Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 7f36y
SR 63 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 48 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 16 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Based | 10/3 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 2 Jackson Street | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 6/1 open 12.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Bungle Bay | 17/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Distillation | evn open 4.00 | 11/10 open 3.00 | 11/10 open 3.25 | 11/10 open 3.50 | 11/10 open 3.25 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 Paddy Power |
| 5 Golden Harvest | 20/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 6 Rain Cap | 14/1 open 4.00 | 12/1 open 5.00 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 14/1 open 4.33 | 14/1 open 5.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Ndoto | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Spruces Due | 66/1 open 13.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Royal Justice | 125/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Nautical Sky | 22/1 open 10.00 | 20/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 open 9.50 | 22/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Based owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 63 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Distillation (SR 70, 6/4) is the clear class leader in this field — 7 SR points clear of Based (SR 63) and substantially ahead of the rest. Crucially, the market has backed this view emphatically, shortening 24% since opening, and the course record of W1P3 at Wolverhampton confirms she handles this track. Running off a mark only 2lb higher than her last win (MarkMv:+2), the moderate GoingFit:~ is the only mild concern, but at Class 6 with a dominant SR and strong course profile the case is compelling. Rose Dawes (5lb claim) on board reduces the effective weight burden further. Each-way alternative: Based. Main danger: Based — Based (SR 63, 7/2) has steamed in 19% in the market, holds W1P3 course form at Wolverhampton, and while DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are concerns, the strong market move suggests connections believe today's conditions suit better than the record implies.