Dundalk (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
Class 1 25 Sep 2026

Today BAR 1 Betting Diamond Stakes (Listed)

BAR 1 Betting Diamond Stakes (Listed) · 1m2f150y

Official Result

BAR 1 Betting Diamond Stakes (Listed)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Military Order (IRE) W. J. Lee · Charlie Appleby
    11/10F
  2. Second Geryon (IRE)
    6/4
  3. 13/2
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Big race Sat 26 Sep Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · 15:40

Worcester

12:55–16:25 · 7 races

Newmarket

13:15–16:45 · 7 races

Listowel

13:40–17:40 · 8 races

Haydock

13:58–17:23 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:35–20:15 · 8 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 15 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kilcrea Rock silks
Kilcrea Rock
Age 4 · 9-7
-25161
89
68
87
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 22/1 33/1
Kilcrea Rock won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but ranked last of seven on our figures with a speed rating of 76, he faces a stiff ask at the weights carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Military Order silks
Military Order
Age 6 · 9-7
46223-
111
100
120
6
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
10/11 11/10 4/5
Consistent without a win in recent starts, Military Order boasts a profile that demands respect — second twice and third once in his last three outings, with experience over today's distance and going working in his favour; the 315-day absence is the one query, but he rates top of these on our figures from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Geryon silks
Geryon
Age 3 · 9-6
424125
112
121
113
3
9-6
★★★★☆
—
6/4 3/2 18/13
Geryon arrives here in decent nick after a runner-up finish two starts back and a win three starts back, has run over today's trip, and his rating of 113 marks him as a genuine second-string threat; the fifth last time out is the one concern.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Alla Stella silks
Alla Stella
Age 4 · 9-2
365224
99
95
101
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 10/1 16/1
Alla Stella has finished second twice in recent starts and brings solid placed form to the table, with experience over today's trip adding to her claims; the 44-day absence is the one question mark she must answer on reappearance.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nuit silks
Nuit
Age 4 · 9-2
2-4419
88
69
96
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 25/1 80/1
Nuit won two starts back but comes off a disappointing ninth last time out, and while she has run over today's trip and going before, that recent blip and a demanding 128 lb make it hard to be fully confident, even if her rating of 96 hints at ability.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Spicy Margarita silks
Spicy Margarita
Age 4 · 9-2
848709
91
67
96
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
150/1 66/1 150/1
Winless in her last six starts, with finishes of ninth and seventh among a string of unplaced efforts, Spicy Margarita is hard to fancy from stall one carrying 128 lb, and though she has run over today's trip and going and returns after just 12 days, our rating of 96 ranks her sixth of seven.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Charles Fort silks
Charles Fort
Age 3 · 9-1
419-23
103
106
102
3
9-1
★★★★☆
—
8/1 4/1 8/1
Third last time out and a runner-up two starts back, Charles Fort arrives on a sharp 13-day turnaround in solid recent nick, has run over today's trip, and his 127 lb burden from stall five is the chief concern.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kilcrea Rock 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Paddy Power
2 Military Order 10/11 open 2.10 10/11 open 2.25 4/5 open 2.25 4/5 open 2.25 4/5 open 2.10 4/5 open 2.10 10/11 Bet365
3 Geryon 6/4 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.50 6/4 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.75 13/8 6/4 open 2.75 13/8 William Hill
4 Alla Stella 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 Paddy Power
5 Nuit 80/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 29.00 80/1 open 34.00 100/1 Paddy Power
6 Spicy Margarita 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 200/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 67.00 200/1 William Hill
7 Charles Fort 8/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.00 9/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 10/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Geryon

Live signal

Geryon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 G. M. Lyons Colin Keane
83% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Military Order

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/11 · Charlie Appleby
✓ Value Signal

Kilcrea Rock

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Geryon
66.8 6/4
2 2. Military Order
58.5 10/11
3 7. Charles Fort
56.1 8/1
4 4. Alla Stella
47.3 16/1
5 1. Kilcrea Rock
37.9 33/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Geryon
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 9-7
10/11
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
6/4
★★★★☆ SR 121 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 3 · 9-1
8/1
★★★★☆ SR 106 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 4 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Geryon
Confidence: Medium

Geryon (SR 121, 6/4) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this Listed field by a significant margin — 15 points clear of the next best Charles Fort (SR 106) and 21 points clear of Military Order (SR 100). The market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming professional support for a horse trained by G.M. Lyons (16% strike rate, 949 runners) with Colin Keane aboard (16% career strike rate, 2,327 runners — a top-tier booking). The GoingFit:+ confirms Geryon is proven on good ground, and while DistFit is marked '?' the step up to 1m2f150y from a 3-year-old in Listed company is a logical progression given the form line 424125 showing consistent placed efforts at Class 1. With only a 1lb weight concession to nearest rivals and no credible SR challenger at this level, Geryon is a clear selection. Each-way alternative: Military Order. Main danger: Military Order — Military Order (SR 100, evens) is the market's second choice with a 10% market-in move and a Godolphin/Appleby booking at a strong 33% trainer strike rate — connections clearly believe the 398-day absence has not blunted this horse, and the evens price implies the market sees it as a genuine threat, even if the SR gap to Geryon is substantial.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit marked '?' — Geryon is unproven at 1m2f150y and today's trip is the longest of their career, a genuine stamina question mark for a 3-year-old on the all-weather.
  • HG is 't' (turf) not 'a' (all-weather) — Dundalk is a polytrack surface and Geryon has no confirmed AW form, which is a distinct surface switch from their turf runs.
  • Military Order (evens, SR 100) is the market leader despite lower SR — experienced 6-year-old trained by Charlie Appleby (33% strike rate) who the market prices shorter than Geryon's 6/4, suggesting…
  • Form line 424125 shows a win last time but three of the six runs are finishes of 4 or worse; Charles Fort (SR 106, Aidan O'Brien) has drifted 37% suggesting yard confidence is low, but the drift does…
Shortlist Geryon, Charles Fort, Military Order
Each-way: Military Order Danger: Military Order

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m2f150y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade