Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, River Derwent faces a stiff task here; 128 days off the track adds a fitness query, though he has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 6440040
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR46RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last four starts and carrying 126 lb from stall seven, One Cool County is hard to fancy on these terms — our rating of 38 leaves him significantly below the field, and recent form offers little encouragement.
Form last 66900
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR38RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Movin And Groovin showed she can win at this level with a victory three starts back, and she brings distance and going experience to draw six carrying 136 lb, but a seventh last time out raises questions about her current consistency.
Form last 675-137
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR56RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Usuario Amigo nonetheless shaped with promise when third two runs back, and he has experience of today's trip and going to call on; drawn in stall four carrying 142 lb, our rating of 65 marks him as the one to beat in this field of 14.
Form last 6097036
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR65RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beat The Devil has run over today's trip and going before and, rated 59 by our assessors, ranks fourth of 14 — a fair case that he retains ability, though his recent sequence makes grim reading and he arrives winless in his last six starts.
Form last 6250609
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR59RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Bright Dick has nonetheless shown he can mix it at this level with a third two starts back, and he returns on 24 days' rest having run over today's trip and going before; the main concern is a tendency to finish out of the frame.
Form last 60093/0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR60RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Consistent but frustrating, Storm Eric has finished second three times in his last six starts yet remains winless, and while he has run over today's trip and going before, an official mark of 53 and a midfield ranking suggest he faces a stiff task here.
Form last 6423282
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR55RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Colugo's two thirds in recent form offer some encouragement, though her subsequent unplaced efforts and 135 lb give her plenty to find from stall 12 at a rating of 51.
Form last 633-008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR54RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Never Mind Me at least has the experience of today's trip and conditions to call upon, though two unplaced efforts in succession are hard to ignore; 41 days off and 135 lb from stall two make this a tough ask for a gelding rated just 51 officially.
Form last 62790/0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR56RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last five starts, May Night nonetheless catches the eye with a third two runs back and a rating of 61 that suggests he is well ahead of his official mark; the risk is that his two unplaced efforts since that placing raise questions about consistency.
Form last 60703-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR61RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Queen Leila won three starts back but has been unplaced in both runs since, and at 132 lb from stall 13 the weight is no featherweight burden; she has run over today's trip and going, though, giving her at least some familiar conditions to draw on.
Form last 6784100
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR53RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Virgil Tibbs has run over today's trip and going before, but winless in his last five starts and consistently finishing down the field makes it hard to fancy him, though 130 lb from stall one at least gives connections something to work with.
Form last 670-790
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR50RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Glen Breeze won five starts back from six recent outings and has run over today's trip and going, yet that unplaced effort last time and a draw from stall 10 carrying 129 lb leave him with plenty to find against a 14-runner field.
Form last 6316590
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR52RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in her last six starts, with three unplaced efforts sandwiched by modest finishes, Cannonball Queen is hard to fancy on these figures, though she has run over today's trip and returns after a reasonable 16-day break.
Form last 6000467
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR40RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked towards the foot of the field on our ratings, Dubai Opulence does at least bring distance experience to the table, though a 51-day absence and a tough draw in stall 17 add further question marks for a gelding that has managed no better than fourth in recent starts.
Form last 6-00464
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR49RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, with four unplaced efforts among them, Lady Landhort is hard to fancy on these figures, ranked outside the field on our ratings; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 16 days since her last outing suggests she is at least fit.
Form last 6350006
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
38SR45RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Leannespour faces a stiff ask here; she does at least return quickly seven days on from her fifth, and has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 60-0485
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR46RPR42OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Beat The Devil owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (29) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Patrick MageeColin Keane
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Leannespour
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · Edward Lynam✓ Value Signal
River Derwent
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Thomas Coyle◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Leannespour (SR:52, 11/4) carries the lightest weight in the competitive SR range at 8-10, giving her a meaningful lbs advantage over Usuario Amigo (SR:59, 10-2) and Beat The Devil (SR:52, 10-0). Edward Lynam's 12% strike rate is the best among the leading trainers in this field, and Reese Holohan (11%, 259 runs) is a productive combination. While DistFit and GoingFit are both flagged as poor, the same concern applies to most of the field — this is a weak 17-runner handicap at Dundalk AW where her SR:52 and featherweight 8-10 gives her a structural advantage in a race where most rivals are significantly below the competitive range. At 11/4 the market has her as favourite and the connections profile supports that confidence.
Each-way alternative: Usuario Amigo.
Main danger: Usuario Amigo — SR:59 is the highest ability rating in the field and W.J. Lee (15%, 1,855 runners) is a high-quality booking with 14% market support (steamer from 4/1), making him a serious threat despite the top-weight burden of 10-2.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Leannespour's recent form reads 0-0485 — her two most recent starts before last week both resulted in zeros, and the uptick is unproven over this 17-runner Dundalk AW trip with no Course form recorde…
No Course form flag: Leannespour has zero recorded Dundalk course experience, while rivals Storm Eric (W3P14), Usuario Amigo, and River Derwent have substantial course form to draw on around this uni…
Both DistFit and GoingFit flagged as poor specifically for Leannespour — even if this applies broadly, carrying 8-10 only helps if she handles the conditions, and two simultaneous fit-flags on a 3-ye…
Beat The Devil (SR:52, Colin Keane 16%) is shortlisted at 5/1 with a Stable:1 yard signal and is drifting IN 14%, offering the same SR profile but with a top jockey and fresh stable confidence, direc…
ShortlistLeannespour, Usuario Amigo, Beat The Devil, Movin And Groovin