Rey De La Batalla shapes as a genuine threat on his rating of 75 — ranked second of the 14 runners — and has experience of today's trip and conditions, though a 175-day absence and a winless recent spell, including a ninth last time out, are the chief concerns.
Form last 6935-59
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR75RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and absent for 156 days, Tasdeed does carry a rating of 75 to suggest he holds a latent edge over several rivals, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the risk is that his recent form — eighth and seventh in his last two outings — makes confidence hard to muster.
Form last 60/0-78
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR75RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Bold Suitor has managed just one win in his last six starts, finishing sixth in each of his past two outings, and rated 11th of 14 on our figures he is hard to fancy at the weights; experience over today's trip and going at least leaves him with no excuses on those fronts.
Form last 6215766
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR68RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Moon Beginnings has been winless in his last six starts, though a fourth three starts back offers some encouragement; a trainer in the depths of a 0/20 run and 137 lb from stall 12 are the obvious concerns here.
Form last 6805489
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR75RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ran well when winning four starts back but has finished seventh, eighth and fourth since, including a fourth last time out eleven days ago, so consistency is the concern; he has run over today's trip and going, and 134 lb from stall 11 makes this no gimme.
Form last 6221784
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR68RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dandy G Boy shaped with promise when second last time out and returns after 34 days in decent enough order, with experience of today's distance and going in his favour; yet to score in recent starts, but carrying 133 lb from stall three, he merits respect on a rating of 72.
Form last 642-662
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR72RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mojito won four starts back but has posted three subsequent disappointing efforts, and a trainer strike-rate of just 4% over the past fortnight is a concern; she has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 30 days off, giving her claims, but her profile is mixed.
Form last 60-1077
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR71RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bundok has been placed twice in her last three starts, with a third two runs back, though she remains winless in recent outings; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a 7-day turnaround keeps her fresh, with her rating of 72 offering modest encouragement from stall 7.
Form last 605335
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR72RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Musical Soldier won three of his last six starts in recent form and has experience of today's trip and going, but ranked 12 of 14 on our figures with a speed rating of 58, he faces a stiff task on these assessments despite carrying 131 lb fresh enough from stall two just eight days on.
Form last 6221112
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR67RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last six starts, with two eighths in her most recent three outings making it hard to build a case, Seeing Stars faces a stiff task from stall 8 carrying 130 lb, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a manageable 19-day break.
Form last 6343848
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
42SR66RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Upsomdowns is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a second two starts back offers slim encouragement; 128 days off a concern.
Form last 6346-28
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR63RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last four starts and returning after 126 days, Divine Wish does at least have experience of today's trip and conditions, and our rating of 72 suggests there may be more to offer; the 130 lb burden from stall nine is the obvious concern.
Form last 65-454
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR72RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Musical Soldier owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Ollie SangsterBilly Loughnane
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mojito
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Richard Hannon✓ Value Signal
Tasdeed
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Charlie Pike◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Musical Soldier (SR:84, 5/2) is the standout ability horse in this field — an SR of 84 is meaningfully clear of the next-best Mojito (SR:77) and Dandy G Boy (SR:75). The recent form of 221112 is excellent: four wins or places from the last six, including a win on the latest start just 8 days ago, showing peak fitness. Billy Loughnane's 19% career strike rate on 1,856 rides is the best jockey booking in the race, and trainer Ollie Sangster fires at 13%. The key concern is the MarkMv:+6 — running off a mark 6lb higher than the last win — and a ClassMv:↑1, so connections are asking more of the horse; but the raw SR advantage and recent momentum make this the most compelling case in the field.
Each-way alternative: Bundok.
Main danger: Mojito — Mojito (SR:77, 5/1) has steamed in 40% in the market — the biggest move in the field — with David Egan booked at 15% strike rate, suggesting strong stable confidence despite a DistFit:- concern, and at 5/1 represents the market's clearest challenger to the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+6 is a significant handicap rise — winning off a 6lb higher mark in a competitive AW field at Kempton is a materially tougher ask, and handicappers rarely get caught napping this fast after a…
The 'tp' headgear flag suggests tongue-tie/cheekpieces in play; if this is a first-time or changed piece of equipment it adds an unknown variable, and the 8-day turnaround means connections may be ru…
Mojito (SR:77, 5/1) has been heavily backed — in 40% — suggesting market intelligence that the form of Musical Soldier's latest win may be beatable at the revised mark, despite Musical Soldier's raw…
Bundok carries Oisin Murphy (21% strike rate, the field's best jockey by SR) and has come back in just 7 days, fresher and off a lower weight (9-6 vs 9-5), representing a live pace threat that could…
ShortlistMusical Soldier, Mojito, Dandy G Boy, Bundok