Kempton (AW) 18:30 RESULTED
Class 3 9 Sep 2026

Wednesday 9 September Unibet Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Unibet Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Unibet Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lex Victoria (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Simon & Ed Crisford
    6/5F
  2. 8/1
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lex Victoria silks
Lex Victoria
Age 2 · 9-9
1
158
2
9-9
4/6 10/11 1/2
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Dreamology silks
Dreamology
Age 2 · 9-2
150
2
9-2
4/1 10/3 5/2
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Floral silks
Floral
Age 2 · 9-2
144
2
9-2
18/1 9/1 18/1
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Isabella Of Aragon silks
Isabella Of Aragon
Age 2 · 9-2
5
124
2
9-2
50/1 20/1 25/1
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Pink Larkspur silks
Pink Larkspur
Age 2 · 9-2
151
2
9-2
6/1 4/1 6/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Sioux Empress silks
Sioux Empress
Age 2 · 9-2
145
2
9-2
11/1 11/2 11/1
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
State Of America silks
State Of America
Age 2 · 9-2
8
124
2
9-2
40/1 16/1 22/1
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lex Victoria 4/6 open 2.38 1/2 open 1.91 4/7 open 2.00 4/7 open 2.00 4/6 open 2.00 8/13 open 2.00 4/6 Bet365
2 Dreamology 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Floral 18/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Paddy Power
4 Isabella Of Aragon 50/1 open 23.00 70/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 34.00 70/1 Paddy Power
5 Pink Larkspur 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
6 Sioux Empress 11/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 12/1 Paddy Power
7 State Of America 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lex Victoria

High conviction

Lex Victoria owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/6 Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pink Larkspur

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Isabella Of Aragon

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Dominic Ffrench Davis
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Lex Victoria
74.1 4/6
2 5. Pink Larkspur
71.7 6/1
3 2. Dreamology
67.8 4/1
4 6. Sioux Empress
63.8 11/1
5 3. Floral
60.0 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lex Victoria
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-9
4/6
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
6/1
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lex Victoria
Confidence: Medium

Lex Victoria (SR 158, 5/6) is the clear standout on ability — an 8-point SR lead over the next-best Pink Larkspur (SR 151) and 13+ points over everyone else. The market has backed it in a further 14% since opening, reflecting strong stable and public confidence behind the Crisford/Murphy combination, who both carry strong strike rates (20% and 21% respectively). Carrying 9-9 versus 9-2 for the rest is a 7lb weight disadvantage, but at this SR level in a Class 3 fillies' novice, the ability gap makes that manageable. The ClassMv:↓1 drop in grade is another positive — this filly is running in a softer race than her last outing and her sole run produced a win. Each-way alternative: Pink Larkspur. Main danger: Pink Larkspur — Pink Larkspur (SR 151, 9/2) is trained by the powerful John & Thady Gosden yard (25% strike rate) with William Buick aboard (21%), a combination that regularly debuts horses to win, and her SR of 151 makes her the only runner within realistic striking distance of Lex Victoria on ability.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Lex Victoria carries 9-9, a 7lb penalty over the majority of the field in a novice where weight can be particularly impactful on 2yo fillies still developing physically.
  • Pink Larkspur (SR 151, Gosden/Buick, 9/2) is a well-bred debutante with one of racing's strongest trainer-jockey combos (25%/21% SR) and is unencumbered by a weight penalty — first-time-out Gosden ju…
  • Lex Victoria's entire form reads '1' — a sole win — meaning today's class-3 AW assignment tests stamina and versatility on Tapeta for the first time with no evidence of how she handles the surface.
  • Dreamology (SR 150) has drifted out 13% but retains strong underlying ratings — if the market has underestimated a Philippart De Foy debutante, Lex Victoria's odds-on price leaves almost no margin fo…
Shortlist Lex Victoria, Pink Larkspur, Dreamology
Each-way: Pink Larkspur Danger: Pink Larkspur

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade