 154 backed by market confidence at 4/6 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 154 backed by market confidence at 4/6 — a genuine contender.

2
Soldier Of The Sea silks
Soldier Of The Sea
Age 2 · 9-10
12
86
87
86OR
2
9-10
4/1 10/3 11/4
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Does Mary Know silks
Does Mary Know
Age 2 · 9-4
62
145
2
9-4
17/2 9/2 8/1
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Nobelos silks
Nobelos
Age 2 · 9-4
4
121
2
9-4
33/1 20/1 28/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
War Chest silks
War Chest
Age 2 · 9-2
125
2
9-2
33/1 28/1 25/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Storm Force Ten silks
Storm Force Ten
Age 2 · 8-13
03
124
2
8-13
33/1 20/1 25/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Brushstroke silks
Brushstroke
Age 2 · 8-10
2
149
2
8-10
17/2 5/1 17/2
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Pure Mint 8/13 open 1.91 8/15 open 1.91 8/15 open 1.91 8/15 open 1.91 1/2 open 1.91 8/13 open 1.80 8/13 Bet365
2 Soldier Of The Sea 4/1 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
3 Does Mary Know 17/2 open 5.50 17/2 open 5.50 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 5.50 8/1 open 6.00 9/1 Coral
4 Nobelos 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 26.00 40/1 Paddy Power
5 War Chest 33/1 open 29.00 30/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
6 Storm Force Ten 33/1 open 23.00 30/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 33/1 Bet365
7 Brushstroke 17/2 open 7.00 12/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 12/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pure Mint

High conviction

Pure Mint owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/13 Simon & Ed Crisford James Doyle
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Brushstroke

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

17/2 · T J Kent
✓ Value Signal

War Chest

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Eve Johnson Houghton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Pure Mint
73.1 8/13
2 7. Brushstroke
68.7 17/2
3 3. Does Mary Know
66.8 17/2
4 2. Soldier Of The Sea
55.6 4/1
5 5. War Chest
53.5 33/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pure Mint
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-10
8/13
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

SR 154 backed by market confidence at 4/6 — a genuine contender.

2
Age 2 · 9-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-4
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 8-10
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 149 🐾

SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pure Mint
Confidence: Medium

Pure Mint (SR:154, 4/6) is the standout on raw ability, sitting 9 SR points clear of the next-best Brushstroke (SR:149) and a full 9 points ahead of Does Mary Know (SR:145). Crucially, the market has backed that judgement with a 10% inward move from opening price, confirming strong professional confidence behind the Crisford/Doyle combination — a yard running at 19% strike rate paired with a jockey at 18%. The class rise of two tiers is the only flag, but a SR of 154 in a Class 2 novice field of this calibre suggests the horse is well within its ability range, and the single winning run already on the board gives a concrete form anchor. At 4/6 the price is short but the case is not built on price alone — SR, market trajectory, and connections all point the same way. Each-way alternative: Brushstroke. Main danger: Brushstroke — Brushstroke (SR:149, 7/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-10, giving it a meaningful 14lb advantage over Pure Mint at 9-10, and its placed debut form represents a genuine ability ceiling that could bridge the 5-SR gap if today's step up in class suits.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Pure Mint carries a two-tier class rise into today's race; a single winning run (Form:1) is a thin evidence base to confirm it can handle the step up in class at Ascot.
  • 39 days since last run is a meaningful absence for a 2yo in September; freshness can cut both ways and the Crisford yard may not have had a prep opportunity to tune the horse for this specific test.
  • Brushstroke (SR:149, Form:2) has already been tested at this level and finished second, giving it proven class experience that Pure Mint's sole win does not yet confirm it can match.
  • Punters are on at 4/6 but Does Mary Know (SR:145) and Brushstroke (SR:149) have both run more recently (20 and 22 days) and could have sharper fitness edges in what may be a strongly-run Class 2 novi…
Shortlist Pure Mint, Brushstroke, Does Mary Know
Each-way: Brushstroke Danger: Brushstroke

🗺 The Course Class 2

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade