Redcar 14:51 RESULTED
Class 4 9 Sep 2026

Wednesday 9 September racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f1y

Official Result

racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Per Contra (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby
    100/30
  2. 11/1
  3. 7/4F
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Nepal silks
Nepal
Age 4 · 10-2
5-8104
85
56
85
4
10-2
20/1 16/1 18/1
Fourth last time out, and a winner three starts back gives Nepal a mixed profile; he has distance and going experience, but 52 days off, 142 lb to carry, and a trainer firing at just 4% in recent days are notable headwinds.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

2
Fox Avatar silks
Fox Avatar
Age 5 · 10-0
51-673
83
81
82
5
10-0
11/2 9/2 11/2
Fox Avatar won four starts back but has since posted a seventh and sixth in his last two before a return to form with a third last time out, 28 days ago; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 140 lb from stall one, though his speed figure of 79 leaves him with plenty to find on our rankings.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Thunder Wonder silks
Thunder Wonder
Age 4 · 10-0
-04835
83
82
86
4
10-0
3/1 7/2 11/4
Thunder Wonder has run over today's trip and going, and that third two starts back — plus a rating of 86 — marks him as a genuine danger here; the concern is that he remains winless in recent starts and a 39-day absence adds a fitness question.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Golden Redemption silks
Golden Redemption
Age 4 · 9-13
3-3278
82
53
86
4
9-13
33/1 14/1 33/1
That second-place finish three starts back underlines Golden Redemption's claims here, and he has experience of today's going to call on, but the 67-day absence is the key risk for a colt yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Percy's Daydream silks
Percy's Daydream
Age 4 · 9-11
014445
80
69
87
4
9-11
11/1 14/1 10/1
Percy's Daydream has experience of today's trip and going, carries a workable weight from stall five, and her rating of 87 marks her out as the chief threat in this field; the risk is that she has finished outside the first three in her last four starts.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

6
Lucky Hero silks
Lucky Hero
Age 3 · 9-10
104311
85
90
81
3
9-10
3/1 2/1 3/1
Back-to-back wins give Lucky Hero real momentum, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but carrying 136 lb from stall 2 is no light burden, and our rating of 81 leaves him trailing the top of the field on paper.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Per Contra silks
Per Contra
Age 5 · 9-9
480483
78
81
85
5
9-9
10/3 4/1 10/3
Per Contra returns in good time after finishing third last time out, and has run over today's trip and going before. Winless in his last six starts, though his speed rating of 88 makes him competitive carrying 135 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Farasi Lane silks
Farasi Lane
Age 8 · 9-8
551538
77
56
84
8
9-8
50/1 14/1 33/1
Farasi Lane showed his best when winning four starts back, but has managed only a third since in his last six, and his consistency is the concern here; he has experience over today's trip and going, and 134 lb from stall 3 gives him every chance to land a blow if recapturing that earlier form.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Yafreh silks
Yafreh
Age 3 · 9-3
44227
78
74
75
3
9-3
14/1 8/1 12/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Yafreh has little obvious appeal, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a return to placing form — he was second two starts back and second three starts back — offers a faint glimmer after 53 days off.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Sea The Power silks
Sea The Power
Age 3 · 9-1
716-95
76
53
77
3
9-1
40/1 14/1 40/1
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Sea The Power has struggled for consistency in recent starts — a seventh, then a win, followed by sixth, ninth and fifth — and he is hard to fancy here, though he does have experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Lillie Margot silks
Lillie Margot
Age 3 · 8-11
-72134
72
74
73
3
8-11
20/1 17/2 18/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Lillie Margot is hard to fancy despite a win three starts back and a third two starts back; she has gone off the boil since, finishing fourth last time out, though experience on today's going and a 40-day break at least give her a fair chance to show something.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Nepal 20/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 Bet365
2 Fox Avatar 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Bet365
3 Thunder Wonder 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
4 Golden Redemption 33/1 open 15.00 35/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 35/1 Paddy Power
5 Percy's Daydream 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 15.00 12/1 William Hill
6 Lucky Hero 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 7/2 William Hill
7 Per Contra 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 Bet365
8 Farasi Lane 50/1 open 15.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 50/1 Bet365
9 Yafreh 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 16/1 William Hill
10 Sea The Power 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365
11 Lillie Margot 20/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lucky Hero

Speculative

Lucky Hero owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 David O'Meara Conor Whiteley(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Per Contra

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Farasi Lane

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Micky Hammond
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Lucky Hero
56.2 3/1
2 7. Per Contra
56.0 10/3
3 2. Fox Avatar
53.0 11/2
4 3. Thunder Wonder
51.0 3/1
5 5. Percy's Daydream
48.1 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lucky Hero
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 10-0
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-10
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-9
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 10-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-11
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Age 3 · 9-3
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

11
Age 3 · 8-11
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lucky Hero
Confidence: Speculative

Lucky Hero (SR 90, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a very manageable 9-10. The form string 104311 shows three wins in the last four completed runs, demonstrating peak form at exactly this moment. Crucially, Course:W2P2 at Redcar is a powerful signal — this horse has already won twice at this track and placed twice more, confirming it handles the course layout. GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground suits, and DistFit:+ shows the 1m2f trip is proven. The class rise (ClassMv:↑1) and a MarkMv:+10 are the only concerns, but the raw SR 90 — 8 points clear of the next best — combined with confirmed course-and-distance credentials makes it the standout selection. The market drift of 16% is a mild negative, but the stablemate Percy's Daydream (SR 69, 14/1) is clearly the yard's second string and poses no realistic threat. Each-way alternative: Lillie Margot. Main danger: Per Contra — Per Contra has steamed in 24% in the market, drops a class, and has a MarkMv:-5 indicating it is running off a more lenient mark than its last win, suggesting connections see this as a prime opportunity despite the going and distance concerns.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+10 means Lucky Hero runs off a mark 10lb higher than last win — a steep official rise that could negate the SR 90 advantage if the handicapper has caught up with this 3yo's rapid progression.
  • Market drift of 16% out to 3/1 in a race where Per Contra (SR:81, 10/3) is steaming in 24% — money is actively leaving Lucky Hero and entering a rival at almost identical odds, suggesting market inte…
  • Per Contra (10 days since last run, HG:p handlers flag) is fit and freshened, trained by Easterby who excels placing horses right, and at 10/3 is nearly co-favourite despite 9lb lower SR — the market…
  • As a 3yo carrying 9-10 against older horses (age 4-8) over 1m2f in a competitive handicap, Lucky Hero faces the classic 3yo-vs-older-horse weight-for-age test in autumn conditions where older rivals…
Shortlist Lucky Hero, Per Contra, Thunder Wonder, Fox Avatar
Each-way: Lillie Margot Danger: Per Contra

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade