Fairyhouse 17:27 RESULTED
21 Sep 2026

Yesterday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Prevalence (GB) Colin Keane · G. M. Lyons
    9/1
  2. 11/2
  3. 8/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 9 hours, 27 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Noli Timere silks
Noli Timere
Age 4 · 10-0
50-057
85
60
91
4
10-0
20/1 14/1 20/1
Winless in her last five starts, Noli Timere nonetheless heads the ratings here and her experience over today's trip and going is a solid foundation; a 53-day break gives connections scope to have freshened her up, and from stall three carrying 140 lb, she rates the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

2
Prevalence silks
Prevalence
Age 3 · 10-0
1-3010
88
87
88
3
10-0
17/2 9/2 8/1
Prevalence arrives here on a winning note two starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going underlines her credentials as a serious threat; the concern is a return to the unplaced efforts that have punctuated her recent form.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Mai Dahlia silks
Mai Dahlia
Age 3 · 9-12
321
86
86
77
3
9-12
4/1 FCST 7/2
Rated well below her official mark on our figures and ranked near the foot of the field, Mai Dahlia is hard to fancy despite a lively recent sequence of third, second, and win, and a 79-day absence adds further uncertainty, even if she has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Temperance silks
Temperance
Age 4 · 9-12
8-6077
83
55
90
4
9-12
33/1 22/1 33/1
Rated 90 and ranked second of thirteen, Temperance brings solid claims at a weight of 138 lb from stall two and has experience of today's distance and going; the main concern is that she has been winless in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Treasure Rose silks
Treasure Rose
Age 4 · 9-12
211588
83
76
89
4
9-12
11/1 11/1 10/1
Treasure Rose won back-to-back races in her last six starts, showing the kind of consistent form that makes her a genuine threat here, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions; the chief concern is a trainer who has drawn a blank in 26 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Glory To Be silks
Glory To Be
Age 4 · 9-10
952104
81
80
84
4
9-10
8/1 9/1 15/2
A fourth last time out and unplaced two starts back temper expectations, but she showed her best when winning three starts back, and experience over today's trip and going gives her a foothold from stall 10 off 136 lb.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Stars Will Shine silks
Stars Will Shine
Age 3 · 9-6
315-90
80
80
86
3
9-6
9/1 8/1 9/1
Stars Will Shine showed a win and a third in recent starts but has been out of the placings in her last two, and 85 days off the track is a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and 132 lb from stall seven gives her every chance if sharper.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Back Down Under silks
Back Down Under
Age 5 · 9-2
-64504
73
73
84
5
9-2
9/1 11/2 9/1
Winless in her last five starts, Back Down Under at least brings distance and going experience to the table, and 25 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh; carrying 128 lb from stall one, her rating of 84 gives her claims, though consistent midfield finishes are the concern.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Bella Colombia silks
Bella Colombia
Age 5 · 9-1
231139
72
82
75
5
9-1
15/2 15/2 13/2
Bella Colombia is ranked well down the field on our figures and her latest effort — a ninth last time out — makes her hard to fancy at the weights, though she has winning form in recent starts and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Never The Same silks
Never The Same
Age 3 · 9-1
8-41
75
79
72
3
9-1
5/1 4/1 5/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and her speed rating of 62 leaves plenty to prove, though she does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Star Strewn silks
Star Strewn
Age 3 · 9-1
-18971
75
67
80
3
9-1
18/1 9/1 14/1
Star Strewn won last time out and was also a winner five starts back, though finishes of eighth and ninth in between temper expectations; she has run over today's distance and going, carries 127 lb from stall 12, and her rating of 80 suggests she retains a chance.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Hugo's Girl silks
Hugo's Girl
Age 4 · 9-0
244251
71
79
79
4
9-0
17/2 10/1 15/2
Hugo's Girl won last time out and returns on a quick 11-day turnaround with distance and going experience in her favour, but ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures and carrying 126 lb from stall 11, she faces a stiff task against stronger-rated rivals.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Thenandnow silks
Thenandnow
Age 3 · 9-0
150353
74
77
86
3
9-0
10/1 15/2 10/1
Thenandnow was third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her proven credentials on both fronts, though she has managed just one win in her last six starts and faces 12 rivals from stall 13 carrying 126 lb.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Noli Timere 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Coral
2 Prevalence 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 Bet365
3 Mai Dahlia 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 7/2 4/1 Bet365
4 Temperance 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Treasure Rose 11/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
6 Glory To Be 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365
7 Stars Will Shine 9/1 open 23.00 9/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 10/1 Coral
8 Back Down Under 9/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 Coral
9 Bella Colombia 15/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 8.50 15/2 15/2 15/2 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
10 Never The Same 5/1 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 Coral
11 Star Strewn 18/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 22/1 Coral
12 Hugo's Girl 17/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 15/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 Coral
13 Thenandnow 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mai Dahlia

Speculative

Mai Dahlia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Joseph Patrick O'Brien J M Sheridan
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Never The Same

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Temperance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Miss Kate McGivern
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Mai Dahlia
56.4 4/1
2 10. Never The Same
51.3 5/1
3 6. Glory To Be
51.2 8/1
4 12. Hugo's Girl
50.2 17/2
5 7. Stars Will Shine
49.8 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Prevalence
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-1
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 5 · 9-1
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-10
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 10-0
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 4 · 9-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-6
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 9-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 9-0
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-1
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Prevalence
Confidence: Speculative

Prevalence (SR:87, 6/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and holds proven distance and going credentials (DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+), the only runner to tick both boxes positively. Colin Keane (16% strike rate, 2315 career rides) is an elite booking that speaks to stable confidence, and at 9-0 equivalent weight (10-0 but top-rated) the burden is not prohibitive relative to what the SR edge delivers. The form figure 3010 shows a win four runs back but also recent disappointing runs — however, the +6 mark move and tongue-tie off suggest connections are targeting a specific opportunity here, and no rival can match the SR or the double-proven trip/going profile. Each-way alternative: Stars Will Shine. Main danger: Mai Dahlia — Mai Dahlia (SR:86, 4/1) ran 3-2-1 in her last three and is the O'Brien yard's designated #1 runner (better jockey booking than stablemate Never The Same, shorter price), with GoingFit:+ and a course place to her name — the drift to 4/1 is modest and may simply reflect the 79-day absence rather than a genuine stable signal against her.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form figures 3010 show three consecutive non-wins including a '0' (pulled up or fell?), and the sole win was four runs back — this horse arrives on a losing streak at a track where recent form matter…
  • Mai Dahlia (SR:86, 4/1) is nearly identically rated, carries 2lb less, is on a three-run winning trajectory (321), trained by Joseph O'Brien in a stable flagged as 'in form' (Stable:1), and is shorte…
  • Tongue-tie being removed ('off') after apparent disappointing runs is as likely to indicate a horse that didn't respond to it as it is a positive targeting signal — no clear evidence it was the sourc…
  • Never The Same (5/1, O'Brien Stable:1) is the joint-shortest in the market and is shorter than Prevalence at 6/1, suggesting market money is not following the SR edge — the market is siding against P…
Shortlist Prevalence, Mai Dahlia, Stars Will Shine, Bella Colombia
Each-way: Stars Will Shine Danger: Mai Dahlia

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Fairyhouse Track and setting