Ashlar Construction Ebf Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) · 0m6f212y
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 El Paso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Great Oak | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 Betfred |
| 2 Jassas | 8/11 open 2.38 | 4/6 open 1.91 | 4/6 open 2.10 | 4/6 open 2.10 | 4/6 open 2.10 | 4/6 open 1.91 | 8/11 Bet365 |
| 3 St Helier | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 William Hill |
| 4 Brave Country | 20/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Dark Detective | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Grand Havana | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Harrow On The Hill | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Native German | 6/1 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jassas owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Jassas (SR 158, 10/11) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 5 points clear of the next-best St Helier (SR 153) and 10+ points ahead of everyone else. Dropping down two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) signals Appleby is here to win, and the market has backed that up with an 11% inward move to near-odds-on. The yard runs at 33% career strike rate from 845 runners — among the very best in the sport — and while the jockey booking is relatively junior (Toby Moore, 11%), Appleby regularly uses claimer allowances strategically on short-priced horses in novice company to get the job done. The form figure of '15' reads last-run win then a fifth beforehand, meaning the horse arrives on the back of a victory; dropping into Class 3 from higher company makes the task considerably more straightforward. Each-way alternative: St Helier. Main danger: St Helier — St Helier (SR 153, 4/1) ran to a big number last time out with a winning effort and is only 5 SR points below Jassas — if the Appleby runner underperforms on soft ground or the trip, St Helier has the form to capitalise, though the 12% drift is a mild concern.