Doncaster 16:15 RESULTED
Class 4 13 Sep 2026

Sunday 13 September I Love Julie Parkes Handicap Stakes (Div I)

I Love Julie Parkes Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 5f3y

Official Result

I Love Julie Parkes Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tiva (IRE) Conor Whiteley · David O'Meara
    100/30F
  2. 11/2
  3. 17/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Doncaster

13:25–17:20 · 8 races

Curragh

13:45–17:45 · 9 races

Bath

14:05–18:00 · 8 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tiva silks
Tiva
Age 4 · 10-0
546314
82
85
82
4
10-0
3/1 11/4 3/1
Tiva showed she can win, landing the spoils one start back, though a fourth last time out tempers enthusiasm; she has experience over today's trip and going, and 140 lb from stall six makes this a genuine test of whether that winning form can resurface.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Kinetic Force silks
Kinetic Force
Age 4 · 9-12
8-4310
80
82
79
4
9-12
15/2 6/1 15/2
Kinetic Force faces a stiff ask on these figures, ranked eighth of ten in the field, and his unplaced effort last time out after 105 days off clouds his fitness picture, though a win one start back and experience over today's trip and going offer slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Hiya Maite silks
Hiya Maite
Age 8 · 9-11
662-47
79
76
88
8
9-11
9/1 8/1 9/1
Placed second three starts back and fourth two starts back, Hiya Maite shaped with promise in that run of form, and he has experience over today's distance and going; yet to score in recent starts, but an 84-day break at 137 lb from stall 8 makes him one to consider on his overall profile.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Winged Messenger silks
Winged Messenger
Age 5 · 9-10
1-4057
78
80
88
5
9-10
11/2 15/2 5/1
Winged Messenger shaped with promise when fourth four starts back and was a winner five starts back, and our rating of 88 ranks him top of this field; the concern is that he has been out of the placings in his last three starts.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Big Fun silks
Big Fun
Age 3 · 9-9
7-4762
78
74
87
3
9-9
12/1 8/1 12/1
Big Fun brings strong claims here, returning after 22 days with experience over today's trip and going, and his runner-up finish last time out backed by a rating of 87 suggests he's operating well above his official mark; the risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Call Margot silks
Call Margot
Age 3 · 9-8
726003
77
78
80
3
9-8
6/1 4/1 6/1
Winless in her last six starts, Call Margot does at least bring a third last time out to the table and has run over today's trip and going before, but her overall recent record is patchy and she heads into this carrying 134 lb from stall 2.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Spoof silks
Spoof
Age 11 · 9-7
87-180
75
54
81
11
9-7
28/1 20/1 28/1
Spoof won three starts back but has been unplaced in both runs since, and his recent consistency is a concern; he has run over today's trip and going before, and the six-pound pull between our rating and his official mark offers some encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Copper Knight silks
Copper Knight
Age 12 · 9-6
069090
74
68
82
12
9-6
12/1 10/1 11/1
Winless in recent starts, Copper Knight nonetheless has experience over today's trip and going, and his speed rating of 82 suggests he is better than his official mark of 74 — the main risk is that his last six outings show little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Fantasy Master silks
Fantasy Master
Age 8 · 9-4
1-3823
72
80
78
8
9-4
13/2 11/2 13/2
Fantasy Master shaped well last time when third, and was runner-up two starts back, but an eighth three starts back and his ranking ninth of ten on our figures make him hard to fancy under 130 lb despite distance and going experience in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Tiriac silks
Tiriac
Age 6 · 9-0
780565
68
67
75
6
9-0
9/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Tiriac makes for a tough sell, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a handy 14-day turnaround carrying 126 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tiva 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 3/1 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 3/1 Bet365
2 Kinetic Force 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 Paddy Power
3 Hiya Maite 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 Bet365
4 Winged Messenger 11/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 11/2 Bet365
5 Big Fun 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Call Margot 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
7 Spoof 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Copper Knight 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Fantasy Master 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 Bet365
10 Tiriac 9/1 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tiva

Speculative

Tiva owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 David O'Meara Conor Whiteley(5)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Fantasy Master

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Robert Cowell
✓ Value Signal

Spoof

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Kevin & Lauren Frost
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Tiva
54.4 3/1
2 9. Fantasy Master
52.4 13/2
3 6. Call Margot
52.0 6/1
4 3. Hiya Maite
49.5 9/1
5 4. Winged Messenger
49.4 11/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Winged Messenger
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-0
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-10
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-8
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 8 · 9-4
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-12
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 9-11
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 9-0
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 12 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Winged Messenger
Confidence: Speculative

Winged Messenger (SR:80, 11/2) has steamed in 24% in the market — the strongest market move in the field by a considerable margin — signalling informed confidence that demands attention. Carrying 9-10, he has a weight edge over top-weight Tiva (10-0, SR:85) and sits in the same SR bracket as Fantasy Master (9-4) and Kinetic Force (9-12) while occupying a middle-ground weight. Crucially, Course:W1P1 at Doncaster confirms he handles this track, DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ mean no obvious trip or ground concerns, and the MarkMv:-2 puts him running off a mark marginally below his last win — a small but favourable handicap position. The combination of the 24% market compression, course form, and a manageable mark makes him the standout pick in what is an otherwise evenly-matched field. Each-way alternative: Fantasy Master. Main danger: Tiva — Tiva holds the highest SR in the field at 85 and has a recent win (form string includes a '1') on a trainer (O'Meara, 13%) who regularly fires at Class 4 level, and while the 13% drift is a concern, the raw ability advantage over the field cannot be entirely dismissed.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form figures 1-4057 show Winged Messenger's sole course win is distant; his last four runs read 4-0-5-7, a deteriorating sequence with a last-place finish most recently.
  • Jockey Rowan Scott has an 11% strike rate, notably weak for a fancied runner, and the HG flag 'hp' suggests headgear change that may indicate the stable is papering over a loss of form.
  • Fantasy Master has superior Doncaster course form (W2P2 vs W1P1), a lower weight (9-4 vs 9-10), and an identical SR:80 — yet drifted only 8% in the market, making Winged Messenger's steam look less u…
  • A MarkMv of only -2 is a very modest handicap drop after runs of 0, 5, and 7 — the handicapper has barely reacted, suggesting connections may share that pessimism or the steam is simply place-market…
Shortlist Winged Messenger, Tiva, Fantasy Master, Call Margot
Each-way: Fantasy Master Danger: Tiva

🗺 The Course Class 4

5f3y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade