Winter Festival Early Bird Ticket Claiming Race · 0m7f0y
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Eighteenth Smiles | 10/11 open 1.73 | 4/5 open 1.57 | 5/6 open 1.73 | 5/6 open 1.73 | 5/6 open 1.73 | 4/5 open 1.73 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 2 Shesthedevil | 15/8 open 6.00 | 7/4 open 4.50 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 7/4 open 4.00 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Tio Joao | 6/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 4 Cloughleagh Bridge | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Honey Deuce | 9/2 open 23.00 | 4/1 open 26.00 | 9/2 open 13.00 | 9/2 open 13.00 | 9/2 open 13.00 | 9/2 open 13.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Cudawudashuda | 15/8 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 6.50 | 2/1 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 5.00 | 7/4 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 6.00 | 2/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Somethingaboutlove | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Eighteenth Smiles owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Eighteenth Smiles leads the field on SR (89) by a clear 15-point margin over the next-best Shesthedevil (SR 74), a substantial gap in a modest 7-runner claimer with a prize of €6,000. The form string 550331 — read right-to-left — shows a win and two consecutive placed efforts most recently, indicating the horse is in decent nick and trending upward. Joseph Patrick O'Brien's yard operates at 16%, comfortably the strongest handler in the race, and while the 7% market drift is a mild concern, the GoingFit:- flag is the principal worry — this good ground may not be ideal. Against a field where no rival exceeds SR 74 and several are well below the workmanlike threshold, the class edge is compelling enough to overcome the going reservation. Each-way alternative: Cudawudashuda. Main danger: Cudawudashuda — Cudawudashuda (SR 59, 4/1) is trained by G.M. Lyons at 16% strike rate and ridden by Colin Keane (16%, 2315 career rides) — the most potent jockey-trainer combination in the race — and the addition of first-time blinkers (HG:b) on a horse with only three runs could produce a sharply improved performance, while a 4lb weight advantage over Eighteenth Smiles is meaningful on good ground at 7f.