Alpe d'Huez brings course-relevant experience over today's distance and going, and that winning run four starts back gives his profile some substance, though he has been beaten in each of his last three outings and the 41-day absence adds a fitness query.
Form last 61205
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR79RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner two starts back and runner-up three starts back, Switching Sides brings solid recent form into this, and his experience over today's trip and going underlines his claims; the main concern is whether 57 days off the track has left him short of peak sharpness.
Form last 6215
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR97RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mehmas Star ran second last time out and returns in good order after 17 days, with experience of today's distance and going in his favour; the trainer's 26% strike rate over the past fortnight is a boost, though a rating of 66 ranks him eighth of sixteen and 131 lb from stall 13 are factors to weigh.
Form last 62
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR67RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Treasurer won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, giving him solid claims here; the main concern is his seventh on his most recent outing, which he will need to put firmly behind him.
Form last 64017
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
65SR85RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Won last time out and returns on a snappy 17-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour, but a weight of 129 lb and an official rating of 95 contrasting with our lower figure of 79 suggest he may need to find improvement to dominate from stall seven.
Form last 6441
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR79RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed third last time out and third two starts back, Ten Clarets is a consistent sort yet to score, though his trainer is in fine fettle at 26% recently and he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 64233
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR76RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed last time out and a winner two starts back, Star Of State arrives in fine recent nick, has run over today's trip and going, and her rating puts her clear at the top of this field — a brief absence of 24 days is no concern.
Form last 6212
★AI Rating★★★★☆
120SR107RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Winless in recent starts and ranked 12 of 16 on our figures, Knockcurra Dream is hard to fancy on current form, though he has run over today's trip and going before and comes here fresh enough at 22 days between runs.
Form last 60
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR54RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 250/1.
Lord Ragnar shaped with credit last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, but his rating sits below his official mark and he has managed just one win in his last six starts, leaving him with something to prove from stall 16.
Form last 6021242
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR73RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
September Duke heads into this off a 75-day absence and, ranked eleventh of sixteen on our figures, is hard to fancy; yet to win in recent starts, his sole consolation is that he has run over today's trip and going before, and he breaks from stall one carrying 127 lb.
Form last 60
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR58RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
Unraced and therefore unexposed, The Windhover makes his debut carrying 127 lb from stall 10, an unknown quantity open to any amount of improvement on whatever he shows here.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unexposed on debut, Belle Vision is an unknown quantity stepping into the unknown from stall two carrying 126 lb, but with no evidence to go against her she is open to any amount of improvement and worth watching.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts with a hat-trick of unplaced efforts before modest fourth-place finishes, Fine Line faces an uphill task from stall 14 carrying 126 lb, and a trainer without a winner in 25 attempts over the past fortnight makes her hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and ground.
Form last 6000744
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR61RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.
Unraced and entirely unexposed, She's Coul makes her debut from stall nine carrying 126 lb, with everything still to learn but every improvement to come.
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.
Unexposed on debut, Killashee Supreme carries 124 lb from stall 8 and, with no public form to go on, is open to any amount of improvement — one to keep an eye on as she begins her career.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in recent starts and ranked tenth of sixteen on our figures, Sapphire Sun faces a stiff task from stall eleven carrying 124 lb, though she is at least familiar with today's distance and going and returns after a reasonable 21-day break.
Form last 66
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR60RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Star Of State owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
1/5Joseph Patrick O'BrienRyan Moore
92%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Atlantic Bridge
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · Robson De Aguiar✓ Value Signal
Ten Clarets
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · K. R. Burke◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Star Of State (SR:120, 1/5) is in a different ability bracket to every other runner in this field — the next-best rated horse is Switching Sides at SR:93, a 27-point gap that is enormous in a 2yo sprint context. Ryan Moore (24% career strike rate) is booked and the market has continued to shorten (Mkt:in6%), confirming stable confidence. The 212 form line shows consistent competitiveness at the top level, and at just 9-2 in weight there is no burden issue. The only caveat is DistFit:? and GoingFit:?, but at this SR advantage those unknowns do not materially alter the outcome.
Each-way alternative: Switching Sides.
Main danger: Atlantic Bridge — Atlantic Bridge (SR:89, 6/1) arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form 441→1), is ridden by Wayne Lordan who has a 16% career strike rate, and at just 9-3 carries less weight than the favourite — if the trip or going catches Star Of State out on debut at this course, Atlantic Bridge is best placed to capitalise.
⚖Case against4▾
Both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown ('?'), meaning Star Of State's suitability for today's specific trip and going at the Curragh is unconfirmed — a meaningful gap in a 2yo sprint where ground and…
The '212' form line shows Star Of State has been beaten twice, including a most-recent second — not a horse peaking into this race, and at 1/5 there is zero margin for an off-day.
Atlantic Bridge (SR:89, 6/1) is freshest of the dangers (Days:17) and has drifted out 13% — unusual if stable confidence were high — but still represents a 31-point SR gap that is closable on a bad d…
At 1/5, the place payout is negligible; the only outcome that justifies the pick is a win, so any minor inconvenience (slow break, wide draw, pace scenario) converts to a losing bet with no safety ne…
ShortlistStar Of State, Switching Sides, Atlantic Bridge