Kelso 18:25 RESULTED
Class 3 16 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday In Memory Of Rossie Maitland-Carew Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

In Memory Of Rossie Maitland-Carew Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m1f14y

Official Result

In Memory Of Rossie Maitland-Carew Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Duke Of Luckley (IRE) Freddie Keighley · Martin Keighley
    13/8
  2. 1/1F
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 3 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Duke of Luckley silks
Duke of Luckley
Age 9 · 12-0
P-13V1
125
127
138
9
12-0
11/4 5/4 5/2
Duke of Luckley is the top-rated runner here and arrives on the back of a win 22 days ago, with a third three starts back adding further substance to his recent form. He has experience over today's distance and going, and while 168 lb is a stern burden, his profile makes him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Conquer The Breeze silks
Conquer The Breeze
Age 7 · 11-7
-11411
118
124
118
7
11-7
4/5
Conquer The Breeze arrives on the back of four wins in his last five starts, including back-to-back victories, and he has experience of both today's trip and going — the main question is whether 66 days off has left him short of peak fitness.
AI verdict

SR 124 backed by market confidence at 10/11 — a genuine contender.

3
Garde des Champs silks
Garde des Champs
Age 10 · 10-6
-43328
103
117
121
10
10-6
3/1 7/2 5/2
Placed third twice and second in his last five starts, Garde des Champs arrives fit on 32 days' rest, carries 146 lb, and has run over today's trip — our rating of 121 marks him as a leading danger, though he remains yet to win.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Duke of Luckley 11/4 open 2.50 5/2 open 2.25 11/4 open 2.37 11/4 open 2.37 5/2 open 2.38 11/4 open 2.75 11/4 Bet365
2 Conquer The Breeze 4/5 4/5 open 1.83 5/6 5/6 5/6 4/5 open 1.83 5/6 Coral
3 Garde des Champs 3/1 open 8.00 11/4 open 9.00 3/1 open 8.50 3/1 open 8.50 11/4 open 8.50 5/2 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Duke of Luckley

Live signal

Duke of Luckley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Martin Keighley Freddie Keighley(5)
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Conquer The Breeze

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/5 · Adam Nicol
✓ Value Signal

Garde des Champs

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

3/1 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 3 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Duke of Luckley
69.3 11/4
2 2. Conquer The Breeze
66.0 4/5
3 3. Garde des Champs
65.3 3/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Conquer The Breeze
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-7
4/5
★★★★☆ SR 124 🐾

SR 124 backed by market confidence at 10/11 — a genuine contender.

1
Age 9 · 12-0
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 127 🐾

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 10 · 10-6
3/1
★★★★☆ SR 117 🐾

Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Conquer The Breeze
Confidence: Speculative

Conquer The Breeze (SR 124, 10/11) carries a meaningful weight advantage over Duke of Luckley — 11-7 vs 12-0, a 7lb edge — and arrives on a career-best form string of -11411 with the last four runs showing three wins and a fourth, demonstrating consistent progression at class 3 level. Trainer Adam Nicol (17% strike rate, 243 runners) and jockey Ryan Mania (17%, 240 runners) are a proven combination, and the DistFit:+ confirms this horse is proven over today's trip of 2m1f. The 7% market drift is a mild concern but in a three-runner field thin market samples can be noise; the weight advantage, strong recent form, and distance fitness outweigh the slight drift. Each-way alternative: Garde des Champs. Main danger: Duke of Luckley — Duke of Luckley holds a 3-point SR advantage (127 vs 124) and has a win in recent form, and if the trip concern proves overstated on good-to-firm ground the class edge could tell despite the heavy weight.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Conquer The Breeze has been off the track for 66 days — the longest layoff in this field — raising freshness doubts, while Duke of Luckley (22 days) and Garde des Champs (32 days) arrive in sharper r…
  • Going preference is a red flag: Conquer The Breeze's HG code is 't' (turf/good), whereas today's conditions at Kelso may differ; Duke of Luckley's 'v' code suggests he handles softer/variable ground…
  • Duke of Luckley holds a 3-point SR advantage (127 vs 124) and his form reads P-13V1 including a recent win — the top-rated horse in the race is the one giving weight away, not receiving it, which is…
  • The market has drifted Conquer The Breeze out 7% (MarkMv +8 suggests cumulative drift of 8 points), while Garde des Champs has been backed in 42% — smart money is moving away from the pick in a field…
Shortlist Conquer The Breeze, Duke of Luckley, Garde des Champs
Each-way: Garde des Champs Danger: Duke of Luckley

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m1f14y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
3 Confirmed runners
Kelso Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade