Clarke's Electrical Contractors, Castletown Geoghegan Beginners Steeplechase · 3m0f0y
SR 90 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 108 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Begger | 80/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Chanceawetmorning | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Moonovercloon | 6/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 4 My Great Mate | 10/11 open 2.00 | 4/5 open 2.25 | 5/6 open 2.10 | 5/6 open 2.10 | 5/6 open 2.00 | 5/6 open 2.00 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 5 Affinity Rock | 10/3 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
My Great Mate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 108 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
My Great Mate (SR 127, 10/11) is the clear class standout in this five-runner beginners' chase, holding a 6-point SR edge over Affinity Rock and a 16-point edge over Chanceawetmorning. The Mullins/Townend combination is the strongest pairing in Irish jumps racing — Townend strikes at 29% from 360 rides and Mullins at 21% from 1,313 — and the market has confirmed the stable's intention with a 9% inward move since opening. The form line of 4/24-3 shows consistent placed efforts at a level above this company, and a beginners' chase at Kilbeggan against this modest opposition represents a drop into very comfortable waters for a Mullins inmate. Each-way alternative: Affinity Rock. Main danger: Chanceawetmorning — Chanceawetmorning (SR 111, 4/1) is trained by Gordon Elliott — a yard that wins at 15% from 1,779 runners — ran only nine days ago suggesting peak fitness, and a form figure of '4' most recently on a going that does not suit could mask a better performance if today's good ground plays to its strengths.