Red Lion Llandyfaelog Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f80y
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 132 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Circle of Secrets | 14/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Just Johnny | 20/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Aerial Silk | 5/4 open 2.63 | 6/5 open 2.75 | 6/5 open 2.50 | 6/5 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.62 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Lucky Radar | 10/11 open 1.62 | 10/11 open 1.50 | 10/11 open 1.61 | 10/11 open 1.62 | evn open 1.57 | evn open 1.57 | evn William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lucky Radar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 132 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lucky Radar (SR 158) is comfortably the highest-rated runner in this field, sitting 25 points clear of the next-best at SR 133 — a gulf that translates to a substantial ability edge even in a four-runner novice. Oisin Murphy (22% strike rate, 2,701 career rides) is the standout jockey booking and rarely takes up mounts of this nature without confidence in the horse. The single form figure of '2' suggests a competitive debut and imminent improvement, and the same-class assignment (ClassMv:=) means connections are not overreaching. The 12% market drift from 4/5 is a mild concern — hence Medium rather than High confidence — likely reflecting the unexplored heavy-ground question (GoingFit:?) and the unknown trip (DistFit:?), but no rival has a credible SR or form case to oppose it. Each-way alternative: Circle of Secrets. Main danger: Just Johnny — Just Johnny has steamed in 27% in the market — the most significant market move in the race — suggesting stable confidence or significant inside information that the form figures and SR alone do not yet reflect.