Loriko has won three of his last five starts, with victories last time out and two runs back from that — and a trainer firing at 39% in the past fortnight adds plenty of confidence. He has run over today's trip and going, and at 168 lb there is a weight question, but his recent form makes him the one to beat.
Form last 62-1121
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
124SR121RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last four starts and including two pulled-up efforts, Skyjack Hijack arrives here 61 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going, and carries 164 lb — the main risk is whether connections have found an explanation for those two non-completions.
Form last 6/P6-P5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
112SR120RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ladies Day has won two of her last five starts, scoring back-to-back victories before a fourth last time out, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions; the 53-day absence is the one factor to weigh against her claims here.
Form last 60-2114
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
119SR115RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Glory And Honour ran a fine race last time, finishing second twelve days ago, and he has experience of both today's trip and going; the concern is that 154 lb is a hefty weight to carry.
Form last 6-71472
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
118SR116RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Ballygeary is hard to fancy here, though a third one start back offers a sliver of encouragement; he has run over today's trip and going, and 53 days between runs leaves fitness an open question.
Form last 636-535
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR113RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ladies Day owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2T EllisJack Andrews
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Glory And Honour
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Sam England✓ Value Signal
Skyjack Hijack
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
4/1 · Jennie Candlish◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ladies Day (SR:119, 3/1, 11-2) presents the strongest multi-signal case. A recent form string of 2-1-1-4 shows consistent progression, with consecutive wins before a latest run that may simply reflect a rise in class or trip — she now runs at the same class (ClassMv:=) and MarkMv:+3 is a modest rise suggesting the handicapper hasn't overreacted. At 11-2, she carries 10lb less than top-weight Loriko, a tangible advantage on good ground over 2m3f. Trainer T Ellis (21% strike rate from a sharp 38-runner sample) and jockey Jack Andrews (21%) both punch above their yard size, and GoingFit:+ confirms the going poses no concern. Loriko's 16% market drift is a meaningful red flag — money has moved away from the market leader — which only strengthens the case for Ladies Day at 3/1.
Each-way alternative: Glory And Honour.
Main danger: Loriko — Loriko (SR:124, the field's highest-rated runner) carries the form sequence 1-1-2-1 showing genuine ability, and Dan/Harry Skelton is a formidable combination — the 16% drift is the main concern but if it reflects a market over-reaction to the weight burden rather than inside information, that SR:124 at the top of this modest field could prove decisive.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string reads 0-2114 meaning the most recent run was a 4th — a step back after two wins, and with 53 days off since, her current readiness is unproven.
Trainer T Ellis has only a 38-runner sample at 21%, a very small base that may flatter; yard may lack the depth to fire a horse fresh off a below-par run.
Skyjack Hijack has drifted in sharply by 37% — significant late market support for a rival that could complicate the pace scenario Ladies Day needs over 2m3f.
Jack Andrews has just 33 rides in the sample at 21% — tiny base, and he has not previously partnered this horse in winning form based on the data shown.