Cork 16:10 RESULTED
9 Sep 2026

Wednesday 9 September Irish EBF Auction Series Race

Irish EBF Auction Series Race · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Irish EBF Auction Series Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Scallionator (IRE) Wesley Joyce · Michael Mulvany
    4/7F
  2. 28/1
  3. Third Zoar (USA)
    11/8
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Zoar silks
Zoar
Age 2 · 9-12
21
77
73
2
9-12
2/1 7/4 2/1
Zoar won last time out and was a close second two starts back, arriving here in good heart on a quick 17-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going; he carries 138 lb from stall five, and our figures rank him second of the six.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Nation Blaze silks
Nation Blaze
Age 2 · 9-7
98
23
51
2
9-7
50/1 40/1 50/1
Nation Blaze has run over today's trip and going, arrives here freshened up after 49 days off, and a trainer striking at 30% over the past fortnight gives him a strong handler angle from stall 4; the risk is his recent form reads eighth and ninth, leaving him yet to score in his last two starts.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

3
Eyeconic silks
Eyeconic
Age 2 · 9-4
0
22
48
2
9-4
40/1 20/1 40/1
Eyeconic arrives winless in recent starts and our figures rank her fifth of six, making her hard to fancy on paper, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a 17-day break at least suggests she returns fresh.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

4
The Scallionator silks
The Scallionator
Age 2 · 9-4
421046
99
103
99
2
9-4
6/4 3/2 18/13
Returned a winner four starts back and a close second five starts back, The Scallionator brings strong credentials to this, with experience of both today's trip and going, fresh enough at 31 days since his last run, and he tops the ratings from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Fighting Tears silks
Fighting Tears
Age 2 · 8-13
1
79
72
2
8-13
2/1 32/17 2/1
Fighting Tears arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her a solid profile heading in; at 125 lb from stall 3, the weight could be the one factor to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Belle Parvenue silks
Belle Parvenue
Age 2 · 8-8
46
2
8-8
40/1 33/1 40/1
Unexposed and open to improvement on debut, Belle Parvenue is yet to score but her lightly raced profile leaves plenty to work with; drawing stall six and carrying 120 lb, she is one to watch as she steps into the unknown.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Zoar 2/1 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 Bet365
2 Nation Blaze 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
3 Eyeconic 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 50/1 Paddy Power
4 The Scallionator 6/4 open 2.63 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 6/4 11/8 open 2.50 6/4 Bet365
5 Fighting Tears 2/1 9/4 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.88 9/4 Paddy Power
6 Belle Parvenue 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

The Scallionator

Live signal

The Scallionator owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Michael Mulvany Wesley Joyce(3)
85% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Zoar

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Belle Parvenue

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Eddie & Patrick Harty
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. The Scallionator
60.5 6/4
2 1. Zoar
51.4 2/1
3 5. Fighting Tears
51.4 2/1
4 6. Belle Parvenue
35.9 40/1
5 3. Eyeconic
30.0 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Zoar
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-4
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-12
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 8-13
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Zoar
Confidence: Speculative

Zoar (SR:77, 15/8) leads this modest six-runner field on ability and has the most credible form line — a debut second followed by a win (Form:21, rightmost=last) showing clear progression in just 17 days, suggesting peak freshness. The Donnacha/Aidan O'Brien connection brings stable firepower rarely seen in a €16k auction heat at Cork, and Paddy Harnett's booking at this level is consistent with the yard fielding a live chance. The 5lb weight concession to The Scallionator matters but is offset by a superior SR (77 vs 103 is misleading — The Scallionator's SR advantage is undercut by a DistFit:- flag at 6f, having contested 6 races at varying trips without proving the distance). Fighting Tears (9/4) has drifted 12% and carries 8-13, but its sole run win leaves the form unverified in company; Zoar's two-run sequence showing improvement is a stronger evidence base. Each-way alternative: Fighting Tears. Main danger: The Scallionator — The Scallionator's SR:103 is the highest in the field by a significant margin and its 13/8 market price is tight, suggesting punters are less concerned about the DistFit:- flag than the analysis warrants — if the 6f trip proves unproblematic on the day, it has the raw ability to prevail.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Paddy Harnett's 10% strike rate is modest and he has only 3 rides recorded for O'Brien — limited trust in the jockey-trainer combination at this track delivering on a short price.
  • The Scallionator holds a 26-point SR advantage (103 vs 77) and despite a DistFit flag concedes only 8lb — if it handles 6f, the raw ability gap is material and hard to overcome.
  • Fighting Tears (SR:79) carries 8-13, a full stone less than Zoar at 9-12, making the weight-adjusted ability equation very close despite the market treating Zoar as the primary O'Brien threat.
  • Zoar's two-run form base (debut 2nd then win in a 17-day turnaround) is extremely thin — the winning form is unverified in terms of race quality, and the sharp turnaround at 15/8 implies the market i…
Shortlist Zoar, The Scallionator, Fighting Tears
Each-way: Fighting Tears Danger: The Scallionator

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Cork Track and setting