Down Royal 17:30 RESULTED
4 Sep 2026

Friday 4 September Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap

Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap · 7f27y

Official Result

Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Romance (GER) Andrew Slattery · Josh Halley
    7/1
  2. Second Elyatta (IRE)
    4/1
  3. 25/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Someday Somewhere silks
Someday Somewhere
Age 2 · 9-12
3445
69
54
82
2
9-12
SP
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Romance silks
Romance
Age 2 · 9-11
506
68
50
83
2
9-11
SP
Romance shapes as a strong threat on our rating, ranked top of the field, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions; the risk is that she has been winless in her last three starts.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Arizonaneargalway silks
Arizonaneargalway
Age 2 · 9-7
0880
64
40
59
2
9-7
SP
Winless in her last four starts, with a string of eighths and unplaced efforts, Arizonaneargalway is hard to fancy at 133 lb from stall 10, and a trainer striking at just 4% recently does little to inspire confidence, despite her experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Summer Sent You silks
Summer Sent You
Age 2 · 9-5
005
62
43
64
2
9-5
SP
Winless in her last three starts, Summer Sent You has at least run over today's trip and going, and a fifth on her most recent outing edges ahead of two unplaced efforts before it; the 131 lb burden from stall seven is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Thelymitra silks
Thelymitra
Age 2 · 9-5
680
62
42
63
2
9-5
SP
Winless in her last three starts, Thelymitra has run over today's trip and going before, and 38 days between runs at least suggests she returns fresh; however, her recent unplaced effort and a speed rating of 52 temper expectations from stall three carrying 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Fine Line silks
Fine Line
Age 2 · 9-4
00074
61
48
75
2
9-4
SP
Winless in her last five starts and with a trainer operating at just 4% in the past fortnight, Fine Line faces an uphill task, though she has experience over today's trip and going, and a rating of 75 suggests she holds more ability than her recent finishes imply.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Elyatta silks
Elyatta
Age 2 · 9-3
0894
60
49
76
2
9-3
SP
Winless in his last four starts and drawn in stall nine carrying 129 lb, Elyatta does at least have experience over today's trip and going, and a rating of 76 offers encouragement — though a trainer striking at just four per cent is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Dear Theodosia silks
Dear Theodosia
Age 2 · 8-12
009
55
40
58
2
8-12
SP
Winless in her last three starts, with a ninth and two unplaced efforts, Dear Theodosia arrives with a trainer badly out of form at 4% and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, making her very hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Ballymackney silks
Ballymackney
Age 2 · 8-11
790
54
44
68
2
8-11
SP
Winless in her last three starts and held up by a trainer in lean form at just 4% over the past fortnight, Ballymackney does at least return with distance and going experience and a rating of 68 offering some encouragement, though she faces an uphill task from stall 8 carrying 123 lb.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Rathbran Lady silks
Rathbran Lady
Age 2 · 8-9
007
52
38
53
2
8-9
SP
Winless in her last three starts — including a seventh and two unplaced efforts — Rathbran Lady heads into this in poor heart, and our rating ranks her last of ten runners; she does at least return eight days fresh and has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Romance

Low conviction

Romance owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (28) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

N/A Josh Halley Andrew Slattery
62% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Elyatta

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

N/A · Noel Meade
✓ Value Signal

Fine Line

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

N/A · Denis Gerard Hogan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +10.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
27 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
78 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Romance
41.8 N/A
2 7. Elyatta
41.5 N/A
3 6. Fine Line
40.5 N/A
4 9. Ballymackney
40.2 N/A
5 4. Summer Sent You
39.9 N/A
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Someday Somewhere
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Someday Somewhere
Confidence: Speculative

Someday Somewhere leads the field on SR (54) — a meaningful edge in a weak nursery where every other runner sits between SR 38-50. The form string 3445 shows consistent mid-field finishes rather than the zeros and eighties that litter rivals' records, suggesting a horse that competes rather than flounders. Top-weight at 9-12 is a concern, but at this SR level the weight spread (roughly 17lb from top to bottom) does not overcome a genuine ability gap. GoingFit:- is the primary worry, but with no market data to guide us, the SR advantage and the most coherent recent form in the field is the best framework available. Each-way alternative: Elyatta. Main danger: Elyatta — Elyatta (SR 49) is second in the SR standings, runs for Noel Meade whose 12% yard strike rate is the strongest of any trainer here, is ridden by W J Lee (14% career SR — best jockey booking in the field), and adds blinkers for the first time which Meade often reserves for a serious attempt.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jockey Jack Kearney (3) has a win rate of just 5% from 204 rides — the weakest strike rate of any jockey in this field, and a real drag on a horse that needs a competent partner to convert SR advanta…
  • Trainer Stephen Thorne converts at only 7% from 70 runners — among the lowest in the field. Thelymitra's trainer O'Brien (16%) and Elyatta/Ballymackney's Noel Meade (12%) both have significantly supe…
  • Top weight of 9-12 is 8lb clear of most runners in the bottom half of the field. In a low-grade 2yo nursery at Down Royal, that weight burden can negate a moderate SR edge, particularly if the going…
  • Form reads 3445 — consistently mid-field but no sign of a winning effort or even a close second. Four starts in and the horse has not threatened to lead, suggesting it may lack the finishing kick to…
Shortlist Someday Somewhere, Elyatta, Romance, Ballymackney
Each-way: Elyatta Danger: Elyatta

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f27y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Down Royal Track and setting