Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes · 5f21y
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lady of Hay | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 El Lambo | 4/1 open 29.00 | 7/2 open 26.00 | 7/2 open 26.00 | 7/2 open 26.00 | 7/2 open 26.00 | 10/3 open 12.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Tree Wizard | 28/1 open 11.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 12.00 | 28/1 open 12.00 | 28/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Calef | 11/2 open 3.50 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 5/1 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Chianti | 3/1 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 3.00 | 3/1 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Mrs Mole | 12/1 open 21.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 17/2 open 21.00 | 17/2 open 21.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Last Dandelion | 9/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Time And Effort | 7/1 open 13.00 | 7/1 open 17.00 | 7/1 open 15.00 | 7/1 open 15.00 | 7/1 open 15.00 | 13/2 open 15.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Lola | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 10 C'Est Lui | 14/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Alpha Legend | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Chianti owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
El Lambo (SR:60, 9/1) has steamed in 61% in the market — by far the most aggressive move in this field — signalling informed money on a horse dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) with a moderate distance fit (DistFit:~) and trainer Charles Hills operating at 15% strike rate. The 9-9 weight is manageable and the class drop from whatever defeated him in the 510650 sequence gives a live chance to exploit weaker rivals here. While his SR of 60 is not the highest in the field, the weight concession he gets versus Chianti (9-7 to his 9-9 is negligible) and the sheer scale of market support (61% in) cannot be ignored — that kind of move in a 11-runner Class 6 nursery strongly suggests connections have identified a winning opportunity. The form figure '0' last time is a concern but the class relief and strong market confidence outweigh it. Each-way alternative: Chianti. Main danger: Chianti — Chianti (SR:71, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin, holds DistFit:+ at this exact trip, has placed at this course (Course:W0P1), and Archie Watson at 15% strike rate is a strong handler — despite the 28% market drift (likely Wolverhampton regulars taking the short price), the raw ability edge at 9-7 makes it the most dangerous rival to the pick.