Aesterius At Bearstone Stud Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y
SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Changeofmind | 9/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 2 Secret Mistral | 11/1 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Mighty Magnus | 9/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Jer Batt | 11/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Accrual | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 6 Lipsink | 8/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Parisiac | 15/2 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 8 Spoof | 18/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Boston Dan | 14/1 open 41.00 | 11/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 26.00 | 10/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 10 American Bay | 8/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Creative Queen | 6/1 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Moonstone Boy | 11/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jer Batt owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Jer Batt (SR:86, 3/1) is the clear class leader in this field, with an SR 4lb ahead of the next-best Lipsink (SR:82) and a full 8lb clear of the SR median. Crucially, he carries 9-12 which is manageable, and his GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ confirm he handles soft ground at this trip — the two most critical variables on a Haydock 5f soft surface. His form 7-7334 shows consistent placing, Course:W0P2 proves he handles Haydock, and the market has firmed 5% into 3/1, suggesting informed support. Trainer Barron (8%,164) is modest in strike rate but jockey Callum Rodriguez (17%,699) is a genuine class act and his booking here is significant. Each-way alternative: Creative Queen. Main danger: Creative Queen — Creative Queen (SR:76, 6/1) is trained by William Haggas (21% strike rate, 1,134 runners) with Cieren Fallon (19%) aboard — elite connections stepping her up a class with blinkers first-time, and her form 217732 shows consistent involvement; at a light 9-4 she gets a meaningful weight advantage over Jer Batt's 9-12, which on soft ground could prove decisive.