Hamilton 17:02 RESULTED
Class 6 21 Sep 2026

Yesterday Start Your Racingtv Free Trial Now Confined Handicap Stakes (For Horses With No Win In 2026)

Start Your Racingtv Free Trial Now Confined Handicap Stakes (For Horses With No Win In 2026) · 0m6f6y

Official Result

Start Your Racingtv Free Trial Now Confined Handicap Stakes (For Horses With No Win In 2026)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bay Breeze (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby
    11/4
  2. 6/1
  3. 10/11F
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 9 hours, 27 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Cape Sovereign silks
Cape Sovereign Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-4
7900-0
55
55OR
4
9-4
SP
1
Winter Crown silks
Winter Crown
Age 6 · 9-9
409-86
60
49
69
6
9-9
14/1 9/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts, Winter Crown nonetheless rates clear of his rivals on our figures and has experience of today's trip and going to call on; carrying 135 lb from stall nine, thirteen days between runs looks sharp enough preparation.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

2
Lesley's Boy silks
Lesley's Boy
Age 4 · 9-9
-05884
60
62
64
4
9-9
10/3 5/1 3/1
Ranked second of eight on speed figures, Lesley's Boy has experience of today's trip and conditions and arrives here fit on a 19-day turnaround, but he is winless in his last five starts and a trainer firing at just 5% recently is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Bay Breeze silks
Bay Breeze
Age 7 · 9-7
734463
58
62
62
7
9-7
5/2 7/2 9/4
Bay Breeze shaped with promise when third last time out and has experience over today's trip and going, with our rating of 62 putting him ahead of his official mark; the concern is that he has been winless in recent starts and must prove he can convert that consistency into something more decisive.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Ottawa silks
Ottawa
Age 4 · 9-6
865004
57
51
54
4
9-6
8/1 9/1 13/2
Winless in his last six starts, Ottawa carries 132 lb from stall three, and while he has run over today's trip and going before, a best recent finish of fourth suggests he remains frustratingly short of what's needed to trouble the principals here.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Edmond Halley silks
Edmond Halley
Age 4 · 9-4
075335
55
57
58
4
9-4
9/4 7/4 28/15
Edmond Halley has placed third twice in his last six starts but remains yet to win, and while he has run over today's trip and going, his fifth-place finish last time out tempers expectations; 130 lb from stall five is the hand he holds.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Impressor silks
Impressor
Age 9 · 9-3
360801
54
61
63
9
9-3
9/2 7/2 4/1
Impressor arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, with a speed rating that puts him clear of his official mark; the concern is that just one day between runs leaves his stamina for a repeat effort the key question.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Sovereign Class silks
Sovereign Class
Age 4 · 8-11
7-3600
48
25
49
4
8-11
20/1 20/1 18/1
Winless in her last five starts with two unplaced efforts in succession, Sovereign Class is hard to fancy from a ranking of seventh of eight on our figures, and her official mark of 48 underlines the task; the fact she has run over today's trip and returns on a quick 12-day turnaround are slim consolations.
AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Summerstorms Dream silks
Summerstorms Dream
Age 4 · 8-9
266307
44
35
42
4
8-9
12/1 14/1 12/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Summerstorms Dream heads into this in poor form, with a third three starts back the sole bright spot — experience over today's trip and distance at least ensures she won't be inconvenienced by conditions.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Cape Sovereign
1 Winter Crown 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
2 Lesley's Boy 10/3 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 10/3 Bet365
3 Bay Breeze 5/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 9/4 open 6.00 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 Bet365
4 Ottawa 8/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
5 Edmond Halley 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 Bet365
7 Impressor 9/2 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 4/1 9/2 Bet365
8 Sovereign Class 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 Bet365
9 Summerstorms Dream 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Edmond Halley

Speculative

Edmond Halley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Edward Bethell Connor Beasley
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bay Breeze

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Sovereign Class

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Grant Tuer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Edmond Halley
50.0 9/4
2 3. Bay Breeze
50.0 5/2
3 7. Impressor
49.0 9/2
4 2. Lesley's Boy
47.9 10/3
5 4. Ottawa
42.9 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bay Breeze
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 9-4
9/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 9-7
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 9-3
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 8-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 35 🐾

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

1
Age 6 · 9-9
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

8
Age 4 · 8-11
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 25 🐾

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bay Breeze
Confidence: Speculative

Bay Breeze (SR:62, 7/2, 9-7) is the standout on a combination of signals: joint-highest SR in the field, confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's soft ground which is a key differentiator in a race where three rivals have GoingFit:- or GoingFit:?, course form of W0P2 at Hamilton, a mark that has dropped 9lb since last win (MarkMv:-9) giving a clear weight-on-handicap edge, and a market that has shortened 13% since opening — money is arriving with purpose. Tim Easterby (11% SR, 4,572 runners) is a volume trainer who knows when a horse is primed, and David Allan (13%) is a reliable booking at this level. The cheekpieces (HG:p) have been worn before, suggesting the yard is comfortable with the headgear configuration. The consistent recent form of 734463 shows a horse running to a level, not declining — and a drop of 9lb on the mark since last winning suggests the handicapper has given connections a real opportunity. Each-way alternative: Lesley's Boy. Main danger: Lesley's Boy — Lesley's Boy (SR:62, 7/2, 9-9) matches Bay Breeze on SR, carries a visor first-time or reapplied (HG:v) which can sharpen a horse significantly, and has steamed in 25% in the market — the strongest market move in the field — suggesting Fahey's yard and connections have strong confidence; the GoingFit:? is the only uncertainty, and if soft ground suits, this horse could readily upstage the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Lesley's Boy shares the joint-highest SR:62 but has shortened 25% into the market — nearly double Bay Breeze's 13% move — and carries the same weight at 9-9, making it a sharper market mover at ident…
  • Bay Breeze's recent form string 734463 shows no win in at least 6 runs; the horse is running to a level but that level is placing/minor money, not winning — the 9lb mark drop hasn't yet unlocked a vi…
  • Impressor (SR:61) ran just 1 day ago, Course:W4P11 at Hamilton is vastly superior course form, and a fresh market drift out 20% may simply reflect recency of run rather than trainer/market negative s…
  • At age 7 with W0P2 course form, Bay Breeze has had multiple chances to convert at Hamilton specifically and has not; course familiarity is a positive but the inability to win here despite past visits…
Shortlist Bay Breeze, Lesley's Boy, Impressor, Ottawa
Each-way: Lesley's Boy Danger: Lesley's Boy

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m6f6y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Hamilton Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade