Goffs Vincent O'Brien National Stakes (Group 1) · 0m7f0y
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 81 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dr Rascal | 10/3 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 Ladbrokes |
| 2 Florida Bay | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Folsom Blues | 17/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Giant Sequoia | 9/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Haffner | 6/1 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 Monogram | 2/1 open 3.25 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 Paddy Power |
| 7 Porto Vecchio | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Trean | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Monogram owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 105 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dr Rascal carries the highest SR in the field at 127 — a clear 4-point advantage over the next-best Haffner (SR 123) — and has posted a perfect 111 form string, meaning three wins from three starts at this exact class level. The 26% market inward move is the most significant steaming signal in the field and suggests informed money has arrived since opening, despite a mark that has risen 16lb since his last win. At 10/3 he is not a cramped price, which means the market is paying for a genuine ability edge rather than sentiment. Oliver Cole's 11% strike rate is modest but Kaiya Fraser at 13% on 850 rides is a competent booking, and the distance fitness tick confirms he handles 7f. The principal concern is GoingFit:? — he has no confirmed record on today's good ground — but the same uncertainty applies to several rivals including Giant Sequoia and Folsom Blues. Each-way alternative: Giant Sequoia. Main danger: Giant Sequoia — Giant Sequoia (SR 119, 7/2) has won on the Curragh (Course:W1P2), is ridden by Ryan Moore — the field's most productive jockey at 24% career strike rate — and his 311 form line mirrors Dr Rascal's winning pattern, making him the most credible threat despite a 7% market drift.