Fairyhouse.ie Nursery Handicap · 0m6f0y
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 April Mist | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 Coral |
| 2 Bold Commander | 5/1 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Ocean Surge | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 William Hill |
| 4 Scarlet Dream | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Captain James Cook | 9/2 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Pink Venom | 9/4 open 7.00 | 2/1 open 6.50 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 15/8 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Prince Of Peppard | 15/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Lily Bear | 22/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Stormy Dawn | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Pink Venom owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No drifters in this race.
Pink Venom (SR:77, 10/3) leads this field in ability and carries just 8-13 — a 4lb advantage over top-weight April Mist (SR:82, 10-3) that meaningfully narrows the SR gap. The 17% market shortening is the most significant market signal in the race and suggests informed money backing connections' #1 from the Murtagh yard. A course placing (W0P1 at Fairyhouse) is relevant experience, and the 733 form string shows consistent placing without a disastrous run. Ben Coen (11%, 1800 runners) is clearly the yard's chosen jockey over Rory Mulligan on stablemate Prince Of Peppard, confirming stable intent. Each-way alternative: April Mist. Main danger: April Mist — April Mist has the highest SR in the field at 82 and is trained by G. M. Lyons (16% strike rate), and despite the 10-3 weight burden the market holds her at 4/1 with no drift signal, suggesting the handicapper's assessment of her ability is respected.