Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) · 7f6y
SR 78 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 90 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 83 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Royal Velvet | 40/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 American Gal | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Arabian Dusk | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Bellarchi | 66/1 open 23.00 | 80/1 open 23.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Canneza | 28/1 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Copacabana Sands | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 14/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Darnation | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Forty Years On | 6/4 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 2.88 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.25 | 11/8 open 3.50 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 9 Magic Basma | 33/1 open 15.00 | 35/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 10 Pina Sonata | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Wannabe Royal | 33/1 open 23.00 | 35/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 35/1 Paddy Power |
| 12 Sukanya | 66/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 William Hill |
| 13 Domina Ignis | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Golden Palace | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Isle Of Fernandez | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Paddy Power |
| 16 Planet Seeker | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Ruby's Angel | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Silenciosa | 66/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 19 The Prettiest Star | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 7/1 William Hill |
| 20 Touleen | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Forty Years On owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (65) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Forty Years On (SR:117, 7/4) is the standout on every meaningful metric. The SR of 117 is the highest in the field by a clear margin over Touleen (SR:118 — wait, Touleen is 118 but carries 9-0 vs 9-4, giving Forty Years On a 4lb weight advantage in real terms). Actually Touleen at SR:118 is marginally higher, but Forty Years On at 9-4 versus Touleen at 9-0 means Forty Years On concedes 4lb — however the key differentiators are: Forty Years On's form reads 112-11, showing back-to-back wins most recently, while Touleen reads 5-2624 with no win in four runs. Forty Years On has Course:W1P1 at Doncaster (course specialist), DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ (proven at 7f on good ground), and the market has shortened 17% — strong professional money. George Scott (20% trainer strike rate) and Hector Crouch (19% jockey) are a sharp combination. The MarkMv:+9 is the only note of caution on a rising mark, but the step up in class (↑1) is mitigated by the form evidence and the going/course fit being ideal. Each-way alternative: The Prettiest Star. Main danger: Touleen — Touleen (SR:118, 5/2) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and 4lb less than Forty Years On, and trainer Owen Burrows boasts the field's best strike rate at 22% — though the form string 5-2624 shows no recent win and the GoingFit:? introduces real uncertainty on today's conditions.