Goffs Yorton Sale 10th September Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 3m0f30y
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sure Touch | 7/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 Tamarind Bay | 5/2 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.38 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Homme Public | 16/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Regal Renaissance | 5/1 | 11/2 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 5 Presentandcounting | 11/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Thickthorn Tom | 13/8 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 13/8 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Thickthorn Tom owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 10-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Thickthorn Tom (SR:118, 13/8) arrives with a blazing form line of 212111 — four consecutive wins capped by a most recent victory just 8 days ago, showing peak freshness rather than staleness. Despite stepping up two class tiers (ClassMv:↑2), the Skelton operation (trainer 21%, jockey 27%) is among the most powerful in jump racing and routinely targets horses in progressive form at class rises; the stable would not run this horse 8 days after a win without believing it can compete here. The weight of 10-9 is a full stone lighter than top-weight Sure Touch (12-0, SR:124) and 7lb lighter than Tamarind Bay (11-9, SR:122), both of whom carry materially more ability-adjusted burden. GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles good ground, and the market at 13/8 reflects strong confidence despite the class rise — this is a yard that attacks with their best, not their second-string. Each-way alternative: Regal Renaissance. Main danger: Tamarind Bay — Tamarind Bay (SR:122, 9/4) carries the second-lowest weight in the field at 11-9 with recent back-to-back wins (Form:23-11U) and a competent Bowen stable combination, though the 28% market drift and MarkMv:+5 above last winning mark are genuine red flags that the market has already assessed and dismissed.