Haydock 16:20 RESULTED
Class 5 4 Sep 2026

Friday 4 September Arete Foundation Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Arete Foundation Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 0m6f212y

Official Result

Arete Foundation Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Homestrait (IRE) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Brian Ellison
    9/2
  2. 16/1
  3. 15/8F
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Haydock

13:30–16:53 · 7 races

Bangor-on-Dee

13:40–17:10 · 7 races

Ascot

13:55–17:25 · 7 races

Down Royal

15:53–19:30 · 8 races

Kilbeggan

16:07–19:15 · 7 races

Worcester

16:30–19:36 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

17:21–20:24 · 7 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Pickersgill silks
Pickersgill Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-11
272839
67
67OR
4
9-11
SP 10/1 20/1
1
Folkene silks
Folkene
Age 4 · 9-13
7-6404
69
57
73
4
9-13
12/1 17/2 11/1
Folkene shaped with promise when fourth last time out and again three starts back, and with experience over today's trip and going she rates a solid each-way danger from stall seven; the risk is that she remains winless in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Homestrait silks
Homestrait
Age 3 · 9-10
223146
70
76
76
3
9-10
13/2 7/1 11/2
Homestrait won three starts back and has placed twice more in recent starts, showing she has the profile to go close here, and her experience over today's trip and going adds substance to her claims; the worry is a trainer operating at just 4% over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Magic Music silks
Magic Music
Age 4 · 9-10
-93165
66
66
68
4
9-10
9/1 12/1 8/1
Magic Music won three starts back but has posted a fifth and a sixth since, suggesting she may be over that peak; she has run over today's trip and comes into this fresh on 28 days off, though 136 lb is a stiff burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Dream Illusion silks
Dream Illusion
Age 4 · 9-10
202482
66
64
70
4
9-10
9/1 11/2 9/1
Dream Illusion shapes as a consistent, if winless, contender — second last time out and fourth three starts back suggest she finds a way into the frame, though that eighth two starts back is a concern, and 136 lb from stall eight adds further pressure.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Clementines Star silks
Clementines Star
Age 3 · 9-9
3-3213
69
70
75
3
9-9
10/1 4/1 9/1
Clementines Star arrives here in the form of her life, placed last time out and a winner two starts back, and she has run over today's trip before. Carrying 135 lb from stall five, her overall profile makes her our pick in this field.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Toralou silks
Toralou
Age 5 · 9-9
-77267
65
59
70
5
9-9
10/1 20/1 17/2
Winless in her last five starts, Toralou does at least show a second three starts back to suggest she retains some ability, though sixth and seventh-place finishes since then are a concern; she has run over today's trip and returns after 24 days, but has plenty to find at a rating of 65.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Imelda silks
Imelda
Age 3 · 9-9
2334
69
54
64
3
9-9
16/1 15/2 14/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Imelda is hard to fancy on these terms, though she has run over today's trip and her recent placings show she is no stranger to competing — she just needs to find more.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Cypriot Diaspora silks
Cypriot Diaspora
Age 5 · 9-7
863241
58
74
72
5
9-7
13/8 7/4 31/19
Cypriot Diaspora arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, while our rating of 72 marks her out as a serious threat from stall two; the main concern is whether she can reproduce that form off a seven-day turnaround carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Gelato silks
Gelato
Age 3 · 9-6
79-615
66
52
66
3
9-6
20/1 11/1 20/1
Gelato won two starts back but has finished fifth and struggled in the three starts either side of that success, and with her trainer striking at just five per cent in the past fortnight, she makes little appeal despite having run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

11
Only Dream Big silks
Only Dream Big
Age 3 · 9-2
155635
62
52
68
3
9-2
22/1 18/1 20/1
Third two starts back suggests she retains some ability, but five starts without a win and a fifth last time out paint a mixed picture; has run over today's trip and returns on a quick ten-day turnaround from stall 11 carrying 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Light The Night Up silks
Light The Night Up
Age 3 · 9-1
445555
61
62
66
3
9-1
15/2 9/2 7/1
Winless in her last six starts, with a string of fourth and fifth-place finishes painting a consistent but frustrating picture, Light The Night Up is hard to fancy from stall ten off 127 lb, though she has run over today's trip and returns on a sharp 11-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Pickersgill 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 Paddy Power
1 Folkene 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 14/1 Coral
3 Homestrait 13/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 Bet365
4 Magic Music 9/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 10/1 William Hill
5 Dream Illusion 9/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 Coral
6 Clementines Star 10/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 5.00 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 6.50 11/1 Coral
7 Toralou 10/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 23.00 17/2 open 23.00 10/1 Bet365
8 Imelda 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 Bet365
9 Cypriot Diaspora 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 3.25 7/4 open 2.88 15/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 3.00 7/4 15/8 Ladbrokes
10 Gelato 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 Coral
11 Only Dream Big 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
12 Light The Night Up 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 6.00 8/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Cypriot Diaspora

Speculative

Cypriot Diaspora owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Rod Millman Callum Rodriguez
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Homestrait

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Brian Ellison
✓ Value Signal

Gelato

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Adrian Wintle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Cypriot Diaspora
49.0 13/8
2 3. Homestrait
48.8 13/2
3 12. Light The Night Up
46.8 15/2
4 4. Magic Music
45.5 9/1
5 5. Dream Illusion
44.8 9/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Cypriot Diaspora
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 5 · 9-7
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-10
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 9-1
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-13
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-6
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cypriot Diaspora
Confidence: Speculative

Cypriot Diaspora (SR:74, 15/8) is the class standout in this field, carrying just 9-7 — the lightest weight among the top-rated runners — and arrives on a 7-day turnaround which signals a confident yard. Crucially, GoingFit:+ confirms she handles soft ground, the one variable that unpicks most of this field who carry GoingFit:? (untested). Her most recent form reads 863241, with that last-time-out win the key anchor; trainer Rod Millman (13% SR) and jockey Callum Rodriguez (17% SR) are a competent combo. The DistFit:- flag at this 6f212y trip is the one concern, but in a Class 5 fillies' handicap with soft-ground specialist credentials and the lightest competitive weight, she holds a genuine edge over rivals who cannot confirm the going. Homestrait's Mkt:in35% is notable but she's unproven on soft; Magic Music's Mkt:in47% is the sharpest move in the race and she has DistFit:+ but GoingFit:? and a weaker trainer profile. Each-way alternative: Homestrait. Main danger: Magic Music — Magic Music has steamed in 47% in the market — the sharpest move of the entire field — and carries DistFit:+ at this 6f212y trip, meaning connections clearly expect a bold show even with the GoingFit:? uncertainty on today's soft ground.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- at 6f212y is a concrete flag — Cypriot Diaspora has not proven she stays this trip, and soft ground typically stretches stamina demands further, compounding the distance doubt.
  • Magic Music's Mkt:in47% is the sharpest market move in the race and she carries +3 mark improvement, suggesting market intelligence that may outweigh Cypriot Diaspora's going credentials.
  • Homestrait (SR:76) is the highest-rated horse in the field, rated 2lbs superior to Cypriot Diaspora, and her in35% market move at 6/1 indicates support despite the going query.
  • Rod Millman's 13% stable strike rate is modest, and a 7-day turnaround on soft ground for a 5-year-old filly who faces a stamina question at an unfamiliar trip raises fitness/freshness risk.
Shortlist Cypriot Diaspora, Homestrait, Magic Music, Clementines Star
Each-way: Homestrait Danger: Magic Music

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f212y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Haydock Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade