Stormy Pearl has been remarkably consistent in recent starts, placed third three times in her last six, and at 18 days she arrives fresh enough to go again; she has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating has her sharing top billing, though she remains winless.
Form last 6543033
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR59RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Soul Warrior has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 58 ranks him third of seventeen, marking him as a genuine threat despite being winless in his last six starts — though a trainer currently without a winner in 22 attempts over the past fortnight is the chief concern.
Form last 6803588
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR58RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hurstwood won last time out and returns in good order just 18 days later, bringing both distance and going experience to the table; at 135 lb from stall 17, the weight ask is the one factor to weigh against him.
Form last 6660471
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR59RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Blindfold Games showed a glimpse of ability when second two starts back, yet has otherwise struggled in recent starts and remains yet to win, with 48 days off adding a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and carries 135 lb from stall three.
Form last 6655826
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR56RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Night Emperor won two starts back and returns here fit on 18 days' rest, with experience of both today's trip and going conditions working in his favour; the main risk is that he has finished fourth or worse in four of his last six starts, suggesting consistency remains a concern.
Form last 6644514
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR58RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sovereign Class is yet to win in her last five starts and returns after a 216-day absence, which is a significant query, though she does bring distance and going experience to the table and her speed rating offers mild encouragement from stall 14.
Form last 607-360
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR52RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Ridgemaster has been a model of consistency at the business end, placing second twice in his last two starts, though he remains yet to win in recent starts and that seventh three starts back is a blemish; experience over today's trip and going, plus a quick 14-day turnaround, keep him competitive from stall 2.
Form last 6732722
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR53RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Golden Prosperity does offer some encouragement — a second two starts back and two thirds in recent form suggest ability, though the seventh last time out is less inspiring; has run over today's trip and going, and arrives on a sharp 14-day turnaround carrying 129 lb from stall nine.
Form last 6433727
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR53RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Brave Bob has shown some promise with a second and third in recent outings, but a 65-day absence and a stiff 129 lb from stall 15 are the hurdles he faces, and his official rating of 47 leaves him with plenty to find against stronger rivals.
Form last 677-623
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR47RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed last time out but winless in her last six starts overall, Ziva's Star has experience of today's trip and going to call on, though an official rating of 46 and draw ten at 128 lb leave her needing to find improvement to get competitive here.
Form last 6937672
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR51RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pinpoint arrives third last time out and placed second three starts back, though winless in his last five; he has experience over today's distance and going, and 32 days between runs leaves him reasonably fresh, but a mark of 46 and stall 13 underline the task from mid-field.
Form last 6-66243
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR46RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Long Shot nevertheless shows a degree of consistency with three fourth-place finishes and a second in recent form; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 21 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, though 127 lb from stall one may test his resolve.
Form last 6424047
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR51RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked well down the field on our figures, Ninety Nine is hard to fancy here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 96 days carrying 127 lb from stall seven.
Form last 607-070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR45RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Captain Bentley has been out of the frame in three consecutive outings prior to a sixth two starts back and an eighth last time out, making him very hard to fancy despite experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6000-68
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
14SR25RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 14 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Hyrcanian faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's distance and going before, and 127 lb from stall 12 are the bare facts to weigh after a 70-day absence.
Form last 65-8080
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR40RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 14th of 17 on our figures, Lesley Buckley faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a third three starts back shows she can hit the frame on her day.
Form last 6087397
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR43RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five starts, with finishes no better than seventh in recent starts, Breeze Star rates well below the field on our figures and is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick enough turnaround at 16 days.
Form last 68-8789
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
20SR36RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ridgemaster owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Simon WaughAmie Waugh(3)
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Stormy Pearl
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/2 · David Thompson✓ Value Signal
Lesley Buckley
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Simon Pearce◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ridgemaster (SR:63, 5/1) is the top-rated horse in the field and the only one carrying a confirmed DistFit:+ at this 5f217y trip, a critical advantage in a race where 12 of 17 runners show DistFit:-. The market has shortened 35% from opening, signalling strong and sustained confidence from those closest to the horse. Carrying 9-6 rather than the 9-9 cluster at the top, Ridgemaster enjoys a 3lb weight relief over the heavier-weighted runners. Form of 732722 shows consistent placing at this level, and while trainer Simon Waugh's stats aren't listed, the combination of SR leadership, distance fitness, and sharp market move makes this the standout case.
Each-way alternative: Night Emperor.
Main danger: Night Emperor — Night Emperor (SR:61, 4/1) is the market favourite, has course form (W1P1), and sits just 2 SR points below Ridgemaster — the form figure of '4' last time is concerning but the trainer Tina Jackson strikes at 15% and the price implies the market rates this seriously, making it the most credible threat.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Jockey Amie Waugh (3) has a win rate of just 3% from 96 rides — the weakest strike rate of any jockey in this field, a material riding concern in a competitive 17-runner sprint.
Night Emperor (SR:61, 4/1) is marginally shorter in the market, higher-rated than the primary analyst implies at second, and has course form (W1P1) that Ridgemaster's data does not show — market may…
Form reading 732722 shows Ridgemaster has not won from six recent starts, suggesting consistent placing without the ability to convert — a horse that repeatedly finishes 2nd-3rd may lack the finishin…
Trainer Simon Waugh has no listed strike rate or runner volume, indicating a very small/unquantified yard — the market move may reflect connections' money but the trainer's ability to have a horse ch…
ShortlistRidgemaster, Night Emperor, Hurstwood, Soul Warrior