Down Royal 19:00 RESULTED

4 Sep 2026

Friday 4 September Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)

Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I) · 1m4f194y

Settled

17 declared
0 picked

Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago

No.

Horse

Form

Jockey / Trainer

SR?

RPR/OR

Age

Wgt

Votes

Odds

Pick

Comment

Miss Australie

Age 5 · 10-8

108561

Sam Coen(5) 12%

Adrian McGuinness 9%

10-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

Miss Australie won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with a speed rating of 70 lending further weight to her claims; the concern is that she carries 148 lb on just an eight-day turnaround.

AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Plains Indian

Age 10 · 10-2

300/4-

Orla Tynan 14%

M J Tynan 8%

10-2

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

God Of Thunder

Age 7 · 9-12

300670

J M Sheridan 10%

Denis Gerard Hogan 9%

9-12

★☆☆☆☆

—

God Of Thunder has run over today's trip and going, and a rating of 64 — ranking him third of seventeen — marks him as a live threat on his best form; yet he arrives winless in his last six starts and his trainer is striking at just four per cent recently, which is the concern.

AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Vervain

Age 4 · 9-11

0-4425

Jimmy Dalton 4%

David Harry Kelly 8%

9-11

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last five starts, Vervain does bring distance and going experience to the table, and her second two starts back shows she can get involved, but carrying 137 lb looks a stiff task for a filly rated 55.

AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Maxwell Smart

Age 5 · 9-6

965834

James Ryan 7%

T G McCourt 7%

9-6

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in his last six starts, Maxwell Smart does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a third two starts back hints at some residual ability; however, the weight of 132 lb and a modest official rating of 50 suggest he faces a stiff task from the middle of the pack.

AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Limestone Red

Age 6 · 9-3

148823

Rory Cleary 5%

Tracey Collins 10%

9-3

★☆☆☆☆

—

Limestone Red arrives here on the back of consecutive placed efforts — third last time out and a runner-up two starts back — showing he's in decent nick after 20 days off, and having experience of today's trip and conditions is a clear asset; the concern is that his official mark of 47 leaves him carrying 129 lb.

AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

No More Hiding

Age 3 · 9-2

0-9585

W. J. Lee 15%

A Oliver 11%

9-2

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last five starts, No More Hiding arrives here 23 days on from a fifth-place effort, and while she has run over today's going before, a rating of 55 ranking her seventh of seventeen suggests she faces a stiff task to make a breakthrough.

AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Quinchy Lady

Age 3 · 9-2

007

Siobhan Rutledge 6%

John McConnell 8%

9-2

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last three starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Quinchy Lady faces a stiff task here, though she does return on a surface she has encountered before and is at least fit on 21 days since her last outing.

AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Invincible Destiny

Age 3 · 9-1

0070

Keithen Kennedy 9%

Mrs J. Harrington 11%

9-1

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last four starts and ranked last of the field on our figures, Invincible Destiny faces a stiff task under 127 lb for a trainer in poor form; experience over today's trip and going is the main saving grace.

AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Money Shuffler

Age 6 · 9-1

0680-0

Wesley Joyce 6%

W M Roper 3%

9-1

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last five starts, Money Shuffler does at least have experience over today's trip and a our rating of 55 suggests more ability than her official mark of 45 implies, though her recent string of unplaced efforts makes confidence hard to justify.

AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Coul Dore

Age 3 · 8-13

0-0290

Leigh Roche 6%

W R Crawford 8%

8-13

★☆☆☆☆

—

Coul Dore arrives here 20 days fresh and has going experience to call on, but he is winless in his last five starts, with a second three starts back the only bright spot in a patchy recent record, and a rating of 52 leaves him well down the 17-runner field.

AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Piatra Neamt

Age 5 · 8-13

0-0058

Ben Coen 11%

S M Duffy 2%

8-13

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last five starts, with a string of unplaced efforts and only a fifth two starts back to show, Piatra Neamt is hard to fancy at the foot of the ratings, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a manageable 30-day break.

AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Princess Rosie

Age 3 · 8-13

0806-0

Robert Whearty 7%

P Cluskey 4%

8-13

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last five starts, Princess Rosie at least has experience of today's going in her favour, though her record of unplaced efforts and two mid-division finishes suggests she faces a stiff task against stronger rivals from her ranking of tenth of seventeen.

AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Flagstone Lady

Age 3 · 8-11

806083

Reese Holohan(7) 11%

M D O'Callaghan 12%

8-11

★☆☆☆☆

—

Flagstone Lady has run over today's trip and going, and that third last time out shows she can find the frame, though she is winless in her last six starts and a return to form four days on from that effort asks questions of her stamina for the contest.

AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Jazz Forever

Age 6 · 9-7

483000

Reserve 1

Paul W Flynn 9%

9-7

★☆☆☆☆

—

Jazz Forever has run over today's trip and going, and returns on a quick eight-day turnaround, but three consecutive unplaced efforts weigh against him and he remains winless in his last six starts, making it hard to fancy him with confidence from a mark of 51.

AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Lariat

Age 10 · 8-10

67-728

Reserve 2

Liam P Cusack 7%

8-10

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in his last five starts, with finishes of seventh or worse in three of those, Lariat is hard to fancy on these figures despite a second two starts back and some experience over today's trip and going.

AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Premier Princess

Age 3 · 9-0

50680

Reserve 3

Denis Gerard Hogan 9%

9-0

★☆☆☆☆

—

Winless in her last five starts and ranked 13 of 17 on our figures, Premier Princess has little in her favour beyond distance and going experience; a trainer striking at just 4% recently and a return just four days ago make her hard to fancy here.

AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

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Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Vervain

Low conviction

Vervain owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (21) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

N/A David Harry Kelly Jimmy Dalton(7)

64% Confidence

⚠ Danger Runner

Coul Dore

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

N/A · W R Crawford

✓ Value Signal

Premier Princess

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

N/A · Denis Gerard Hogan

◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.

Speed rating Low conviction

21 / 100

⚖ Weight 38% ＋7.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative

49 / 100

⚖ Weight 22% ＋10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction

27 / 100

⚖ Weight 12% ＋3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative

58 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋5.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction

69 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋6.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction

40 / 100

⚖ Weight 8% ＋3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.

1 4. Vervain

40.8 N/A

2 11. Coul Dore

39.6 N/A

3 15. Jazz Forever

39.4 N/A

4 3. God Of Thunder

39.2 N/A

5 13. Princess Rosie

39.0 N/A

YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view

Limestone Red

Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly

📊

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability

🤖

★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance

🐾

Cub Votes

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Community Signal

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Limestone Red

Confidence: Speculative

Limestone Red carries the highest SR in the field at 42, which in a race where the entire field sits below 50 on the scale represents a meaningful edge. At 9-3, the weight is light enough not to be a burden, and the trainer Tracey Collins, while a small yard, has runners that arrive fit given only 20 days since last run. The form string 148823 shows a recent third, suggesting competitive engagement at this level. With no odds available, this is purely a form/SR case — but in a race this weak, the SR leader off a manageable weight is the most rational selection. Each-way alternative: Miss Australie. Main danger: Flagstone Lady — Flagstone Lady (SR:38) ran just 4 days ago suggesting peak fitness, is lightly weighted at 8-11, and jockey Reese Holohan has a solid 11% strike rate from 167 rides — in a weak field that combination could see her outrun her modest SR.

Case against 4 clamped

Tracey Collins has a strike rate of just 7% from only 27 runners — a very small yard with limited firepower; even a fit runner from here is far from reliable.
Jockey Rory Cleary hits at only 6% — one of the weaker booking percentages in the field, notably inferior to rivals' riders like W J Lee (14%) and J M Sheridan (12%).
Form string 148823 shows the recent third was preceded by an '8' and '2' — the horse has been finishing mid-pack or worse in most recent starts, and that third may flatter overall trajectory.
SR of 42 is only marginally ahead of Miss Australie (41) and Coul Dore/Flagstone Lady (38) — the SR edge is narrow, not commanding, and doesn't justify treating this as a clear standout.

Shortlist Limestone Red, Miss Australie, Flagstone Lady, Coul Dore

Each-way: Miss Australie Danger: Flagstone Lady

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f194y Distance to cover

Good Expected going

17 Confirmed runners

Down Royal Track and setting

Friday 4 September Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)

Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)

Haydock

Bangor-on-Dee

Ascot

Down Royal

Kilbeggan

Worcester

Kempton (AW)

Balanced lens

Vervain

Coul Dore

Premier Princess

Balanced

How the chamber read the race

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Saturday Rating

AI Stars

Cub Votes

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

🗺 The Course Race conditions