Winless in recent starts, Guy's Girl nevertheless catches the eye ranked second of fourteen on our ratings, and has run over today's distance and going before; the concern is that her recent finishes make it hard to trust her on the day.
Form last 6563006
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR66RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ardeur has run over today's trip and going and rates above her official mark on our figures, making her a genuine third-ranked threat in a competitive field; the risk is that she arrives winless in her last five starts.
Form last 60-0007
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR66RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Reponse Finale has run over today's trip and going, and her recent record shows a win two starts back and a second three starts back, but a fourth last time out after just six days' rest gives pause, and her trainer is winless in the last 14 days.
Form last 6841214
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
65SR53RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Medieval Night arrives here second two starts back and with experience of today's distance and going, making him an appealing each-way prospect carrying 138 lb from stall 6, though the trainer's current blank run of 0 from 22 is a note of caution for a gelding yet to score in recent starts.
Form last 6047625
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR63RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and returning after 110 days off, Among The Pines nonetheless appeals as a leading threat here, with his rating of 68 heading the field and experience over today's trip and going working in his favour; the obvious concern is that recent form has been consistently below par.
Form last 68800-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR68RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in her last four starts and absent for 610 days, Miss Glenville faces a stiff return to action, though she has run over today's trip before and a speed rating of 56 nudges fractionally above her official mark of 52.
Form last 6705/9-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR52RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Alto Sax showed up with a second two starts back but has since slipped to sixth, and his inconsistency — a ninth three starts back among the recent figures — is the concern; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 133 lb from stall five, and returns after eleven days, yet remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 6925926
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR58RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Brewel Hill does at least bring experience of today's distance and going, and a our rating of 64 suggests more ability than his official mark of 49 implies, though recent finishes of eighth and unplaced make it hard to fancy him strongly from stall 11 carrying 131 lb.
Form last 630-508
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR64RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Chou Chou does at least return in fair order after a 14-day break, has experience of today's trip and going, and ran third last time out — yet a mark of 49 and ranking tenth of fourteen on ratings suggest he faces a stiff ask here.
Form last 69-9043
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR51RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Talking Tough at least has experience of today's trip and going to call on, and 18 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; a fourth two starts back offers mild encouragement, though his overall consistency remains the chief concern from stall 12 off 125 lb.
Form last 6608740
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR55RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, Chant d'Or faces a stiff task here; he does have experience of today's distance and going, and 14 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, but the form makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6000-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
26SR41RPR42OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Hastily faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's going before and draws stall one carrying 122 lb.
Form last 69-0009
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR37RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, Jazz Dreamers makes little appeal despite having run over today's distance and going before; the 22-day break keeps him fresh, but his recent string of unplaced efforts is hard to overlook.
Form last 6-79800
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
20SR44RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Share The Treasure faces a stiff ask here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 20 days since her last outing leaves her at least fresh, but little else in her recent form encourages.
Form last 6609-59
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
19SR40RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Reponse Finale owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Gavin CromwellRobert Whearty
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Alto Sax
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Peter Fahey✓ Value Signal
Among The Pines
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · Kieran Callaghan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Reponse Finale (SR:65, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 9 SR points clear of the next best — and the market has backed that up with a 9% inward move to 9/4 favouritism. Trainer Gavin Cromwell (12% strike rate, 3,131 career runners) is the most potent handler in this field by some distance, and the MarkMv:+17 is the main concern, but the recent 4-1-2-1 sequence in the form string (reading right-to-left: won last, second two back, won before that) confirms a horse in excellent current form. GoingFit:- and DistFit:? are genuine question marks on today's Good ground at this trip, but the SR superiority and Cromwell's in-form yard outweigh those doubts in a field where the next-best runners are clustered at SR:56.
Each-way alternative: Guy's Girl.
Main danger: Guy's Girl — Guy's Girl (SR:56, 13/2) has steamed in 14% in the market — the strongest inward move in the field after the favourite — and at 10-2 she carries weight that suggests connections believe she's well-handicapped; W.J. Lee (15% career strike rate, 1,824 runners) is the most accomplished jockey booking in the race and a significant upgrade on many rivals.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+17 is a sharp official rise — handicapper has already reacted to recent wins and Reponse Finale must now carry a materially higher mark than when earning those results.
GoingFit:- on today's Good ground is a concrete flag; if her form was built on softer surfaces, this track condition is a genuine unknown that could blunt her SR advantage.
DistFit:? means there is no confirmed evidence she stays or excels at today's trip — class superiority can be negated if the distance does not suit.
Jockey Robert Whearty's 7% strike rate is the weakest rider stat in the top half of the market, and in a race where she needs to dictate from her class, jockey quality matters.