Pmj Capital Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m6f212y
SR 131 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 141 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Lady Phillips | 10/3 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 3/1 | — | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 1 Constella | 33/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Costa Verde | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Floral | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Grinanbearit | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Liberal Lady | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Lunar Storm | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 8 March Lilly | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 9 New Year's Eve | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 10 Ortenzian Twilight | 100/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Sizzling Affair | 11/10 open 4.33 | 11/10 open 4.00 | 6/5 open 4.00 | 6/5 open 4.00 | 6/5 open 4.00 | 11/10 open 3.50 | 6/5 Coral |
| 12 Trapped Goddess | 20/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 8.50 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
New Year's Eve owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sizzling Affair (SR 157, 7/4) leads the field on raw ability and carries the most compelling market signal — steaming in 35% from opening — suggesting connections have strong confidence in a debut performance. K.R. Burke runs at a 20% career strike rate from 2,156 runners, one of the strongest training records in the field, and Sam James is a capable partner in soft ground conditions. While all runners share DistFit:? and GoingFit:? given the novice/debut nature of the card, the SR edge of 1 point over New Year's Eve (SR 156) is marginal but the market differential and yard form tilt the balance — Sizzling Affair is backed at 7/4 against 9/4 for Haggas's filly, and Burke's stable form supports the confidence. Each-way alternative: New Year's Eve. Main danger: New Year's Eve — New Year's Eve (SR 156, 9/4) is trained by William Haggas at a 23% career strike rate — the highest in the field — with Cieren Fallon booked and a 21% market move inward, making her a genuine and well-backed threat to Sizzling Affair on debut.