Newcastle (AW) 16:35 RESULTED
Class 6 25 Sep 2026

Today Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap Stakes

Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap Stakes · 1m4f98y

Official Result

Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Farabove The Limit (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Phillip Makin
    4/1
  2. 13/2
  3. 22/1
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Big race Sat 26 Sep Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · 15:40

Worcester

12:55–16:25 · 7 races

Newmarket

13:15–16:45 · 7 races

Listowel

13:40–17:40 · 8 races

Haydock

13:58–17:23 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:35–20:15 · 8 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 15 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Newport silks
Newport
Age 6 · 10-2
/54150
65
60
67
6
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 5/1 11/2
Newport landed a win three starts back but has been unplaced last time and finds 142 lb a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and at a rating of 67 he ranks fifth of 13 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Rubellite silks
Rubellite
Age 6 · 10-1
411451
64
69
66
6
10-1
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 5/2 10/3
Rubellite won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going in her favour, but carrying 141 lb is a stiff ask and her recent record also shows two fourths and a fifth in her last six starts, suggesting consistency remains a question mark.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Dancingondiamonds silks
Dancingondiamonds
Age 4 · 9-13
5-536
62
41
67
4
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 12/1 20/1
Dancingondiamonds showed up well for third two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating puts him ahead of his official mark — the worry is he has been winless in his last four starts and returns after a 47-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Cusack silks
Cusack
Age 8 · 9-12
486-00
61
33
69
8
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 20/1
Winless in his last five starts and not seen for 115 days, Cusack nonetheless rates above his official mark and has run over today's trip and going, making him a genuine danger; the absence of any recent form to work with remains the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

5
Ouro Preto silks
Ouro Preto
Age 5 · 9-12
979089
61
48
65
5
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 9/1 10/1
Winless in his last six starts, Ouro Preto arrives here 23 days on from his latest effort and has run over today's trip before, though his weight of 138 lb is a stiff ask and his consistency has been a concern throughout recent outings.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

6
That Darn Cantor silks
That Darn Cantor
Age 3 · 9-9
956434
65
57
63
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 13/2 11/2
Yet to score in his last six starts, That Darn Cantor at least showed consistency last time with a third two starts back, though a 43-day break and a rating of 62 ranked eighth of thirteen leave him with plenty to find against this field.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Sutton Hoo silks
Sutton Hoo
Age 3 · 9-8
9-1009
64
44
74
3
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 FCST 20/1
Sutton Hoo showed he knows how to win with a victory four starts back, and at 134 lb he arrives fresh on 16 days' rest with going experience on his side; the recent unplaced efforts are a concern, but he is the top-rated runner here.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Farabove The Limit silks
Farabove The Limit
Age 3 · 9-6
38-491
62
68
62
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
10/3
Farabove The Limit won last time out and has experience of today's going in his favour, but carrying 132 lb and ranking ninth of thirteen on ratings suggest he faces a stiff ask to back that up.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Beckon silks
Beckon
Age 3 · 9-5
-63990
61
36
61
3
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 20/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts, with two successive ninth-place finishes before today, Beckon is hard to fancy on these figures, ranked 11th of 13; experience over today's going is the one small crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Havachoc silks
Havachoc
Age 4 · 9-5
262479
54
55
62
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 6/1 11/2
Winless in his last six starts, with a ninth last time out and a seventh two starts back among the lowlights, Havachoc faces a stiff task carrying 131 lb and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Hey Havana silks
Hey Havana
Age 3 · 9-1
252438
57
63
68
3
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 13/2 8/1
Hey Havana returns fit on 16 days' rest, has experience of today's going, and our rating of 68 puts him notably ahead of his official mark — a strong case that he is better than that figure suggests; the risk is that his last start was an eighth.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Spirit of Nature silks
Spirit of Nature
Age 4 · 8-11
8-7067
46
24
44
4
8-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 30/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Spirit of Nature has a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip before, and 23 days since his last outing leaves him at least fresh.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

13
Beat The Odds silks
Beat The Odds
Age 4 · 8-11
6-9865
43
25
47
4
8-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 40/1 50/1
Winless in her last five starts, with finishes no better than fifth in that sequence, Beat The Odds is hard to fancy at the foot of the rankings here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 30 days between runs leaves her fresh, but her recent record offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Newport 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 13/2 Coral
2 Rubellite 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 Coral
3 Dancingondiamonds 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 Coral
4 Cusack 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Ouro Preto 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 11/1 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 11/1 Bet365
6 That Darn Cantor 7/1 open 8.50 13/2 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 7/1 6/1 open 8.50 7/1 Bet365
7 Sutton Hoo 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Farabove The Limit 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 Coral
9 Beckon 25/1 open 41.00 20/1 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 Bet365
10 Havachoc 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 Coral
11 Hey Havana 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 9/1 Coral
12 Spirit of Nature 33/1 open 26.00 30/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
13 Beat The Odds 66/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rubellite

Speculative

Rubellite owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Stephen Hanlon Conor Whiteley(5)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Farabove The Limit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Phillip Makin
✓ Value Signal

Sutton Hoo

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Stephen Hanlon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Rubellite
52.6 10/3
2 8. Farabove The Limit
50.5 10/3
3 11. Hey Havana
46.6 8/1
4 6. That Darn Cantor
46.1 7/1
5 1. Newport
44.8 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Farabove The Limit
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 10-1
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-6
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 10-2
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-5
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-1
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-12
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾 —

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Farabove The Limit
Confidence: Speculative

Farabove The Limit (SR:68, 3/1) carries the lightest weight of the leading pair at 9-6, giving a meaningful edge over Rubellite (SR:69, 10-1). The 24% market shortening is the single clearest money signal in the race — from an opening price, the market has decisively backed this horse, and combined with a last-time-out win (form reading ...491, rightmost=1) and a solid jockey booking in Paul Mulrennan (14% career SR across 2,402 runners), the case is multi-signal. At Class 6 on the same class as last run (ClassMv:=) and running off only a 3lb rise (MarkMv:+3) following that win, the handicapper hasn't overcorrected, leaving value at 3/1. Each-way alternative: Rubellite. Main danger: Rubellite — Rubellite (SR:69, 11/4) holds the narrow SR lead over Farabove The Limit and brings Course:W4P10 — an exceptional course-specialist record at Newcastle AW — alongside a DistFit:+ and a last-time-out win, making it the most plausible winner if the 8% drift is explained by the mark rise rather than any fitness concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Course form is weak: 0 wins from 1 start at Newcastle AW (Course:W0P1), suggesting the Tapeta surface or track configuration may not suit this horse.
  • Rubellite (SR:69, 11/4) has superior course form of W4P10 at Newcastle, a higher speed rating, and has drifted only 8% vs Farabove The Limit's 24% steam — the market may be overreacting to one win.
  • Form string 38-491 shows inconsistency with a gap mid-season and a '9' (near last) only two runs back; the LTO win may flatter a weak field rather than signal genuine improvement.
  • At 3/1 favourite in a 13-runner Class 6 handicap, Farabove The Limit is asked to defy a +3lb mark rise on a track where it has never won — compressed each-way value for what is a risky single.
Shortlist Farabove The Limit, Rubellite, Hey Havana
Each-way: Rubellite Danger: Rubellite

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m4f98y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade