Landed a win two starts back but has also posted unplaced efforts either side of it, making him a tricky read; has run over today's trip and going, and 23 days off should leave him fit enough, though 132 lb and stall 18 are factors to weigh.
Form last 6020610
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
109SR108RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Big Gossey has shown ability — a winner and placed efforts feature in recent starts — but back-to-back finishes of fifth and ninth in his last two runs make him hard to fancy here, and ranked thirteenth of eighteen on our figures, the weight of evidence is against him.
Form last 6921259
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR107RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Comanche Brave won last time out and also took a race three starts back, showing a real liking for hitting the front, and his experience over today's trip and going is a clear asset; the main concern is a 64-day absence carrying 132 lb from stall 15.
Form last 6335171
★AI Rating★★★★☆
127SR116RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Cover Up won two starts back but has been beaten into ninth on his most recent outing, and while he has run over today's trip and going before, carrying 132 lb from stall 11 makes this a stiff ask for a horse ranked seventh of eighteen.
Form last 6138019
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR111RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ran well enough for third two starts back but has been unplaced on his most recent outing, and 44 days off the track raises a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, and his 132 lb burden from stall seven is no gimme.
Form last 6114530
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR110RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winner last time out on a quick turnaround of 14 days, and Jm Jungle has experience of both today's trip and going, but his record in recent starts shows inconsistency — a third four starts back sandwiched between a run of disappointing efforts — and 132 lb from stall 12 is no gimme.
Form last 6903571
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR109RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Night Raider won back-to-back races four and five starts back, carries a strong rating of 118 from stall one, and has experience over today's trip and conditions; the risk is that he has gone unplaced in two of his last four starts.
Form last 6-11006
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR118RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked well down the field on our figures, Partisan Hero faces a stiff task as one of the outsiders in an 18-runner field, and a seventh followed by an unplaced effort in his latest two starts do little to inspire confidence, though a second and two thirds in recent starts show he retains some ability, and he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6133270
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR104RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rumstar arrives in fine fettle after three consecutive placed efforts, including a win three starts back, and with today's distance and going presenting no concerns, he looks well-placed to go close again off 132 lb from stall 17.
Form last 6-20123
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
118SR116RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Starlust at least brings distance and going experience to the table and shaped with promise when second last time out, though carrying 132 lb from stall ten on a rating of 112 leaves him with plenty to find against a strong field.
Form last 64-6042
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
101SR112RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and drawn in stall 16, Brussels arrives here 44 days fresh carrying 131 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 107 suggests some untapped potential worth respecting.
Form last 6-64050
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR107RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Two consecutive unplaced efforts make Charles Darwin hard to fancy, ranked 16 of 18 on our figures, and 57 days off the track adds to the concern; he has run over today's trip and going, and his two wins in his last five starts show the ability is there on a better day.
Form last 61-1800
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR98RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mission Central has winning form over today's trip and ground, and his three wins in his last five starts underline genuine class at this level; the concern is whether a seventh and an unplaced effort since that purple patch — the latter last time out — signal a dip in form.
Form last 6-11170
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR115RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and yet to score in her last five starts, Gazelle d'Or faces a stiff task at 129 lb from stall nine, though she has run over today's distance and going before and back-to-back seconds two and three starts back show she can threaten the places.
Form last 6-70224
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR95RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts but a third two runs back offers some encouragement, and having run over today's distance and going counts in her favour; the 129 lb burden, though, makes life harder for a filly yet to find the winning thread.
Form last 6580034
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR111RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Second last time out is a plus, and she has experience over today's trip and going, but ranked 14 of 18 on our figures, Argentine Tango's overall recent record is patchy and makes her hard to fancy here.
Form last 6466102
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR106RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked near the foot of our assessments and her recent form is patchy, with just one win in her last six starts and finishes of sixth and eighth before that; the 51-day absence adds another question mark, though she has run over today's trip and going and that winning effort last time out at least demands respect.
Form last 6274681
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR98RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Spicy Marg did show a glimmer with a second three starts back, though she has since slipped to seventh and ninth; experience over today's trip and going helps her cause, but 44 days off the track and a rating of 110 suggest she faces a stiff ask from stall two.
Form last 6-83279
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR110RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Comanche Brave owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Donnacha Aidan O'BrienBilly Loughnane
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Time For Sandals
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Harry Eustace✓ Value Signal
Spicy Marg
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Michael Bell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Comanche Brave (SR 127, 7/4) is the clear class standout in this field — the SR of 127 is comfortably ahead of every rival, with the next best being Mission Central at 114 and Night Raider at 110. The form string 335171 shows a progressive horse who won last time out, and Course:W1P1 at the Curragh confirms track suitability. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's good ground at 5f removes any concern about conditions, and the market has firmed 9% since opening — money is coming for a reason. The MarkMv:+5 above last win mark is the one check, but at SR 127 in a field where no rival exceeds 118, that penalty is absorbed comfortably. Billy Loughnane's 18% career strike rate is another professional tick.
Each-way alternative: Cover Up.
Main danger: Mission Central — Mission Central (SR 114, 11/1) carries Ryan Moore — a 24% career strike rate — has Course:W2P2 at the Curragh, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ today, and although a slight drift of 6% is noted, the youth-and-progression profile of a 3-year-old with a recent 1170 form string (win two back) makes it the most credible challenger on conditions.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
64-day absence is the longest layoff in the field — returning rusty after 9+ weeks in a competitive 18-runner sprint handicap at the Curragh is a live risk for a 4yo still maturing.
Raised 5lb above last winning mark, and in a flat 5f handicap with 18 runners, that penalty combined with a big field likely drawing wide can negate raw class edge.
Time For Sandals (SR 111, 4/1) is freshly raced (23 days), 8% market support, and only 16 rating points behind — at nearly twice the odds offers real value to beat a potentially ring-rusty favourite.
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien's 12% trainer strike rate is modest, and this yard's record returning horses after 60+ day breaks in big-field handicap sprints is not a strong angle.
ShortlistComanche Brave, Mission Central, Night Raider, Cover Up