Haydock 16:53 RESULTED
Class 5 4 Sep 2026

Friday 4 September Betfair Supports Racing Welfare Handicap Stakes

Betfair Supports Racing Welfare Handicap Stakes · 1m3f140y

Official Result

Betfair Supports Racing Welfare Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lightning Tiger (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Charlie Fellowes
    8/1
  2. Second Lesrico (GB)
    3/1F
  3. 11/2
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hamadhan silks
Hamadhan
Age 4 · 10-2
63-753
75
55
85
4
10-2
20/1 16/1 14/1
Hamadhan shaped with promise when third last time out and, rated 85 by us against an official mark of 75, he looks a serious threat from stall 8 carrying 142 lb, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour; the main risk is a 97-day absence leaving him short of peak fitness.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

2
Flash Bardot silks
Flash Bardot
Age 6 · 10-1
00675-
74
77
87
6
10-1
3/1 7/2 11/4
Flash Bardot arrives carrying 141 lb from stall seven on a mark of 74, and her experience over today's trip and going stands her in good stead, with our rating of 87 making her the pick of 13; winless in her last five starts and 113 days since her most recent outing are the obvious reservations.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Lightning Tiger silks
Lightning Tiger
Age 4 · 10-0
4-4448
73
74
83
4
10-0
11/2 7/1 11/2
Lightning Tiger has been a model of consistency, finishing fourth in four of his last five starts, and with experience over today's trip and conditions, he arrives with solid claims at a mark of 73; the concern is that eighth last time out raises questions about his current form.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Yokohama silks
Yokohama
Age 5 · 9-13
-05137
72
79
85
5
9-13
6/1 11/2 6/1
Landed a win three starts back and shaped with credit when third two starts back, and Yokohama has experience of both today's trip and going; the primary concern is a trainer badly out of form at 1/20 over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Tortured Soul silks
Tortured Soul
Age 6 · 9-13
652324
72
51
76
6
9-13
33/1 16/1 28/1
Winless in his last six starts but no stranger to the places, Tortured Soul brings distance and going experience to the table from draw six carrying 139 lb, though 123 days off the track and a rating of 76 ranking him seventh of thirteen suggest a midfield pitch is the realistic expectation.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Made All silks
Made All
Age 5 · 9-10
105336
69
47
75
5
9-10
25/1 25/1 22/1
Third on two of his last three starts suggests consistent placing ability, but a sixth last time out clouds his claims; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 136 lb from stall five, and his recent consistency may be offset by that latest disappointing effort.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Blue Wonder silks
Blue Wonder
Age 4 · 9-9
00-415
68
74
77
4
9-9
11/2 FCST 5/1
Blue Wonder showed she can win at this level when landing the spoils two starts back, yet a fifth last time out — after 83 days off — suggests she returns needing this run, and 135 lb is no gimme from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Star Time silks
Star Time
Age 5 · 9-8
82-583
67
59
73
5
9-8
14/1 10/1 12/1
Winless in his last five starts, Star Time faces a stiff ask ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, and his 134 lb burden from stall 13 does nothing to ease that task; third last time out at least hints at residual ability, and he does have experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Marianita silks
Marianita
Age 3 · 9-7
407
74
64
66
3
9-7
9/1 7/1 17/2
Winless in her last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Marianita faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip before and returns after a 39-day break that may have freshened her up.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Naturalia silks
Naturalia
Age 5 · 9-6
222441
65
76
70
5
9-6
13/2 5/1 13/2
Ranked well down the field on our figures, Naturalia faces a stiff ask against this field, yet she arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, offering at least some positives to cling to.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Lesrico silks
Lesrico
Age 6 · 9-5
15-287
64
71
78
6
9-5
11/2 10/1 5/1
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Green Falcon silks
Green Falcon
Age 3 · 9-5
442-50
72
66
72
3
9-5
12/1 8/1 11/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked well down on our figures, Green Falcon faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and drops to stall three carrying 131 lb, but an unplaced effort last time out after 41 days away makes it hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

13
Ziggy's Avenger silks
Ziggy's Avenger
Age 3 · 9-2
083154
69
68
76
3
9-2
12/1 5/1 11/1
Fourth last time out and fifth two starts back, Ziggy's Avenger has had a quiet spell of 39 days since his last outing, though he brings distance and going experience to the table; a win three starts back shows he can find the line, but his rating of 76 suggests he faces a stiff ask from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hamadhan 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 20/1 Bet365
2 Flash Bardot 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 26.00 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 Coral
3 Lightning Tiger 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 8.00 6/1 Coral
4 Yokohama 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 Coral
5 Tortured Soul 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 Paddy Power
6 Made All 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 25/1 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 28/1 William Hill
7 Blue Wonder 11/2 5/1 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Bet365
8 Star Time 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 16/1 Coral
9 Marianita 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 10/1 Coral
10 Naturalia 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 Coral
11 Lesrico 11/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 13.00 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 11.00 11/2 Bet365
12 Green Falcon 12/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
13 Ziggy's Avenger 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Flash Bardot

Speculative

Flash Bardot owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Henrietta C Knight Cieren Fallon
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lightning Tiger

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Charlie Fellowes
✓ Value Signal

Made All

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Sam England
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Flash Bardot
53.0 3/1
2 3. Lightning Tiger
51.0 11/2
3 10. Naturalia
50.5 13/2
4 11. Lesrico
49.8 11/2
5 7. Blue Wonder
49.1 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Flash Bardot
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 10-1
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 10-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 6 · 9-5
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-13
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 9-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 9-5
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

13
Age 3 · 9-2
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Flash Bardot
Confidence: Speculative

Flash Bardot (SR:77, 4/1) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and has steamed in 48% from morning prices — the most dramatic market move by a wide margin, suggesting informed money is strongly behind this runner. Henrietta C Knight's 19% career strike rate pairs with Cieren Fallon (also 19%), making this a high-quality connections pairing for a Class 5 handicap. Dropping down one class off a flat run (ClassMv:↓1) with a career-top jockey booking and a SR advantage over the next-best rivals (Yokohama 79, Naturalia 76) supports the case. The DistFit:- flag is a genuine concern over 1m3f140y on soft, but the extraordinary market confidence overrides this — the yard clearly believes the trip will be fine today. Each-way alternative: Naturalia. Main danger: Naturalia — Naturalia (SR:76, 9/2) has shortened 18% in the market, shows a recent winning form line (222441), carries a DistFit:+ at this trip, and gets in on a light 9-6 — the combination of proven distance ability, improving form, and light weight on soft ground makes it the most credible threat to Flash Bardot.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- flag is a concrete negative — Flash Bardot has not proven effective at 1m3f140y, and soft ground at Haydock will stretch stamina further, making an unproven trip a genuine vulnerability.
  • 113 days off the track is a significant absence; the last run (Form ending in '-') suggests connections may have had issues, and a fresh horse returning after nearly 4 months on soft ground is a risk.
  • Henrietta C Knight's yard has only 54 runners in the sample (very small), making the 19% strike rate statistically fragile and less reliable than peers with larger sample sizes.
  • Yokohama (SR:79, MarkMv:+4) actually holds a higher SR than Flash Bardot and has a course placing (W0P1), offering a more credible claims case at 11/2 with recent form showing a win (Form:-05137).
Shortlist Flash Bardot, Naturalia, Blue Wonder, Yokohama
Each-way: Naturalia Danger: Naturalia

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m3f140y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Haydock Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade