Newmarket 15:35 RESULTED
Class 1 25 Sep 2026

Today Betway Godolphin Stakes (Listed Race)

Betway Godolphin Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m4f0y

Official Result

Betway Godolphin Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fortitudine (IRE) William Buick · Charlie Appleby
    15/8F
  2. 5/1
  3. 11/4
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Big race Sat 26 Sep Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · 15:40

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Listowel

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13:58–17:23 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:35–20:15 · 8 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 16 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Archers Bay silks
Archers Bay
Age 3 · 9-4
139413
100
108
106
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 7/1 9/2
Archers Bay comes here on the back of a third last time out, with a win two starts back giving his recent form a solid foundation, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions. Rated 106 and the top-rated runner in a four-horse field, he is the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Castlemont silks
Castlemont
Age 3 · 9-4
11
98
107
96
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 5/1 4/1
Castlemont arrives in career-best form, winning his last two starts in succession, and he has experience over today's trip to boot; the main query is whether carrying 130 lb blunts his momentum.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Fortitudine silks
Fortitudine
Age 3 · 9-4
11
105
117
103
3
9-4
★★★★☆
—
7/4 32/17 31/19
Fortitudine arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and 23 days between runs suggests he returns in good order, carrying 130 lb the chief concern as he bids to make it three on the spin.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Kokbastau silks
Kokbastau
Age 3 · 9-4
6-3111
106
118
105
3
9-4
★★★★☆
—
7/4 Evs 7/4
Kokbastau arrives on the back of three consecutive wins and has run over today's trip, making him a compelling threat at 130 lb; the weight he carries is the one factor rivals will be hoping tells against him.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Archers Bay 5/1 open 8.50 11/2 open 10.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 8.00 11/2 Paddy Power
2 Castlemont 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 5/1 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 5/1 Paddy Power
3 Fortitudine 7/4 open 3.25 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 Bet365
4 Kokbastau 7/4 open 2.00 7/4 open 2.00 7/4 open 2.00 7/4 open 2.00 7/4 open 2.00 7/4 open 2.00 7/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fortitudine

Live signal

Fortitudine owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (65) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Charlie Appleby William Buick
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kokbastau

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Archers Bay

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

5/1 · Marco Botti
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Fortitudine
64.6 7/4
2 4. Kokbastau
62.4 7/4
3 1. Archers Bay
60.4 5/1
4 2. Castlemont
56.6 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Fortitudine
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-4
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 117 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 3 · 9-4
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 118 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-4
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fortitudine
Confidence: Speculative

Fortitudine (SR 117, 7/4) is the Appleby yard's #1 runner by every key signal: William Buick booked over Billy Loughnane on stablemate Castlemont, a 16% market move in since opening, and four stars from the AI probability model versus three for Castlemont. Both Appleby horses carry equal weight at 9-4 and are stepping up two class tiers, but Fortitudine's higher SR (117 vs 107) gives it the clearest ability edge in a thin four-runner field. Kokbastau (SR 118) has the marginal SR lead but has drifted a damaging 32% since opening — market participants are actively stepping away — which is a serious red flag against taking it at near-even money. Archers Bay (SR 108) is the weakest rated runner and steps up in class with a mark 8lb above its last win. Each-way alternative: Kokbastau. Main danger: Kokbastau — Kokbastau holds the fractional SR lead (118 vs 117), has won three of its last four starts including a run from a 6 that suggests a bounce-back horse in fine current form, and if the 32% drift is simply thin-market noise rather than insider knowledge it remains fully capable of winning a four-runner Listed race.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Fortitudine's SR of 117 is marginally inferior to Kokbastau's 118 — the highest-rated horse in the field is not the pick, meaning ability edge claimed is overstated.
  • Form reads just '11' — only two career runs on record, making this a very lightly raced horse stepping up two class tiers with minimal evidence it can handle the rise.
  • Castlemont is the stablemate at 9/2 with the same weight and yard stats — Appleby running two horses creates split-stable risk and Fortitudine may not be the true yard number one on race day.
  • At 7/4 in a four-runner field, Fortitudine is priced with almost no margin for error; a 23-day absence combined with a significant class jump means any underperformance is immediately costly at this…
Shortlist Fortitudine, Kokbastau, Castlemont
Each-way: Kokbastau Danger: Kokbastau

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m4f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade