Listowel 16:05 RESULTED
21 Sep 2026

Yesterday John McGuire Handicap

John McGuire Handicap · 1m4f0y

Official Result

John McGuire Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Handani (IRE) Chris Hayes · D K Weld
    5/2F
  2. 22/1
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 17 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 9 hours, 27 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
This Songisforyou silks
This Songisforyou
Age 8 · 10-0
50-290
96
68
104
8
10-0
20/1 FCST 18/1
Winless in his last five starts, This Songisforyou did post a second three starts back and rates highest in the field on our figures, with experience over today's trip and going and a quick nine-day turnaround since his latest outing.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
War Rooms silks
War Rooms
Age 5 · 9-6
-80168
88
87
96
5
9-6
4/1 11/2 4/1
War Rooms won three starts back and returns here fit on just nine days' rest, carrying 132 lb over a trip and going he has experience of; the concern is whether he can recapture that form after two below-par efforts since.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Narlita silks
Narlita
Age 7 · 9-2
536405
84
63
94
7
9-2
33/1 20/1 28/1
Narlita shaped with promise when third in recent starts and returns on a quick turnaround of just 13 days, with experience over today's trip and going working in her favour; yet to score in her last six, that winless run is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

4
Obscenity silks
Obscenity
Age 4 · 9-2
312104
84
83
86
4
9-2
9/1 8/1 17/2
Obscenity has experience of today's distance and going, and his two wins in his last six starts — including a victory three starts back — show he can find the frame, though a fourth and an unplaced run since suggest he needs to recapture that form off a 40-day break carrying 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Star Harbour silks
Star Harbour
Age 8 · 9-2
552230
84
80
97
8
9-2
16/1 FCST 14/1
Star Harbour franked a consistent recent profile with a third two starts back and successive seconds three and four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going — though the main risk is a trainer who has drawn a blank in 27 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Tribal Star silks
Tribal Star
Age 5 · 9-1
902004
83
74
92
5
9-1
16/1 8/1 16/1
Tribal Star ran into fourth last time out after a run of unplaced efforts, and has experience of today's distance and going, but he heads here winless in his last six starts and with his trainer yet to land a winner from 27 attempts in the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Alphecca silks
Alphecca
Age 3 · 8-13
11-798
88
70
89
3
8-13
25/1 16/1 22/1
Alphecca showed she knows how to win, landing back-to-back victories four and five starts back, but three subsequent defeats culminating in an eighth last time out paint a bleaker picture; the 121-day absence is a concern, though she has going experience to lean on.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Daboya silks
Daboya
Age 5 · 8-12
551182
80
84
83
5
8-12
18/1 10/1 16/1
Ranked 13 of 17 on our figures, Daboya faces a stiff ask against stronger-rated rivals, and two fifth-place finishes in her last six starts drag on the profile; she has run over today's trip and going, and that second last time out at least shows she retains some ability.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Rock Of Ireland silks
Rock Of Ireland
Age 5 · 8-11
-12640
79
70
87
5
8-11
16/1 12/1 16/1
Rock Of Ireland showed useful form when second four starts back and a winner five starts back, but he has disappointed in his last two outings and returns after 54 days off; experience over today's trip and going offers some encouragement, though consistency remains the question.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Sharkeyboy silks
Sharkeyboy
Age 3 · 8-11
52-520
86
89
89
3
8-11
15/2 5/1 15/2
Winless in his last five starts, Sharkeyboy nonetheless brings two runner-up finishes to the table, including a second two starts back, though an unplaced effort last time out is a concern; carrying 123 lb with experience over today's trip, he returns after a 30-day break as a midfield proposition.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Superficial silks
Superficial
Age 4 · 8-11
-26100
79
61
85
4
8-11
66/1 40/1 50/1
Superficial won three starts back but has been unplaced in both outings since, leaving his recent form patchy; he has run over today's trip and going, and 21 days off suggests he returns fresh, though a mark of 79 and a midfield ranking temper expectations.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Day Trader silks
Day Trader
Age 5 · 8-9
6-0022
77
81
81
5
8-9
9/2 7/1 9/2
Winless in his last five starts, Day Trader has at least shown some consistency with back-to-back runner-up finishes, and he has experience over today's distance and going; ranked 14 of 17 on our figures, however, he faces a stiff task at the weights carrying 121 lb.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Handani silks
Handani
Age 3 · 8-9
2-231
84
100
90
3
8-9
10/3 5/2 3/1
Handani won last time out and has going experience to call on, but his speed rating of 78 and a ranking of sixth of seventeen suggest he faces a stiff ask against stronger company here.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Royal Saxo silks
Royal Saxo
Age 6 · 8-9
2-9957
77
54
84
6
8-9
28/1 28/1 25/1
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

15
Sir Jeremy silks
Sir Jeremy
Age 4 · 8-7
719515
75
75
81
4
8-7
17/2 11/1 8/1
Sir Jeremy has won twice in his last six starts but has finished fifth last time out, and his record shows inconsistency throughout; ranked 16 of 17 on our figures, he faces a stiff ask here despite having experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Ephesus silks
Ephesus
Age 5 · 8-7
00-986
75
52
81
5
8-7
SP FCST 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, with finishes of ninth, eighth and sixth in recent starts telling a grim story, Ephesus makes little appeal here despite having run over today's distance and going before, and our figures rank him near the foot of this field.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

17
Eben Zaabeel silks
Eben Zaabeel
Age 5 · 8-7
2/0003
TBA
74
83
81
5
8-7
SP FCST 6/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Eben Zaabeel is hard to fancy here, though a third last time out and experience over today's trip and going are at least something to cling to.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 This Songisforyou 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 18/1 22/1 Paddy Power
2 War Rooms 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 Coral
3 Narlita 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 40/1 Paddy Power
4 Obscenity 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 10/1 Paddy Power
5 Star Harbour 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 18/1 Paddy Power
6 Tribal Star 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 18/1 Paddy Power
7 Alphecca 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Daboya 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 Bet365
9 Rock Of Ireland 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Paddy Power
10 Sharkeyboy 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 William Hill
11 Superficial 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365
12 Day Trader 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 9.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 William Hill
13 Handani 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 10/3 Bet365
14 Royal Saxo 28/1 25/1 open 31.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 Bet365
15 Sir Jeremy 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 Bet365
16 Ephesus 25/1 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Paddy Power
17 Eben Zaabeel 6/1 8/1 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 15/2 8/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Handani

Speculative

Handani owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 D K Weld Chris Hayes
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

War Rooms

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Gerard Keane
✓ Value Signal

Alphecca

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Joseph G Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 13. Handani
58.9 10/3
2 2. War Rooms
56.5 4/1
3 10. Sharkeyboy
53.5 15/2
4 12. Day Trader
52.9 9/2
5 15. Sir Jeremy
50.7 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Handani
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

13
Age 3 · 8-9
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-6
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 8-9
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 8-11
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Age 4 · 8-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 8 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-1
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 8-11
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 8-12
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 10-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Handani
Confidence: Speculative

Handani (SR:100, 5/2) is the standout ability figure in this field — a full 11 points clear of the next-best Sharkeyboy (SR:89) — and carries a highly competitive 8-9, the joint-lightest weight among the serious contenders. The form string 2-231 shows consistent improvement culminating in a last-time-out win, GoingFit:+ confirms the Good ground suits, and trainer D K Weld (13% strike rate from 613 runners) is a reliable handler of progressive three-year-olds stepping up in trip. The DistFit:? is the only caveat — insufficient data at 1m4f — but the form trajectory and class advantage over this field are compelling enough to accept that uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Daboya. Main danger: Sharkeyboy — Sharkeyboy (SR:89, 6/1) is trained by W P Mullins (26% strike rate, the field's best trainer by far) and at just three years old carries only 8-11, giving Handani a negligible weight concession while having significant upside if the 1m4f trip — currently DistFit:? — proves to suit.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:? is a genuine flag — Handani's form string 2-231 gives no evidence of staying 1m4f, and the last-time-out win may have been over a shorter trip where stamina was not tested.
  • Sharkeyboy is trained by W.P. Mullins (26% strike rate, 2881 runners) — a vastly superior handler to Weld in terms of big-race delivery — and at 6/1 represents a serious market rival with live claims.
  • HG:p flags Handani as unproven on Good ground despite GoingFit:+; if the going has dried out since that assessment, the confidence in going suitability may be overstated.
  • Handani's market shows MarkMv:= (no move), meaning despite being a 3yo favourite in a wide-open handicap, punters have not backed it in — absence of support at 5/2 in a competitive field is a mild bu…
Shortlist Handani, Sharkeyboy, Obscenity, Daboya
Each-way: Daboya Danger: Sharkeyboy

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
17 Confirmed runners
Listowel Track and setting