Carlisle 15:47 RESULTED
Class 6 9 Sep 2026

Wednesday 9 September Deanta Fire Door Handicap Stakes

Deanta Fire Door Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Deanta Fire Door Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Solid Bond (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll
    9/1
  2. Second Albegone (GB)
    13/2
  3. 5/1
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13:21–16:54 · 8 races

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17:00–20:30 · 8 races

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  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cape Sovereign silks
Cape Sovereign
Age 4 · 9-9
57900-
59
38
67
4
9-9
25/1 10/1 22/1
Cape Sovereign is the top-rated runner in the field and has run over today's trip, giving him an obvious platform, but he arrives 328 days since his last start and has been winless in his last five outings, which is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

2
Cotai Starlight silks
Cotai Starlight
Age 3 · 9-9
581452
60
62
58
3
9-9
9/2 5/1 4/1
Placed last time out with a second, though she was only fifth two starts back, and Cotai Starlight has run over today's trip before; 135 lb from stall nine is no light burden, and our rating of 58 suggests she sits mid-division on merit.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Albegone silks
Albegone
Age 8 · 9-8
372651
58
62
63
8
9-8
15/2 5/1 15/2
Albegone arrives on the back of a win last time out, snapping a lean run, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions — drawing stall one at 134 lb; the main risk is whether that burden blunts his momentum.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Bibendum silks
Bibendum
Age 5 · 9-8
501655
58
57
59
5
9-8
6/1 FCST 11/2
Bibendum has experience of today's trip and ground but has managed just one win in his last six starts, with a pair of fifth-place finishes in his two most recent outings making it hard to fancy him strongly, despite a quick 13-day turnaround suggesting he is fit and ready.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Go Victor silks
Go Victor
Age 3 · 9-7
-00913
58
54
57
3
9-7
14/1 11/2 14/1
Third last time out after winning two starts back, Go Victor brings recent winning form and distance-and-going experience to the table, though a nine-run dip three starts back and a ranking of ninth in a field of thirteen suggest he faces a stern test from stall six carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Midnight Lir silks
Midnight Lir
Age 5 · 9-7
934448
57
55
65
5
9-7
10/1 11/2 8/1
Midnight Lir has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 65 ranks him third in a field of thirteen, suggesting he is well treated; however, he is winless in his last six starts, with that eighth last time out the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Solid Bond silks
Solid Bond
Age 4 · 9-5
070-83
55
53
65
4
9-5
17/2 FCST 8/1
Solid Bond has run over today's distance and going, and her third last time out reads well in this field; winless in recent starts, but 83 days between runs is a minor question mark, and a low draw from stall two could play a part as she carries 131 lb off a mark of 55.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Opal Storm silks
Opal Storm
Age 6 · 9-5
081894
55
53
57
6
9-5
14/1 10/1 14/1
Ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Opal Storm has managed just one win in her last six starts, with four finishes of eighth or worse in that sequence, and 131 lb to carry does her no favours; she has run over today's distance and going, and 16 days between runs leaves her reasonably fresh.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Never Dark silks
Never Dark
Age 9 · 9-4
667263
54
59
62
9
9-4
11/2 7/1 5/1
Third last time out and a runner-up three starts back, Never Dark arrives on a quick 13-day turnaround yet to win in his last six starts; experience over today's trip and going helps, but a mark of 54 and 130 lb to carry are the hurdles he must clear.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Pivotal Terms silks
Pivotal Terms
Age 3 · 9-2
625047
53
35
60
3
9-2
20/1 FCST 14/1
Winless in her last six starts, Pivotal Terms nonetheless showed a shade of ability when fourth two runs back, and has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 128 lb from stall 11, she rates a mid-division prospect at best.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

11
Royal Duke silks
Royal Duke
Age 5 · 8-13
565071
49
54
51
5
8-13
13/2 11/2 6/1
Royal Duke won last time out but that single success from a dire recent record — sixth, fifth, unplaced and seventh in the four starts before it — offers little confidence, and ranked last of the field on our figures, he is hard to fancy at the weights from stall 12.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Kyber Crystal silks
Kyber Crystal
Age 7 · 8-11
505576
47
48
54
7
8-11
12/1 10/1 9/1
Winless in her last six starts, with a string of mid-pack and out-of-the-frame finishes, Kyber Crystal is hard to fancy from stall 13 carrying 123 lb, and ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a rebound 13 days after her latest run.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Bust A Moon silks
Bust A Moon
Age 4 · 8-10
6-0354
46
33
55
4
8-10
22/1 20/1 22/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, Bust A Moon faces a stiff task here; third three starts back offers a sliver of encouragement, and he has run over today's distance and going before, but the overall profile makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 33 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cape Sovereign 25/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
2 Cotai Starlight 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
3 Albegone 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 9/1 Coral
4 Bibendum 6/1 open 13.00 11/2 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 6/1 Bet365
5 Go Victor 14/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 16/1 Coral
6 Midnight Lir 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 Bet365
7 Solid Bond 17/2 open 15.00 10/1 open 9.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Paddy Power
8 Opal Storm 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Coral
9 Never Dark 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 Bet365
10 Pivotal Terms 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365
11 Royal Duke 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 Bet365
12 Kyber Crystal 12/1 10/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
13 Bust A Moon 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 28/1 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 28/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Never Dark

Speculative

Never Dark owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Iain Jardine Jack Nicholls(3)
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cotai Starlight

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Katie Scott
✓ Value Signal

Cape Sovereign

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Rebecca Menzies
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Never Dark
47.3 11/2
2 2. Cotai Starlight
47.3 9/2
3 3. Albegone
45.3 15/2
4 4. Bibendum
45.1 6/1
5 11. Royal Duke
44.5 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Albegone
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 9 · 9-4
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-8
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 5 · 8-13
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 8 · 9-8
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-5
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 7 · 8-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-2
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 35 🐾

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Albegone
Confidence: Speculative

Albegone (SR 62, 11/2) shares top SR honours with Cotai Starlight but carries 9-8 versus Cotai Starlight's 9-9 and arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form 372651, rightmost digit = 1), giving it the strongest recent momentum in the field. Tim Easterby's yard operates at 9% strike rate across 2,102 runners — a volume operation that knows how to place horses, and the horse is only up 2lb on its winning mark (MarkMv:+2), a manageable rise at this level. GoingFit:~ confirms it handles cut in the ground adequately, and the moderate distance record (DistFit:~) is not a red flag at 5f. Cotai Starlight is the obvious danger but has drifted 5% in the market and is running off a mark 5lb higher than its last win, making Albegone the marginally preferred choice at the same price. Each-way alternative: Never Dark. Main danger: Cotai Starlight — Cotai Starlight shares the joint-top SR of 62, has run recently (13 days ago), and Sam James at 14% strike rate is a quality booking, though the +5lb mark rise and 5% market drift are the only negatives holding it just behind Albegone.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Albegone is an 8-year-old in a field that includes younger, potentially improving horses; at this age, form peaks are typically behind him and winning sequences rarely extend.
  • GoingFit:~ is only adequate, not a positive — if Carlisle has significant cut today, a horse with HG:p (blinkers) suggesting headgear dependency may not handle conditions as well as rivals with stron…
  • Jockey Jake Dickson (5lb claimer) has a modest 14% strike rate but on only 184 rides; in a competitive 13-runner sprint, the experience deficit versus Sam James (578 rides) on Cotai Starlight is a co…
  • The form string 372651 shows only one win in six runs with multiple mid-field finishes; the 'last-time-out win' momentum argument is fragile for a horse whose overall recent form is inconsistent rath…
Shortlist Albegone, Cotai Starlight, Never Dark, Royal Duke
Each-way: Never Dark Danger: Cotai Starlight

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade