MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m2f0y
SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 83 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 85 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 89 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 86 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Hidalgo Des Mottes | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 0 Cornaroya Rocco | 8/1 | 15/2 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 0 Ahellofaman | 22/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 1 War Correspondent | 22/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Buddy Holly | 18/1 open 9.50 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 10.00 | 20/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 open 10.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Ollie La Ba Ba | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Lord Ffrench | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 William Hill |
| 5 One And Only | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Tippawan Haa | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Woodstream Lad | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Earl Neigh | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Palace Boy | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Costanuci | 6/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Gatehouse Boy | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Tell Me See | 8/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Freddie Robdal | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Lakewood Rose | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Who's Da Goose | 9/4 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 2/1 | 9/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Costanuci owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Who's Da Goose (SR:95, 9/4) is the clear class-leader in this field — a full 6 SR points clear of the next-best Costanuci (SR:89) — and carries the lightest competitive weight at 10-13, giving a meaningful lbs advantage over rivals like War Correspondent (12-2) and Ollie La Ba Ba (11-13). The market is firmly on side: a 15% shortening (Mkt:in15%) in an 18-runner handicap is a strong signal, and Miss J Townend's 22% strike rate from 172 rides is comfortably the best jockey booking in the field. The MarkMv:+9 is the one caveat — running off a mark 9lb higher than at last win — but at age 4 with a progressive form profile (7-5-8-1 right-to-left, with last-run win) and unproven distance/going (DistFit:? GoingFit:?) suggesting upside rather than a negative, this horse represents the standout pick. The trainer Eoin Christopher McCarthy's stable companion Ollie La Ba Ba lacks market confidence and inferior SR, confirming Who's Da Goose is the yard's number one. Each-way alternative: Costanuci. Main danger: Costanuci — Costanuci (SR:89, 17/2) holds a MarkMv:-5 advantage — running off a mark 5lb below last win — has course form (W1P1 at Listowel), and a going record of GoingFit:~ suggesting adaptability, making it the most credible threat to the selection at a price.