Clonmel 17:05 RESULTED
16 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday Suir Blueway Handicap

Suir Blueway Handicap · 1m1f168y

Official Result

Suir Blueway Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mare Crisium (IRE) Shane Foley · K J Condon
    9/2C
  2. 33/1
  3. 9/1
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  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
John La Bear silks
John La Bear
Age 3 · 10-2
441-70
60
53
68
3
10-2
12/1 12/1 11/1
John La Bear arrives as the top-rated runner in this field of 14, and his win three starts back underlines his ability at this level; the main concern is a 47-day absence and an unplaced effort latest, leaving fitness the key question.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Ella's Gold silks
Ella's Gold
Age 3 · 10-1
023040
59
57
68
3
10-1
6/1 13/2 11/2
Ranked second of fourteen in the field on our rating and dropping to a mark of 59, Ella's Gold arrives on a sharp eight-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going, making her a leading danger — though her tendency to finish out of the frame in recent starts is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Mare Crisium silks
Mare Crisium
Age 3 · 9-13
944654
57
57
66
3
9-13
4/1 11/4 4/1
Winless in her last six starts, Mare Crisium nonetheless brings strong fitness credentials just 11 days since her latest outing, and has run over today's distance and going — our rating of 66 suggests she is well treated at an official mark of 57, making the 139 lb burden manageable.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sweetie Too silks
Sweetie Too
Age 3 · 9-13
0845
57
47
59
3
9-13
11/1 9/1 10/1
Winless in her last four starts, Sweetie Too does bring going experience to the table and a lively eight-day turnaround suggests she is fit, though her ranking of seventh from fourteen and a best recent finish of fifth are harder to overlook.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.

5
Concaire silks
Concaire
Age 3 · 9-12
086274
56
61
65
3
9-12
7/2 3/1 10/3
Concaire was fourth last time out and second three starts back, offering some encouragement despite being winless in his last six; carrying 138 lb from stall one on going he has encountered before, there is fitness on his side at just a fortnight between runs.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Queen Of Astolat silks
Queen Of Astolat
Age 3 · 9-10
633860
54
32
63
3
9-10
28/1 16/1 28/1
Winless in her last six starts and drawn in stall nine carrying 136 lb, Queen Of Astolat has experience of today's trip and going in her favour, though a struggling trainer and an unplaced latest effort make the claims against her hard to ignore.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

7
Zitkala Sa silks
Zitkala Sa
Age 3 · 9-10
603689
54
32
67
3
9-10
28/1 25/1 28/1
Ranked third of fourteen on our rating, Zitkala Sa has run over today's trip and going, arrives fit on a 12-day turnaround from draw 2, and carries 136 lb, with a winless recent run the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
Incredible Army silks
Incredible Army
Age 3 · 9-9
010980
53
26
56
3
9-9
33/1 25/1 33/1
Showed a win in his last six starts — a victory five runs back — but has been out of the placings in four of the five since, and 53 days off the track adds a fitness query; has experience of today's trip and conditions, though 135 lb is a stiff burden.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Borora Aura silks
Borora Aura
Age 3 · 9-4
296607
48
40
56
3
9-4
12/1 12/1 11/1
Winless in her last six starts, Borora Aura has experience over today's trip and going to draw on, yet her recent string of mid-field and unplaced efforts is hard to ignore; carrying 130 lb from stall 11 at least brings her to the track fit on an eleven-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 40 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Ochtar Againn silks
Ochtar Againn
Age 3 · 9-4
500470
48
28
54
3
9-4
33/1 22/1 28/1
Winless in her last six starts, with unplaced efforts dominating her recent form, Ochtar Againn is hard to fancy from a ranking of eleventh of fourteen, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns reasonably fresh at 17 days.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

11
Arizona Star silks
Arizona Star
Age 3 · 8-13
306385
43
51
54
3
8-13
11/2 6/1 5/1
Arizona Star arrives on the back of a fifth last time out and is winless in her last six starts, with an eighth two starts back a clear low point; however, a third three starts back shows she can hit the frame, and experience over today's trip and going gives her a platform at draw four off 125 lb.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Mrs Lady Bella silks
Mrs Lady Bella
Age 3 · 8-13
050
43
16
33
3
8-13
40/1 28/1 40/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked last on our figures, Mrs Lady Bella faces a stiff ask here; 53 days between runs adds to the concern, though she has run over today's going before and that offers a slim foothold.
AI verdict

SR 16 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

13
Cadreville silks
Cadreville
Age 3 · 8-10
-03567
40
46
50
3
8-10
6/1 6/1 5/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Cadreville has shown little improvement in recent outings despite experience over today's distance and going, and 54 days off makes his readiness another question mark.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Garryowen Green silks
Garryowen Green
Age 3 · 8-10
900539
40
41
53
3
8-10
14/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a third two runs back his only encouragement, Garryowen Green faces a stiff ask ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns on a fresh enough 17-day break.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 John La Bear 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 Ladbrokes
2 Ella's Gold 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 6/1 open 10.00 11/2 open 7.50 13/2 Coral
3 Mare Crisium 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 9/2 Coral
4 Sweetie Too 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 Coral
5 Concaire 7/2 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 10/3 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
6 Queen Of Astolat 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 Paddy Power
7 Zitkala Sa 28/1 open 26.00 30/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 30/1 Paddy Power
8 Incredible Army 33/1 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Borora Aura 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Ochtar Againn 33/1 28/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
11 Arizona Star 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
12 Mrs Lady Bella 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
13 Cadreville 6/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.00 6/1 Bet365
14 Garryowen Green 14/1 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 14/1 16/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Concaire

Speculative

Concaire owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Richard John O'Brien W. J. Lee
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mare Crisium

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · K J Condon
✓ Value Signal

Incredible Army

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Jack Foley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Concaire
49.7 7/2
2 3. Mare Crisium
47.5 4/1
3 11. Arizona Star
46.8 11/2
4 2. Ella's Gold
46.7 6/1
5 13. Cadreville
42.8 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ella's Gold
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-12
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-13
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 8-13
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 10-1
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 8-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-13
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.

1
Age 3 · 10-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 8-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ella's Gold
Confidence: Speculative

Ella's Gold (SR:57, 13/2) is one of the two joint-highest rated runners in the field and carries a favourable weight of 10-1, lighter than top-weight John La Bear (10-2). Critically, she is the only runner in the field with a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's 1m1f168y trip, which is a decisive edge in a race where the majority of rivals show DistFit:? or DistFit:-. The market has shortened by 16% since opening — the sharpest steaming move in the field — suggesting informed support from connections. Ben Coen (11% career strike rate from 1,783 rides) is a meaningful upgrade in the saddle, and the 8-day turnaround from a yard operating at 8% win rate indicates confidence in current fitness. Each-way alternative: Concaire. Main danger: Concaire — Concaire (SR:61, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field, ridden by W. J. Lee who strikes at 15% career rate, and at 9-12 carries a lighter weight than Ella's Gold — if the DistFit:? proves a non-issue over this trip, his superior SR makes him a genuine winning threat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ella's Gold's form string 023040 shows a '0' last time out — a non-completion or last-place finish — raising doubts about whether the 8-day turnaround from that effort is a confidence move or a quick…
  • Concaire (SR:61) is the highest-rated horse in the field, outrating Ella's Gold by 4 points, is priced shorter at 10/3, and carries only 9-12 — less weight than Ella's Gold despite superior rating, m…
  • The HG:p flag suggests Ella's Gold's best form is on polytrack, while today's Clonmel surface is likely different; trainer Matthew J Smith's 8% strike rate offers little reassurance that the yard reg…
  • Mare Crisium, joint-highest rated (SR:57), is trained by K J Condon (11% strike rate, better than Smith's 8%) and partnered by Shane Foley (11%), representing similar ratings credentials at a shorter…
Shortlist Ella's Gold, Concaire, Mare Crisium
Each-way: Concaire Danger: Concaire

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m1f168y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Clonmel Track and setting