Clonmacash caught the eye with his win last time out, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions, giving him a solid foothold here off a 30-day break; a misfiring yard is the one note of caution, but the horse's own form is the reason he earns the nod.
Form last 6543751
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR78RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked top of 18 on our rating, Bad Boy Rizz has shown consistent form in his recent starts — a second and third in his last five — and has run over today's distance and going before, yet the main concern is that eighth last time out suggests he heads here on a downward curve.
Form last 6-23548
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR82RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sovereign Cry landed a win in his last six starts and returns on a quick 12-day turnaround, suggesting he is firmly in training; he has run over today's trip and going, and his rating of 75 gives him strong claims, though his three most recent efforts will need reversing.
Form last 6184998
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR75RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Yet to win in her last five starts, Bundle Of Interest does return on quick enough a turnaround at 20 days and has run over today's trip and going, but 138 lb from stall 18 are the weights against her, despite a third last time out offering a glimmer.
Form last 6-07793
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR72RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winner last time out and third two starts back, Irish Rumour arrives in fair nick on 16 days' rest, and she has experience over today's trip and going; the 137 lb burden and a rating of 67 are the checks on her claims here.
Form last 6205031
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
65SR66RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Nouvel Espoir arrives in good nick after finishing second last time out and a winner five starts back, but three runs without a win in between temper expectations; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 136 lb from stall 13.
Form last 6414432
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR70RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dandyville has been winless in his last five starts, with a string of unplaced efforts the chief concern, and our figures rank him well down the field here; he does at least carry fitness into this having run 16 days ago and has experience of today's trip and going.
Form last 600-008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR62RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked 16 of 18 on our figures, Hello Stacia faces a stiff ask here; she was third three starts back and has going experience in her favour, but two consecutive backward steps since make her hard to fancy from stall 16 off 40 days.
Form last 6379
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR54RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Perfect Base does show a third four starts back to suggest ability, though a disqualification in between clouds the picture; she has distance and going experience to call on, but 134 lb from stall 14 on an OR of 64 makes life tough.
Form last 603D-09
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR73RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Four Blondes brings solid fitness after a 30-day break, has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 77 makes her one of the most potent threats in this field — the main concern is that she remains winless in her last five starts.
Form last 68-4056
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR77RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and returning from a 106-day absence with a trainer currently without a winner in 26 attempts, Jackie Jump Up faces an uphill task, though she does have experience over today's trip and going and a fourth and third in recent starts offer some encouragement.
Form last 603-470
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR65RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Go Out has run over today's trip and going, and a placing three starts back offers some encouragement, but he remains winless in his last six starts and his official mark of 61 leaves him with plenty to find against stronger-rated rivals here.
Form last 6690346
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR70RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Coincidental Glory arrives 23 days since an unplaced effort and is yet to win in his last six starts, with a second and third in that sequence offering some encouragement; however, he carries 129 lb from stall 17 and his trainer has sent out 27 losers in the past fortnight.
Form last 6632940
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR71RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Landed a win five starts back but has failed to fire in recent starts, going unplaced twice in her last three; she has run over today's distance and going, and 30 days between runs suggests she returns fresh, though 126 lb from stall 12 adds to her task.
Form last 6-17080
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR63RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last six starts, One Cool Bear returns 16 days after finishing eighth last time out, with two unplaced efforts before that doing little to inspire confidence; a trainer in the depths of a 0/27 run makes him very hard to fancy here despite experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6447008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR63RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Top Biller faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and two runner-up finishes in recent starts offer slim cause for encouragement, but he is hard to fancy at these weights.
Form last 6602020
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
34SR52RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Caffu Zafeen is ranked fifteenth of eighteen on our figures and faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a fresh enough 16-day break carrying 119 lb from stall 15.
Form last 6000905
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR55RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Two consecutive unplaced efforts make Amanirenas hard to fancy, ranked last on our figures, and her sole recent win came four starts back. Distance and going experience and a quick 11-day turnaround are modest crumbs of comfort.
Form last 6019-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR51RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Four Blondes owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/1Ross O'SullivanSiobhan Rutledge
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Clonmacash
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Adrian McGuinness✓ Value Signal
Perfect Base
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Miss Natalia Lupini◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Nouvel Espoir (SR:67, 11/2) holds the second-highest SR in the field and carries a workable 9-10, giving a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Clonmacash (10-5, SR:71). The form string 414432 shows consistent placed efforts at this class level — the horse has been knocking on the door throughout, and Colin Keane (16% career strike rate, 2,315 runners) is a significant booking for a yard that runs infrequently. While both DistFit and GoingFit are negative flags, the same distance/going concerns apply to the majority of this field, neutralising that disadvantage. The MarkMv:+5 is modest and the market has drifted only 6% — the lightest drift among the competitive runners — suggesting the money hasn't abandoned it despite the headwinds.
Each-way alternative: Bad Boy Rizz.
Main danger: Clonmacash — Clonmacash carries the field's highest SR (71) and has a course placing (W0P1) for the McGuinness yard; Sam Coen's 11% strike rate on 403 runners is respectable, and despite the drift and DistFit:- concern, raw ability at this level makes it the most dangerous rival.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Trainer James M Barcoe strikes at just 5% (249 runners) — an infrequent yard with a poor overall record, meaning Colin Keane's booking may not reflect stable confidence so much as a spare ride.
Both DistFit and GoingFit are flagged negative for Nouvel Espoir specifically; the analyst's claim these apply equally across the field requires scrutiny — Irish Rumour (SR:65) and Clonmacash (SR:71)…
The MarkMv of +5 means the handicapper has nudged the mark upward since last run, suggesting the assessor sees the consistent placed form (414432) as being fairly exposed rather than potentially bett…
Irish Rumour (SR:65, 13/2) carries a lighter weight (9-11), has a superior 3-star rating, and its jockey Orla Tynan hits 14% strike rate — a materially competitive profile at a shorter price differen…
ShortlistNouvel Espoir, Clonmacash, Bad Boy Rizz, Irish Rumour