Kelso 17:55 RESULTED
Class 4 16 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday Weatherbys Racing Bank Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Weatherbys Racing Bank Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 2m5f133y

Official Result

Weatherbys Racing Bank Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fairlawn Skipper (GB) Shane Fenelon · Mickey Bowen
    11/8F
  2. 11/4
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rockstown Girl silks
Rockstown Girl
Age 8 · 12-0
2-3367
108
96
109
8
12-0
9/2 9/2 10/3
Rockstown Girl showed a tidy run of form earlier in the season — third three starts back and third four starts back, with a second five starts back — and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 109 makes her a leading danger; the risk is that she arrives just one day after her last outing, and has been out of the frame in her two most recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Fairlawn Skipper silks
Fairlawn Skipper
Age 6 · 12-0
901U12
108
112
118
6
12-0
7/4 18/13 7/4
Fairlawn Skipper is the top-rated runner here and his recent form reads well, with a win two starts back and a second last time out; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 168 lb is the one potential query, but he is the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Limerick Leader silks
Limerick Leader
Age 9 · 11-13
233411
100
105
104
9
11-13
2/1 18/13 7/4
Limerick Leader arrives in red-hot form, winning back-to-back heading into this, and he has experience of both today's trip and going conditions; the chief concern is a hefty 167 lb on his back.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Moonlightinthepark silks
Moonlightinthepark
Age 5 · 10-7
796P-4
87
90
99
5
10-7
7/2
Winless in her last five starts and pulled up two runs back, Moonlightinthepark does at least arrive here on a swift 12-day turnaround, and our rating of 98 suggests she is considerably better than her official mark of 87 — the chief concern is whether she can translate that latent ability into a finish.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rockstown Girl 9/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 7/2 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
2 Fairlawn Skipper 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.38 15/8 Coral
3 Limerick Leader 2/1 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.75 2/1 Bet365
4 Moonlightinthepark 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 7/2 4/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fairlawn Skipper

Live signal

Fairlawn Skipper owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Mickey Bowen Shane Fenelon
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Limerick Leader

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Nick Scholfield
✓ Value Signal

Moonlightinthepark

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

7/2 · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Fairlawn Skipper
63.9 7/4
2 3. Limerick Leader
61.4 2/1
3 4. Moonlightinthepark
57.0 7/2
4 1. Rockstown Girl
54.7 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Limerick Leader
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 12-0
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-13
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 10-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Limerick Leader
Confidence: Speculative

Limerick Leader (SR 105, 7/4) brings the most compelling multi-signal case in this small field. The form string 233411 reads right-to-left as a horse that has won its last two starts, arriving in peak form at the same class (ClassMv:=) and off a manageable +4lb mark rise from last win. Critically, it holds Course:W1P1 at Kelso — proven course form at a track that rewards specialists — and DistFit:+ confirms genuine stamina for this 2m5f trip. At 1lb less than top-weight (11-13 vs 12-0 carried by both rivals), the weight edge is real. Trainer Nick Scholfield hits at 15% and conditional Freddie Keighley (5lb claim) at 12% provides further allowance — net weight advantage over Fairlawn Skipper is meaningful. Each-way alternative: Fairlawn Skipper. Main danger: Fairlawn Skipper — Fairlawn Skipper (SR 112, 15/8) carries the highest SR in the field and has DistFit:+ at this trip, and while the 12% drift is a concern, its raw ability edge could assert itself if Limerick Leader finds the back-to-back wins harder to replicate.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Fairlawn Skipper carries a significantly higher SR of 112 vs Limerick Leader's 105 — a 7-point class advantage that is not fully offset by the 1lb weight concession, and Skipper is only a 6-year-old…
  • Limerick Leader is 9 years old with a form string showing a win gap (form 233411 with recent wins coming after a losing run) — at this age, consistency sustaining a winning sequence is harder, and th…
  • Conditional jockey Freddie Keighley's 12% strike rate across all rides is modest, and while the 5lb claim helps on paper, the net weight edge over top-weight is just 2lb — a thin margin against the m…
  • Fairlawn Skipper is trading at 15/8 with a 12% market drift OUT, yet still sits as the highest-rated horse at SR 112 — suggesting market participants may see latent value there, while Limerick Leader…
Shortlist Limerick Leader, Fairlawn Skipper, Moonlightinthepark
Each-way: Fairlawn Skipper Danger: Fairlawn Skipper

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m5f133y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Kelso Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade